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Oil & Gas

Rated oil & gas companies are in crisis management mode for their second crash in five years. COVID-19 lock-downs are driving oil demand into reverse for the year, even if a recovery from an horrendous Q2 is now underway. Firmer, but still low, oil prices are being backstopped by huge supply cuts across OPEC+ and OECD countries. The extent to which supply discipline is maintained into 2021 will be key for stocks and prices. We still anticipate a further raft of defaults and restructurings across the E&P and oilfield services sectors as 2020 progresses. Gas prices and refining margins are also likely to remain under pressure as supply and capacity will be ample for near-term demand needs.

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