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Hydrogen Market Research

Hydrogen Market Outlook, Supply & Demand, Forecast and Analysis

Published February 2023

Hydrogen is produced in large quantities both as a principal product and as a by-product. Hydrogen producers may consume the product captively, sell it to end users, sell it to a company that specializes in marketing industrial gases, burn it for fuel, or vent it to the atmosphere. Hydrogen consumers may buy hydrogen from an industrial gas company or a by-product producer, use internally generated by-product hydrogen, or install a hydrogen plant on-site. In some cases, a company will generate crude by-product hydrogen that is purchased and purified by an industrial gas company and then sold back to the original generating company.

Growth in the hydrogen market is driven primarily by large-scale applications such as ammonia and methanol production, petroleum refining, and metals applications. Emerging use of hydrogen as energy carrier, either directly in fuel cells or as heating fuel, or indirectly in the production of renewable diesel (hydrotreated vegetable oils [HVO]), green ammonia, or green methanol, are emerging and fast-growing end-use segments.

The following pie chart shows world consumption of hydrogen:

Most of all hydrogen produced today is still derived from fossil fuels, with natural gas being by far the most frequently used, followed by liquid hydrocarbons, coal, and electrolysis of water.

Global opportunities for hydrogen look strong in the forecast period. Production of methanol has been on the rise, especially in the United States, with lower natural gas prices providing an advantage. The ammonia market is also experiencing robust growth. Demand for distillate is steadily on the increase. Refineries are largevolume producers and consumers of hydrogen for distillate. In general, environmental regulations implemented in most industrialized countries result in increased hydrogen requirements at refineries for gasoline and diesel desulfurization because of increased demand for cleaner fuels and tighter engine manufacturer specifications.

Hydrogen is also expected to see a surge in consumption in the transportation sector as well as in other applications of hydrogen as an energy carrier, including the production of green ammonia and green methanol.

Overall global demand for hydrogen is expected to increase strongly during the next five years, primarily as a result of demand from petroleum refinery operations and the production of ammonia and methanol. Asia will continue to lead demand growth in line with the increasing growth of its domestic economies.

For more detailed information, see the table of contents, shown below.

S&P Global’s Chemical Economics Handbook – Hydrogen is the comprehensive and trusted guide for anyone seeking information on this industry. This latest report details global and regional information, including

Key benefits

S&P Global’s Chemical Economics Handbook – Hydrogen has been compiled using primary interviews with key suppliers and organizations, and leading representatives from the industry in combination with S&P Global’s unparalleled access to upstream and downstream market intelligence and expert insights into industry dynamics, trade, and economics.

This report can help you

  • Identify trends and driving forces influencing chemical markets
  • Forecast and plan for future demand
  • Understand the impact of competing materials
  • Identify and evaluate potential customers and competitors
  • Evaluate producers
  • Track changing prices and trade movements

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Table of Contents

Section Page Number

Executive summary 10
Summary 11
North America 15
Central and South America 16
Western Europe 16
Central Europe 16
CIS and Baltic States 16
Middle East 17
Africa 17
Indian Subcontinent 17
Northeast Asia 17
Mainland China 17
Japan and Other Northeast Asia 18
Southeast Asia and Oceania 18
Market dynamics 18
Introduction 20
Definition of hydrogen types 20
Abbreviations 21
Properties, grades, and form of supply 23
Manufacturing processes 25
Production processes 25
Steam reforming of hydrocarbons 25
Dissociation of hydrocarbons 30
Electrolysis 32
Other –36
By-product generation 36
Environmental issues 40
Hydrogen use as energy carrier 40
Legislation and regulation 41
United States 41
European Union—Western Europe 42
Indian Subcontinent 43
Northeast Asia 44
Mainland China 44
Japan 44
South Korea 44
Southeast Asia and Oceania 44
Australia 44
New Zealand 45
Supply and demand by region 46
United States 46
Producing companies 46
Merchant hydrogen producers 46
Liquid hydrogen producers 46
Gaseous hydrogen producers 49
Pipeline systems 61
Captive hydrogen producers 63
By-product hydrogen producers 72
Hydrogen’s role in clean energy 75
Hydrogen hubs 77
Green hydrogen 78
Production 81
Consumption 81
Petroleum refining 84
Hydrogen production 88
Hydrogen consumption 89
Chemicals 90
Ammonia 92
Methanol 92
Oxo chemicals 92
Aniline/TDI 93
Other 93
Hydrotreated vegetable oil (HVO) 96
Metals 97
Electronics 98
Edible fats and oils 99
Government 101
Public utilities 104
Cooling 104
Corrosion prevention 105
Float glass 109
Transportation 110
Other 112
Price 113
Trade 115
Canada 116
Producing companies 116
Merchant hydrogen producers 116
Liquid hydrogen producers 116
Gaseous hydrogen producers 118
Pipeline systems 120
Captive hydrogen producers 120
By-product hydrogen producers 122
Consumption 125
Trade 127
Mexico 128
Producing companies 128
Salient statistics 131
Consumption 132
Trade 133
Central and South America 133
Producing companies 133
Consumption 138
Western Europe 139
Producing companies 141
Merchant hydrogen producers 141
Liquid hydrogen producers 141
Gaseous hydrogen producers 141
Pipeline systems 156
Captive hydrogen producers 157
By-product hydrogen producers 173
Capacity 179
Salient statistics 182
Production 183
Consumption 187
Gaseous hydrogen 190
Petroleum refining 190
Ammonia 192
Methanol 193
Transportation/green hydrogen projects 193
Oxo chemicals 202
Aniline 203
Fats and oils 203
Hydrogen peroxide 203
Metals 203
Caprolactam 206
Cyclohexane 206
Toluene diisocyanate (TDI) 206
Hexamethylenediamine (HMDA) 206
Hydrochloric acid 206
Electronics 206
Fatty alcohols 207
1,4-Butanediol (BDO) 2071,4,207
Adipic acid 207
Float glass 207
Liquid hydrogen 207
Space industry 208
Fuel 208
Semiconductors and thin-film solar 208
Price 208
Trade 210
Central Europe 211
Producing companies 211
Merchant gaseous hydrogen producers 211
Captive hydrogen producers 213
By-product hydrogen producers 214
Capacity 215
Salient statistics 217
Production 219
Consumption 221
Ammonia 223
Petroleum refining 223
Fats and oils 223
Methanol 223
Aniline 223
Toluene diisocyanate (TDI) 223
Oxo chemicals 223
Metals 224
Trade 224
CIS and Baltic States 226
Producing companies 226
Merchant gaseous hydrogen producers 226
Captive hydrogen producers 227
By-product hydrogen producers 229
Capacity 231
Salient statistics 233
Production 234
Consumption 235
Ammonia 237
Petroleum refining 237
Methanol 237
Metals 237
Gas-to-liquids and coal-to-liquids (GTL and CTL) 238
Trade 238
Middle East 240
Producing companies 240
Merchant gaseous hydrogen producers 240
Captive hydrogen producers 241
By-product hydrogen producers 244
Capacity 246
Salient statistics 248
Production 249
Consumption 251
Ammonia 252
Petroleum refining 252
Methanol 253
Gas-to-liquids and coal-to-liquids (GTL and CTL) 253
Metals 253
Trade 254
Africa 255
Producing companies 255
Merchant gaseous hydrogen producers 255
Captive hydrogen producers 257
By-product hydrogen producers 258
Capacity 259
Salient statistics 261
Production 262
Consumption 264
Ammonia 265
Gas-to-liquids and coal-to-liquids (GTL and CTL) 265
Petroleum refining 265
Methanol 265
Metals 266
Trade 266
Indian Subcontinent 268
Producing companies 268
Salient statistics 271
Bangladesh 272
India 272
Pakistan 272
Consumption 272
Trade 274
Mainland China 275
Producing companies 275
Production 286
Consumption 288
Chemicals 289
Ammonia 289
Methanol 289
Monoethylene glycol 289
Hydrochloric acid 289
Caprolactam 289
Aniline 290
Oxo chemicals 290
Hydrogen peroxide 290
Cyclohexane 290
Toluene diisocyanate (TDI) 290
1,4-Butanediol 2901,4,290
Hexamethylenediamine (HMDA) 290
Petroleum refining 291
Float glass 291
Metals 292
Fats and oils 292
Electronics 292
Transportation (FCEVs) 293
Power and heat generation 293
Other 293
Price 293
Trade 293
Japan 295
Producing companies 296
Captive hydrogen producers 296
Merchant hydrogen producers 298
Liquid hydrogen producers 298
Gaseous hydrogen producers 299
Hydrogen fuel cell filling stations 301
Production 301
Consumption 302
Electronics 303
Metals 303
Fats and oils 304
Glass 304
Price 304
Trade 305
Other Northeast Asia 306
Producing companies 306
Salient statistics 308
South Korea 309
Taiwan 309
Consumption 310
Trade 311
Southeast Asia and Oceania 311
Southeast Asia 311
Producing companies 311
Salient statistics 315
Consumption 315
Trade 317
Oceania 317
Producing companies 317
Salient statistics 318
Australia 318
New Zealand 319
Consumption 319
Trade 320
Additional resources 321
Revisions 325
Data Workbook 326

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FAQ

What are the various ways to produce hydrogen?

Major processes for producing hydrogen are:
Steam reforming of hydrocarbons
Non-catalytic partial oxidation
Disassociation of hydrocarbons
Electrolysis
Large volumes hydrogen can also be produced as a by-product from a variety of production processes.

Are there environmental issues associated with hydrogen?

There have been some studies that have looked at hydrogen an indirect greenhouse gas and has an impact on global warming effects. Hydrogen reacts in the atmosphere with tropospheric OH radicals and if there are hydrogen emissions to the atmosphere, it can react with the oxygen in the stratosphere and form water vapor and reduce the temperate, especially in the polar regions. This would disrupt the distribution ozone, causing depletion. Though the environmental impact would be lesser than that of carbon dioxide, it is none the less an area where attention is needed to reduce the leaks of hydrogen.

How can hydrogen assist with ESG?

According to the International Energy Agency (IEA), by 2050, global emissions need to be reduced by 85% from current levels in order to meet the 2°C warming threshold. Hydrogen is expected to play a major role in helping to attain zero emissions by 2050. Improvements in technology to produce low-cost hydrogen can be a solution for providing alternate sources of energy related to transportation. This, in turn, would mean less consumption of fossil fuels and correspondingly lower pollutants and greenhouse gases

What are the new developments in hydrogen production?

New methods of hydrogen production have become increasingly important. The economics of steam reforming and partial oxidation have been changing at small scales in recent years. Research in hydrogen fuel cells has triggered improvements in hydrogen-generation technology.

Can hydrogen be used as an energy carrier?

Hydrogen has been hailed for decades as a key component of a clean energy future, but so far, the idea has failed to take off. This could be set to change. Hydrogen can be used for heat, transport, or industry, as well as power generation, but it is neither as cheap and convenient

What are the various color codes for hydrogen?

Brown: Hydrogen produced from coal gasification
Grey: Hydrogen produced from natural gas through steam methane reformation, without any mechanism for carbon capture
Blue: Hydrogen produced from natural gas with a mechanism for carbon capture
Green: Hydrogen produced through electrolysis from renewable or other carbon-neutral sources.
Other than the above, other types are 'Yellow hydrogen,' which uses nuclear electricity for electrolysis. 'Turquoise hydrogen' is produced from by molten metal pyrolysis of methane, with solid carbon byproduct.

Which companies produce hydrogen?

The three major players are Linde, L'Air Liquide, and Air Products And Chemicals Inc. Other players include Nippon Sanso Corporation and Messer.

What are the main uses of hydrogen?

The largest volumes of intentionally produced or merchant hydrogen are consumed in ammonia production, at refineries, and in methanol production. Energy applications including the production of green ammonia, green methanol as well as fuel cell applications in the automotive sector are fast-growing segments for hydrogen, with plenty of potential ramping up in the near future. Hydrogen is also used in gas to liquids processing, metals, chemicals production, electronics and powering rockets.

What is hydrogen economy?

"Hydrogen Economy" is a scenario where hydrogen is used for fuel and transportation and also long distance carrier of energy. This is done to move away from fossil fuels based energy and significantly limit global warming. The idea of “hydrogen economy” has been on and off the energy agenda since the 1970s, with occasional spikes of interest but without ever catching hold—the drivers have simply not been strong enough.

Hydrogen has several advantages: it is a very clean fuel at the point of use, it can be used quite efficiently in fuel cells to generate electricity, and it can be used in most of the same applications as natural gas. But it is more expensive and more difficult to handle than natural gas, and it is not as versatile as electricity.

Does NASA use hydrogen for its rockets?

Yes. NASA interests concerning hydrogen involve research and development for advanced hydrogen components and systems in support of aeronautical and aerospace projects, utilization of hydrogen for electrical power systems (fuel cells), and significant use as a propulsion fuel.

For many years, NASA has used hydrogen as rocket fuel to deliver crew and cargo to space. Hydrogen is used in the Centaur, Apollo and space shuttle vehicles.

How fast is the hydrogen market growing?

Overall global demand for hydrogen is expected to increase at around 4–5% per year during the next five years, primarily as a result of demand from petroleum refinery operations, and the production of ammonia and methanol. Asia will continue to lead demand growth in line with the increasing growth of its domestic economies.

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