London — The UK's Department for Business, Energy & Industrial Strategy has set out its aim to increase renewables generation 75% from 2018 levels by 2035, with the expectation that there will be a gradual decline in gas-fired generation.
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In its Updated Energy and Emissions Projections 2018 report released Thursday, the department forecast renewables production to rise to 211 TWh by 2035, up almost 75% from 121 TWh in 2018, with 127 TWh projected for 2019.
This 211 TWh also represents 58% of total electricity supplied in the UK in 2035.
The shift towards renewables production comes as gas-fired generation declines. Gas-fired generation has been the predominant source of electricity in the UK market in recent years, on average powering 50% of electricity production, data from the National Grid show.
EEP data shows that in 2017, natural gas supplied 134 TWh of electricity in the UK, compared with 95 TWh from renewables. However there was a shift in 2018, with renewables leapfrogging gas production, at 121 TWh and 119 TWh, respectively, with the gap forecast to further widen to 211 TWh and 34 TWh, respectively, by 2035.
Coal-fired generation remains low due to competitive alternatives and high carbon prices, with the remaining coal plants closing by the early 2020s.
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