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Energy Transition, Carbon, Emissions
June 22, 2026
By Irina Breilean and Eklavya Gupte
Editor:
HIGHLIGHTS
Auction calendar sees 11.4 million EUA downward adjustment
EUA prices trading at highest levels since early Feb
EC expects Innovation Fund RRF to be hit mid-July further tightening supply
The European Energy Exchange has cut EU Allowance auction volumes for the remainder of 2026 after an EU recovery fund reached its revenue target, tightening supply in a carbon market awaiting policy clarity from the European Commission in mid-July.
EEX said June 22 it has adjusted its 2026 auction calendar following the closure of the Member States Recovery and Resilience Facility by the Commission, with the volume reductions taking effect immediately.
The exchange warned that further supply changes are expected due to regular intra-year adjustments to the Market Stability Reserve as well as the upcoming closure of the Innovation Fund Recovery and Resilience Facility.
EU daily auction volumes were adjusted downward to 2.8175 million allowances for the period leading up to Aug. 31, 2026, from 3.1985 million for June 1-22. German and Polish auction volumes will remain unchanged.
"The Eur8 billion revenue target for MS-RRF has been reached after a cumulative auctioning of 111,455,000 allowances," the European Commission said June 22. "Since the beginning of the year, each auction by the common auction platform included 381,000 allowances allocated to MS-RRF."
Auction volumes for the 2026 period will now total 559.884 million allowances, down from 571.288 million previously — a reduction of 11.4 million allowances.
The supply adjustments come as EU carbon prices have been trading at over four-month highs, supported by news of the US-Iran agreement and technical buying signals.
Platts assessed EU Allowances for December 2026 at Eur81.37/mtCO2e ($93.96/mtCO2e) on June 22, the highest since Feb. 9.
The volume adjustments stem from the cessation of the MS RRF under Article 10e(3) of the EU's Emissions Trading System Directive. The facility was established to help member states finance their recovery from the COVID-19 pandemic while accelerating the transition to clean energy.
The MS RRF is also one of the two funding streams for achieving REPowerEU plans. The pot hit its Eur8 billion revenue target on June 22.
The second funding stream – the Innovation Fund RRF – is targeting Eur12 billion in revenue, with the market expecting this to be achieved in the coming sessions.
"Based on current price levels, the second leg of emission allowances allocated to the Recovery and Resilience Facility is expected to reach its revenue target mid-July," the European Commission said June 22.
"A similar adjustment of the auction calendar will then take place, with the suspension of the auctioning of 571,000 allowances (the IF-RRF auction volume) in each auction from the common auction platform from mid-July to 31 August," the Commission added.
REpowerEU plans were introduced in 2022 to fund Europe's energy independence from Russia and finance the green transition.
The plans earmarked a total investment of Eur300 billion in renewable investments, with Eur20 billion worth of allowances under the EU Emission Trading System injected into the market to help generate revenues.
The initial cutoff for phasing out the additional volumes was set for Aug. 31, but high carbon prices in the fourth quarter of 2025 and at the start of 2026 have accelerated revenue generation.
If the target revenue is reached before Aug. 31, the subsequent auctions of allowances must be immediately suspended, according to the EC.
Earlier in May, the European Energy Exchange published a revised EUA auction calendar, adding 40 million allowances to the market in the second half of 2026 to help raise revenue for the Social Climate Fund, a financial mechanism designed to support vulnerable households.