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03 Feb 2022 | 19:58 UTC
By Mark Watson
Highlights
Power prices may weaken, become more volatile
Cumulative wind tops 29 GW, solar tops 8.5 GW
The Electric Reliability Council of Texas in January approved almost 905 MW of generation – mostly renewables -- for commercial operation, and another 1.6 GW of renewable capacity neared commercial operation, which would tend to weaken wholesale power prices overall but may increase price volatility.
ERCOT's latest Generation Interconnection Status Report, released late Feb. 2, showed a 100-MW gas-fired generator approved for commercial operation in Victoria County southwest of Houston, a 201.5-MW solar site in Jones County about 170 miles due west of the Dallas-Fort Worth metro area, and about 603 MW of nameplate wind capacity at the following locations:
Forward prices for the July-August package traded down about $4 on Feb. 3 to about $92.25/MWh on the Intercontinental Exchange the morning of Feb. 3. So far in 2022, that package's daily settlements in the S&P Global Platts price database have averaged $88.65/MWh, ranging from a minimum of $83.88/MWh on Jan. 4 to a maximum of about $96.15/MWh on Feb. 2.
As of the end of 2021, ERCOT had in operation 56.9 GW of gas-fired generation capacity, 28.4 GW of wind capacity and 8.3 GW of solar capacity, according to the grid operator's monthly Capacity Changes by Fuel Type Charts.
In addition to the new capacity approved for commercial operation, ERCOT had 1.4 GW of renewables – wind, solar and battery storage -- with synchronization approved, meaning the capacity was connected to the grid and operating but not participating in power markets in January.
Also in January, ERCOT approved 183.2 MW of solar capacity for energization, meaning it could be connected to the grid and systems periodically energized for testing purposes.
In contrast, ERCOT in January added more than 810 MW of nameplate wind and solar capacity to the list of projects deemed inactive, because they failed to meet certain completion benchmarks.
Also, developers withdrew about 1.2 GW of solar and 14 MW of wind capacity additions from the generation interconnection process.