13 Jan 2020 | 11:54 UTC — London

UK Storm Brendan forecast to lift wind close to 14 GW Monday, Tuesday

Highlights

Winds of up to 128 kph forecast

Wind generation to peak close to 15 GW

Spot prices 40% down on year

UK wind generation is forecast to average 13.8 GW through Monday and Tuesday as Storm Brendan works its way east across the country, National Grid data showed.

Gusts of up to 100 kph were already battering parts of the Republic of Ireland, Met Eireann said Monday morning.

On Sunday the UK's Met Office issued severe weather warnings of wind speeds up to 128 kph across much of the UK from 10 am until midnight Monday, and from 12pm to midnight Tuesday.

National Grid forecast UK wind generation peaking at 14.9 GW at 6 pm Monday, and remaining above 12.5 GW through Tuesday.

A mild, windy start to the year has stripped value out of the spot market.

UK day-ahead baseload prices are averaging GBP38.80/MWh this year, down close to 40% year on year, S&P Global Platts assessments showed.

UK wind generation exceeded 16 GW for the first time on Sunday, December 8 as Storm Atiyah swept in, driving hourly prices deep into negative territory.