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Oil

2019 Brent crude oil volatility: March outlook

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Watch: 2019 Brent crude oil volatility: March outlook

Vito Turitto, S&P Global Platts quantitative analyst: February's crude oil arbitrage flow to the Far East kept market prices high, but an increase in forecast WTI Midland barrels entering Europe could put a cap on Brent prices. Expectation ahead of the US-China trade talks is largely positive and the production cuts promised by OPEC members should keep market buying high. With US shale oil production hitting a record 8.4 million b/d in March and February's total US crude output reaching 12 million b/d for the first time could increase market turbulence. Nevertheless, fundamentals should support a low volatility environment and a slow, gradual price uptrend.