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Oil

Sizing up the oil market's top geopolitical risks in 2020

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Listen: Sizing up the oil market's top geopolitical risks in 2020

The oil market is closing out 2019 with a smaller geopolitical risk premium despite the September attack on Saudi Arabia's Abqaiq facility exposing a staggering supply vulnerability.

Greg Priddy, Stratfor's director of global energy and Middle East, argues the oil market can no longer hold onto a risk premium, between hedging and the responsiveness of US shale production. He said a sharp premium would only return in the event of a major and prolonged oil supply disruption.

Priddy walked us through other potential geopolitical hot spots next year, including a tinderbox in the Middle East, OPEC's oversupply woes, the "festering" US/China trade dispute, and the US presidential election.