24 Mar 2020 | 19:24 UTC — London

Chevron cuts 2020 Permian production, capex guidance by 20%

Highlights

Now sees 2020 production levels flat on 2019

Permian output guidance cut by 125,000 boe/d

Suspends share buyback program

Chevron is cutting both its guidance for shale production from the US Permian Basin and its capital spending this year by 20% in response to the oil price collapse, it said Tuesday.

Shale oil and gas output from the Permian Basin is expected to be about 125,000 b/d of oil equivalent, or 20%, below prior guidance by year-end, Chevron said in a statement. No figure was given for its original Permian production target this year but Chevron produced 514,000 boe/d in the Permian during Q4 2019 and had been ramping up to get to 1 million boe/d in the coming years.

As a result of the cutbacks, the oil major said it now sees its overall, underlying oil and gas production roughly flat relative to 2019 when it reported average output of 3.06 million boe/d.

ExxonMobil, one of the Permian's top producers, last week said it was preparing to "significantly" decrease its 2020 spending due to the coronavirus-triggered global recession that is devastating global oil demand.

"Given the decline in commodity prices, we are taking actions expected to preserve cash, support our balance sheet strength, lower short-term production, and preserve long-term value," Chevron CEO Michael Wirth said in a statement.

The company said it is reducing its 2020 organic capital and exploratory spending by $4 billion, or 20%, to $16 billion, with half of the total primarily hitting spending in the Permian.

Spending on other upstream projects and exploration will be reduced by $1.2 billion and $800 million will cut from the downstream and chemicals division.

"We are focused on completing projects already under construction that will start up in future years while preserving our capability to increase short-cycle activity in the Permian and other areas when prices recover," Chevron's executive vice president of upstream Jay Johnson said.

Chevron said it has also suspended its $5 billion annual share repurchase program after repurchasing $1.75 billion of shares during the first quarter.

MORE US SHALE CUTBACKS

Other US shale producers also announced new budget reductions on Tuesday and late Monday as North American producers have slashed their 2020 capital spending plans by an average of at least 30% just this month.

Permian driller Laredo Petroleum said it will cut its capex by 36% down to $290 million and pull three of its four drilling rigs from the oilfields.

Laredo expects its production for the year to fall about 5% and average just more than 80,000 boe/d. And, starting in May, Laredo will cease its new well completions for the remainder of the year if low oil prices persist.

Likewise, Eagle Ford Shale producer Magnolia Oil & Gas will cut its capex by 45% down to about $210 million and remove one of its two rigs from South Texas.

Magnolia is run by former Occidental Petroleum CEO Steve Chazen who was appointed the new, non-executive chairman of struggling Oxy again this week. Chazen insisted the new role with Oxy won't impact his leadership at Magnolia. And he even hinted that Magnolia may look to grow and acquire once crude pricing volatility calms down.

"We expect significant opportunities to expand our business will appear later this year once market conditions clarify," Chazen said in a statement.

Because natural gas prices haven't crashed as violently as crude oil, gas producer Antero Resources said Tuesday it only plans a 13% reduction to its 2020 spending, going from $1.15 billion down to about $1 billion.

Permian Basin drillers scaling back
Revised capex ($ billions)
Change (%)
Notes
Apache Corp.
1.10
-37%
Suspending all Permian drilling
Callon Petroleum
0.71
-27%
Cutting from 9 to 5 rigs in Q2, then to 2 or 3
Centennial Resource Development
0.32
-50%
Going from five rigs to one in Delaware Basin
Chevron
16.00
-20%
Permian production outlook down 20% to 125,000 boe/d with nearly $2 billion in Permian cuts
Cimarex Energy
0.72
-45%
Production outlook down 8% to 86,200 b/d
Concho Resources
2.00
-26%
Permian pure play
ConocoPhillips
5.90
-11%
Production outlook down 2% to 1.23 million boe/d; slow US shale activity, delay Alaska drilling
Devon Energy
1.30
-28%
Cutting from STACK, Powder River Basin
Diamondback Energy
1.70
-41%
Oil production outlook down about $10% to less than 195,000 b/d; pulling more than half of rigs
Earthstone Energy
0.06
-67%
Production down 11% to 14,250 boe/d, completing fewer Midland Basin wells
EOG Resources
4.50
-31%
Production outlook down 12% to 456,000 boe/d; focusing drilling in Eagle Ford, Delaware basins
Laredo Petroleum
0.29
-36%
Production down 5% to 81,000 boe/d, reduce four rigs to one, suspend completions
Marathon Oil
1.90
-21%
Pull all 3 Oklahoma rigs, reducing Delaware activity
Matador Resources*
0.45
-38%
Pulling 3 of 6 Delaware Basin rigs
Noble Energy
1.20
-29%
Majority of cuts from Delaware Basin
Occidental Petroleum
3.60
-32%
Slicing dividend by 86%
Ovintiv
2.40
-11%
Pulling 16 rigs from Permian, Anadarko, Montney
Parsley Energy
1.00
-41%
Permian pure play pulling 10 of 15 rigs
PDC Energy
0.81
-23%
Production outlook down 5% to 200,000 boe/d; cutting rigs/crews in Delaware, Colorado basins
Pioneer Natural Resources
1.80
-45%
Production outlook down 12% to 211,000 b/d; Permian pure play pulling 11 of 22 rigs
QEP Resources
0.44
-23%
Suspending Permian drilling/completions
WPX Energy
1.34
-23%
Production outlook down 6% to 150,000 b/d
Source: Companies, *S&P Global Platts Analytics estimates based on activity reduction


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