02 Jul 2020 | 16:27 UTC — London

EU5 power demand for Q2 down 12% on year at 367 TWh

Highlights

Average 24 GW demand decline across Big Five

Platts Analytics forecasts 8% demand drop for Q3

London — Demand across Europe's five largest electricity markets fell 12% on year in the second quarter of 2020 as coronavirus lockdowns restricted activity, data aggregated by S&P Global Platts Analytics showed July 2.

At 367 TWh, Q2 electricity demand across Germany, France, Italy, Spain and Great Britain was 52 TWh or 24 GW lower year on year, preliminary system operator data showed.

German Q2 power demand was seen 9% lower on year at 101 TWh, while the other markets registered double-digit declines.

On July 2, German utility lobby BDEW said German H1 demand was 5.7% lower on year at 272 TWh.

While lockdown measures are easing, a west European recession is expected to keep power demand significantly below last year's levels into Q3.

"We now expect demand losses of 4%-8% versus pre-COVID-19 levels in Q3 in western mainland Europe, and 10% in Great Britain," Platts Analytics' head of European power analysis Glenn Rickson said.

A significant drop in nuclear supply almost offset the lower demand, he said.

That shift in the demand/supply balance, alongside a rally in EU CO2 prices, had lifted European power prices from record-lows seen during Q2.

EU5 Power Demand (TWh)

2020
2019
TWh chg
av GWh/h
% on yr chg
Q1
469
491
-22
-10
-4.5
Q2
367
419
-52
-23.8
-12.4
H1
836
910
-74
-16.9
-8.1

Source: S&P Global Platts Analytics, TSO data

National Power Demand (TWh)

Germany
France
Italy
Spain
GB
Q2 2020
101
89
67
52
58
Q2 2019
111
105
77
59
67
% on yr chg
-9
-15
-13
-12
-13

Source: S&P Global Platts Analytics, TSO data


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