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Research & Insights
06 Apr 2022 | 04:49 UTC
By Takeo Kumagai and Masanori Odaka
Highlights
Lack of prompt spot LNG demand despite low LNG stocks
Two power utilities seek spot LNG supplies for June onwards
One utility seeks strip of June-February 2023 LNG supplies
LNG stocks held by Japan's major power utilities dipped a further 0.6% week on week to 1.65 million mt April 3, an official at the Ministry of Economy, Trade and Industry said April 6.
The LNG inventory marked the third consecutive week-on-week decline in the weekly data after having rebounded 17% on the week from the current winter low of 1.47 million mt March 6 to 1.72 million mt March 13.
Despite the lower LNG stock level, Japanese power utilities are not seeking prompt spot LNG cargoes with the country entering the off-demand season amid high spot LNG prices, according to market sources.
The JKM for May delivery has been hovering in the $30-$39/MMBtu range since the roll on March 16. Platts JKM was assessed at $32.02/MMBtu on April 5 for May delivery, according to S&P Global Commodity Insights data.
This is still significantly higher compared to the assessment on April 5 in 2021, 2019, and 2018 at $7.088/MMBtu, $4.475/MMBtu and $7.125/MMBtu, respectively.
At least two Japanese power utilities, however, are seeking spot LNG cargoes for June onwards, with one of the two utilities seeking a strip of multiple cargoes over June-February 2023, market sources said.
METI does not have directly comparable data for the same week of April 3 in 2021, but at the end of March 2021, stocks stood at 2.41 million mt, while the four-year average for end-March is 2.19 million mt, the data showed.
The LNG inventory stood at 2.01 million mt at the end of April 2021, with the four-year average for end-April at 1.90 million mt.