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Coronavirus (COVID-19) Blogs & Commentaries

Find commentary, special reports and insights about the coronavirus impact.

Continuously updated, blog and commentary topics listed below encompass the impact of the novel coronavirus disease (COVID-19) outbreak for markets and organizations, plus the economic implications of this complex and changing situation. Our industry-leading experts and analysts provide insights and analysis covering specific regions, services and industry sectors, as well as the global perspective.

Follow S&P Global to stay informed about the coronavirus impact as it evolves.

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Viewing 2701 - 3000 of 7471 results

  1. January melt-up

    05 February 2019

    We review factor performance in January 2019.

  2. A Davos 2019 debrief

    05 February 2019 Nariman Behravesh, Ph.D.

    Compared with the euphoric mood in Davos 2018, this year the delegates were more subdued and wary.

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  3. PMI surveys show UK economy stalling at start of 2019

    05 February 2019 Chris Williamson

    The latest PMI surveys indicate that the UK economy stalled at the start of the year

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  4. The Trade Numerologist: Coal Came Back From the Dead in 2018

    04 February 2019 John Miller

    Coal is having a rebound moment. Even as US and European miners endure bankruptcies, and regulations to cap carbon emissions, the black rock...

    • Trade Data
  5. Global Manufacturing PMI at 2½ year low as business conditions worsen in one-in-three countries

    04 February 2019 Chris Williamson

    Worldwide PMI surveys indicated that manufacturing growth slowed closer to stagnation at the start of 2019.

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  6. Week Ahead APAC Economic Preview: Week of 4 February 2019

    01 February 2019 Chris Williamson Bernard Aw

    Week Ahead APAC Economic Preview: Week of 4 February 2019

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  7. Capital Markets Weekly: Greek post-rescue success, jumbo BoC perpetual stand out in receptive markets

    01 February 2019

    Greece’s EUR2.5 billion deal came alongside three other European SSA successes, gaining demand of EUR82 billion for EUR17.5 billion supply.

    • Economic Risk
    • Economic Data
  8. Manufacturing on course to act as drag on UK economy in first quarter

    01 February 2019 Chris Williamson

    January's PMI survey showed UK manufacturing on course to act as a drag on the economy in the first quarter

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  9. Philippines security risks

    31 January 2019 Alex Barnes

    Overwhelming vote for autonomy in Mindanao signals eventual MILF demobilization, security stabilization.

    • Security Risk
    • Political Risk
  10. Japan manufacturing weakness casts shadow over 2019 growth outlook

    31 January 2019 Chris Williamson

    Japan manufacturing weakness casts shadow over 2019 growth outlook

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  11. Market Briefing: Nicaragua

    30 January 2019 Cristina Arbelaez Brian Lawson

    Take 30 minutes with our experts and understand what's happening in Nicaragua

    • Security Risk
    • Political Risk
  12. Weekly Pricing Pulse: The January recovery continues

    30 January 2019 William May

    Geopolitics, fundamentals and sentiment all played a part in limiting commodity markets last week.

    • Commodity Price Forecasts
  13. VLCC Spot Market

    29 January 2019

    Despite the earlier optimism among some owners, January hasn’t been an easy month for the Very Large Crude Carrier (VLCC) segment.

    • Seaborne Trade
    • Commodity Trading
  14. The LP footprint project

    29 January 2019

    Throughout 2018, we conducted several interviews, meetings and roundtables to research Environmental, Social and Governance (ESG) in the private...

  15. The ETF Rule Proposal: Key Takeaways

    28 January 2019

    A review of key highlights from the ETF Rule proposal that looks to standardize regulation in the US ETF market

    • Exchange-Traded Funds (ETFs)
  16. Capital Markets Weekly: Markets further indicate recovery in risk appetite

    28 January 2019 Brian Lawson

    Developments in both debt and equity markets almost entirely represent positive indicators, with demand extending to higher-risk perpetual debt....

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
    • Economic Risk
    • Economic Data
  17. Week Ahead APAC Economic Preview: Week of 28 January 2019

    25 January 2019 Rajiv Biswas Chris Williamson Bernard Aw

    Week Ahead APAC Economic Preview: Week of 28 January 2019

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  18. ECB sees downside risks as PMI shows eurozone close to stalling

    25 January 2019 Chris Williamson

    The release of disappointing flash Eurozone PMI data on the same day that the ECB's Governing Council acknowledged that downside risks now prevail...

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  19. Upcoming Indonesian presidential election

    25 January 2019 Deepa Kumar

     Indonesia's 2019 presidential election likely getting tighter; policy continuity expected

    • Political Risk
  20. Venezuela mutiny and anti-government protests

    24 January 2019 Diego Moya-Ocampos, LLB Carlos Cardenas

    Further rank-and-file mutinies likely in Venezuela alongside anti-government protests in traditionally pro-government shanty towns.

    • Political Risk
  21. Flash Japan PMI™ highlights further woes for global trade cycle

    24 January 2019 Joseph Hayes

    Flash Japan PMI™ highlights further woes for global trade cycle

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  22. Islamic State in Libya

    23 January 2019 Ludovico Carlino

    Revived Islamic State likely to mount raids into Libya’s Tripolitania and Cyrenaica from bases in southern desert .

    • Terrorism
    • Political Risk
  23. Weekly Pricing Pulse: Commodity prices tick quietly up

    23 January 2019 William May

    Rumors from US-China trade negotiations hint at an easing trade war and improved sentiment

    • Commodity Price Forecasts
  24. Businesses reveal growing uncertainty worldwide

    23 January 2019 David Owen

    Analysis of survey anecdotal evidence suggest that global business uncertainty spiked higher at the end of 2018.

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  25. Securities Finance 2018 Year in Review

    23 January 2019 Sam Pierson

    The most securities lending revenue since 2008!

    • Securities Finance
    • Equity Markets
    • Exchange-Traded Funds (ETFs)
    • Credit Default Swaps (CDS)
  26. Investigating IHS Markit PMI™ and ISM divergences

    23 January 2019 Chris Williamson

    In this report, we look at the relationship between the two US surveys and the official data

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  27. Pakistan terrorism activity update

    22 January 2019 Asad Ali

    Pakistani separatist groups likely to be increasingly active despite sustained decline in nationwide NSAG attacks since 2014 .

    • Terrorism
  28. Brexit-exposed sectors in Ireland suffer as Brexit day approaches

    22 January 2019 Amritpal Virdee

    Brexit-exposed sectors in Ireland suffer as Brexit day approaches

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  29. How banks can keep pace with XVA

    21 January 2019

    The complexity of derivatives pricing has grown significantly in the past decade, with banks having to factor in a series of valuation adjustments...

    • Financial Risk Analytics
  30. Using quotes to measure CRT MBS liquidity trends

    18 January 2019 Chris Fenske

    The liquidity of CRT MBS ebbs and flows, but the lack of trades requires other factors to measure shifts in liquidity.

    • Financial Trading
  31. Policies of expropriation and prescribed assets in South Africa

    18 January 2019 Thea Fourie

    Longer-term growth prospects appear less upbeat as the South African government pursues more aggressive redistribution policies

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
    • Economic Data
  32. RiskTech100® 2019: Andrew Aziz discusses our recent FRTB award win

    18 January 2019

    The new Basel market risk requirements set out in the Fundamental Review of the Trading Book (FRTB) are expected to transform risk calculations...

    • Financial Risk Analytics
  33. Week Ahead APAC Economic Preview: Week of 21 January 2019

    18 January 2019 Rajiv Biswas Chris Williamson Bernard Aw

    Week Ahead APAC Economic Preview: Week of 21 January 2019

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  34. Weekly Pricing Pulse: The New Year starts well but for how long?

    17 January 2019 William May

    Optimism around US-China trade talks and a jump in oil send commodity prices higher

    • Commodity Price Forecasts
  35. Brexit update after parliamentary defeat

    17 January 2019 Jan Gerhard

    UK government's parliamentary defeat on deal with EU increases probability of delay to Brexit beyond March.

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  36. Distressed Loan Settlement: A Time for Change

    17 January 2019 Patricia Tessier

    The average settlement time for distressed loans in 2018 was 2 months, more than four times greater than that of par/near par loans. This is...

  37. The global economy: Rising recession risks

    17 January 2019 Sara L. Johnson, CBE Nariman Behravesh, Ph.D.

    Policy mistakes, especially regarding trade, continue to be the biggest threats to global growth

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
    • Economic Risk
    • Economic Data
  38. Brexit update: Economic and political implications

    16 January 2019 Raj Badiani

    Analysis on the political and economic implications of the rejection of the proposed Brexit deal

    • Political Risk
    • Economic Risk
    • Economic Data
  39. 'Gilets jaunes' protests hit output and labour market

    16 January 2019 Eliot Kerr

    December PMI data pointed to the first monthly contraction in French private sector output for two-and-a-half years

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  40. Factor and style model performance: 2018 in review

    15 January 2019

    We review factor and style model performance in 2018.

  41. Syrian aviation risk

    15 January 2019 Columb Strack

    Despite security improvements, residual elevated risk of collateral damage at Damascus Airport, mainly from Israeli airstrikes.

    • Political Risk
  42. Investors Can Get Ahead of Cyber Risk – Here’s How

    15 January 2019 Katerina Lipatova

    With data breaches occurring more frequently, there is a notable concern for institutional investors and money managers.

  43. Week Ahead APAC Economic Preview: Week of 14 January 2019

    14 January 2019 Rajiv Biswas Chris Williamson Bernard Aw

    Week Ahead APAC Economic Preview: Week of 14 January 2019

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  44. IBORs, new benchmarks series - Focus on SOFR

    14 January 2019 Julien Rey

    IBORs, new benchmarks series - Focus on SOFR

    • Government Policy & Regulations
    • Financial Trading
    • Financial Risk Analytics
  45. Metals Users PMI points to falling world growth and lower prices in 2019

    14 January 2019 David Owen

    Global metal-using industries are suffering their steepest downturn since early-2016, according to December survey data.

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  46. Challenges for banks remain with the adoption of FRTB - RiskMinds International 2018 interview

    14 January 2019

    Challenges for banks remain with the adoption of FRTB - RiskMinds International 2018 interview

  47. Zambian mineral royalties increase

    11 January 2019 Theo Acheampong, Ph.D.

    Increased Zambian minerals royalties indicate government focus on natural resource sector to boost fiscal revenues, anti-government protests...

    • Political Risk
    • Economic Risk
    • Economic Data
  48. Capital Markets Weekly: Debt markets make promising start to 2019, but uncertainties remain

    11 January 2019 Brian Lawson

    In 2019’s first full week’s trading, diverse emerging market sales and heavy European sovereign supply dominated primary activity.

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
    • Economic Risk
    • Economic Data
  49. A good start for credit - but will it last?

    11 January 2019 Gavan Nolan

    2019 has started with a rally but it may be a rocky road ahead

    • Financial Trading
    • Credit Default Swaps (CDS)
    • Economic Risk
  50. Vietnam GDP up strongly again in 2018 as manufacturing outperforms

    11 January 2019 Andrew Harker

    Vietnam's economy seems in a perfect position to defy signs of slowing demand elsewhere and thrive in the global economy

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  51. Weekly Pricing Pulse: Commodity prices rise – but volatility remains

    10 January 2019 William May

    Oil prices bounce in an oversold market, lifting the S&P Global Materials Price Index.

    • Commodity Price Forecasts
  52. The partial federal government shutdown and the January employment report

    10 January 2019 Ben Herzon, Ph.D.

    The unemployment rate could be boosted by as much as 0.2 percentage point and payroll employment could be reduced by as much as 380,000.

    • Political Risk
    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
    • Economic Risk
    • Economic Data
  53. Market downturn sparks debate on investment research spend, regardless of MiFID II’s payment rule.

    10 January 2019 Eric Menzie

    Market downturn has sparked investor questions on investment research spend, regardless of MiFIDII. As investors demand greater transparency...

  54. Panama upcoming elections

    10 January 2019

    Policy paralysis likely in run-up to Panama's May presidential election; pro-business frontrunners will promote FDI.

    • Political Risk
  55. Investment indicators fall into decline as global PMI hits 27-month low

    10 January 2019 Chris Williamson

    Demand for business machinery and equipment has slipped into decline to signal a reduced appetite for investment spending.

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  56. Investor Feedback on Internal Corporate Access Teams

    09 January 2019

    S&P Global surveyed investors representing over $2.2 trillion in equity assets under management to understand their perspective on building and...

    • Market Analysis & Forecasts
  57. FRTB: The road to IMA

    09 January 2019 Gil Shefi

    “Buy the rumours, sell the facts” is normally a good trading strategy. It plays nicely to the human bias that the Roman senator Tacitus described...

    • Fundamental Review of the Trading Book (FRTB)
  58. Worldwide growth hits 27-month low in December

    09 January 2019 Chris Williamson

    The global economy ended 2018 on a disappointing note

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  59. Serbian anti-government protests

    09 January 2019 Dijedon Imeri

    Anti-government protests increase risk of snap election but unlikely to produce change in Serbian government.

    • Political Risk
  60. December 2018 Model Performance Report

    08 January 2019

    Monthly style and specialty model performance report.

  61. Should auld volatility be forgot

    07 January 2019

    We review factor performance in December 2018.

  62. Despite negative returns, leveraged loan trade volume soars in 2018

    07 January 2019

    The Q4 2018 S&P Global leveraged loan snapshot report shows mixed results on year end trends.

  63. PMI signals positive end to 2018 for Japanese economy, but highlights risks ahead

    07 January 2019 Bernard Aw

    The latest Nikkei PMI data showed the Japanese economy enjoying resilient growth at the end of 2018

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  64. Week Ahead APAC Economic Preview: Week of 7 January 2019

    04 January 2019 Rajiv Biswas Chris Williamson Bernard Aw

    Week Ahead APAC Economic Preview: Week of 7 January 2019

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  65. Efficiency losses across eurozone intensify at year end

    04 January 2019 Pollyanna De Lima

    The overall performance of eurozone private sector workers deteriorated to the greatest extent in 67 months at the end of 2018

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  66. Capital Markets Weekly: Chinese and EU PMIs indicate economic slowdown threatening equity market recovery

    04 January 2019 Brian Lawson

    Weak PMIs have indicated manufacturing-sector slowdown in both China and the EU, hindering equity market recovery.

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
    • Economic Risk
    • Economic Data
  67. UK PMI surveys show growth running close to five-year lows at end of 2018

    04 January 2019 Chris Williamson

    The UK economy suffers one of its most disappointing expansions since early-2013.

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  68. Weekly Pricing Pulse: Massive volatility in global markets spills into commodities again

    03 January 2019 William May

    Oil keeps the commodities rout going in an otherwise directionless market

    • Commodity Price Forecasts
  69. Private vs. public company valuations

    03 January 2019

    Take a deep dive into the differences and similarities of private and public companies, and the multiple ways in which a valuation can occur....

    • Company Valuations
  70. Global manufacturing PMI at 27-month low as business conditions worsen in one-in-three countries

    02 January 2019 Chris Williamson

    Global manufacturing growth fell to its weakest for over two years at the end of 2018.

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  71. UK manufacturing buoyed by Brexit stockpiling

    02 January 2019 Chris Williamson

    UK manufacturing ended 2018 with business activity buoyed by companies ramping up their preparations for a disorderly Brexit.

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  72. Trade Numerologist: Booming Chinese Wine Market

    28 December 2018 John Miller

    The fastest-growing wine market is China, where a bottle of Bordeaux is replacing a traditional Chinese liquor called baijiu as the alcohol of...

  73. Weekly Pricing Pulse: Market jitters send commodity prices lower

    27 December 2018 William May

    Higher US interest rates and turmoil in Washington kept stock markets uneasy and sent commodity prices lower last week.

    • Commodity Price Forecasts
  74. Capital inflows have returned to Turkey, but remain precarious

    27 December 2018 Andrew Birch

    Net portfolio investment inflows have returned, but will remain precarious through 2019. External financing remains a challenge. 

    • Market Analysis & Forecasts
    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
    • Economic Risk
  75. Capital Markets Weekly: Mexico City airport-bond restructuring potentially unresolved despite favorable tender

    21 December 2018 Brian Lawson

    Despite a favorable bondholder tender, uncertainties remain over USD6 billion of MexCAT project bonds. Venezuela faces initial acceleration push...

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
    • Economic Risk
    • Economic Data
  76. Brexit and the economic consequences

    21 December 2018 Raj Badiani

     An S&P Global scenario predicts that the economic consequences of a no-deal Brexit would be damaging.

    • Political Risk
    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
    • Economic Risk
  77. Kosovo steps up its struggle for international recognition

    20 December 2018

    Kosovo’s government has decided to use extreme economic measures to direct world’s attention to its political grievances.

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
    • Economic Risk
  78. Implications of recent BJP losses in Indian state elections

    20 December 2018 Deepa Kumar

    BJP loses three Indian state elections; increased support for agriculture and MSMEs, greater RBI policy alignment likely.

    • Political Risk
  79. Economic Forecasting: Nariman’s Top 10

    20 December 2018 Michael Miller

    Those of you that follow Legacy Ipreo on our blog may not be familiar with everything S&P Global does in the corporate space, from industry-specific...

  80. Weekly Pricing Pulse: Little Christmas cheer in commodities

    20 December 2018 William May

    Continued softness in commodity prices illustrates demand concerns.

    • Commodity Price Forecasts
  81. IRS Issues new Proposed Regulations under FATCA and Chapter 3 as Part of Burden Reduction

    19 December 2018

    On Thursday, December 13, 2018, the IRS issued new proposed regulations under FATCA and Chapter 3 as part of Treasury's regulatory burden reduction...

  82. New Brazilian cabinet

    19 December 2018 Carlos Caicedo

    Growing military influence in Brazil's new government, but support for privatization likely on selective target non-strategic assets.

    • Political Risk
  83. A long-short December

    18 December 2018 Sam Pierson

    Short interest and momentum factors deliver alpha

    • Securities Finance
    • Equity Markets
  84. Demographics in Baltics make long-term consumer spending prospects bleaker

    17 December 2018 Vaiva Seckute

    Prospects are bright for now but negative effects of high emigration and low fertility rates will weigh on growth especially in Latvia and Lithuania....

    • Consumer Spending
    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
    • Income Distribution
    • Economic Risk
  85. Eurozone flash PMI hits lowest for over four years in December

    17 December 2018 Chris Williamson

    The flash S&P Global Eurozone Composite PMI fell to its lowest since November 2014 in December

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  86. The Trade Numerologist: Peru’s Big Bet on Copper Market

    17 December 2018 John Miller

    Peru is already the world’s second largest copper exporter and recent elections indicate it’s prepared to bet even more heavily on mining.

    • Trade Data
  87. Capital Markets Weekly: Softbank achieves IPO success but year-end is approaching fast

    14 December 2018 Brian Lawson

    Unsurprisingly, this week’s calendar is seasonally light.

    • Economic Risk
    • Economic Data
  88. IHS Markit US PMI signals GDP growth rate slowing close to 2.0% in December

    14 December 2018 Chris Williamson

    Flash PMI™ survey data from S&P Global show the US economy losing further growth momentum in December

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  89. Panamanian death and injury risks

    14 December 2018

    Death and injury, armed robbery risks increase in Panama's Colón province, despite police anti-gang operations.

    • Security Risk
  90. Zambian president authorized to seek third term

    14 December 2018 Theo Acheampong, Ph.D. Thea Fourie

    Zambian Constitutional Court ruling permits president to seek additional term amid ruling-party splits, non-payment risks likely.

    • Political Risk
  91. Week Ahead APAC Economic Preview: Week of 17 December 2018

    14 December 2018 Rajiv Biswas Chris Williamson Bernard Aw

    Week Ahead APAC Economic Preview: Week of 17 December 2018

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  92. Weekly Pricing Pulse: Oil settles but can’t reverse the trend

    13 December 2018 William May

    Oil bounces on OPEC supply agreement but recent momentum and trade tensions still take commodity prices lower.

    • Commodity Price Forecasts
  93. Initial Margin: Five key considerations for Phase 4 and 5 firms

    13 December 2018

    With the first three waves of the initial margin requirements for non–cleared derivatives instruments complete, the focus has moved on to the...

  94. Top 10 economic predictions for 2019

    13 December 2018 Nariman Behravesh, Ph.D.

    These top 10 economic risks, combined with heightened political uncertainty in many parts of the world, point to the increased vulnerability...

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
    • Economic Data
  95. Edelman Trust Barometer 2018: Institutional Investors Supplement

    12 December 2018 Michael Miller

    The Edelman Trust Barometer remains the gold standard when it comes to measuring the eponymous virtual commodity that companies seek to build...

  96. Peruvian operational challenges

    12 December 2018 Diego Moya-Ocampos, LLB

    Petroperú oil spills underline security and operational shortcomings amid local opposition in Peru.

    • Operational Risk
    • Economic Risk
  97. Global growth outlook blighted by weak trade flows

    12 December 2018 Chris Williamson

    Global business activity continued to expand at a relatively subdued pace in November

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  98. Buoyant Brazil PMI data build on strong third quarter GDP figures

    12 December 2018 Pollyanna De Lima

    PMI numbers for October and November suggest that further momentum has been gained in the final quarter of 2018.

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  99. Widespread disruption in autos sector hits Czech economy

    12 December 2018 Sian Jones

    The wellbeing of the Czech goods producing sector has taken a turn for the worse in the latter stages of 2018

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  100. Auditor tips for a smooth year-end audit of valuations

    11 December 2018

    In the closing report of our three-part series, we share Big 4 auditor feedback focused on surviving the year-end audit season.

    • Company Valuations
  101. As counterparty risk is crushed, operational risk rises

    11 December 2018

    Firms need to optimise their internal processes and implement new regulation required processes if they are to reduce the operational risk of...

  102. The Trade Numerologist: China Dominates Christmas Toy Trade

    11 December 2018 John Miller

    It’s almost Christmas, peak buying season for the $100 billion global toy market. That means it’s time for manufacturers, shipping lines and...

    • Trade Data
  103. Global trade wars: implications for refined products and chemicals

    11 December 2018

    The escalation to a full trade war could exert potentially damaging blows to regional and global economies

  104. UK GDP data add to signs of economy's renewed weakness after strong summer

    10 December 2018 Chris Williamson

    The underlying pace of economic growth slowed at the start of the fourth quarter, according to the latest official data.

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  105. Week Ahead APAC Economic Preview: Week of 10 December 2018

    07 December 2018 Rajiv Biswas Chris Williamson Bernard Aw

    Week Ahead APAC Economic Preview: Week of 10 December 2018

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  106. Spanish regional elections

    07 December 2018 Laurence Allan, Ph.D.

    Regional election results in Andalucía likely to confirm challenges to Spain's main parties in 2019

    • Political Risk
  107. PMI suggests Italy to enter technical recession in fourth quarter

    07 December 2018 Joseph Hayes

    According to the November PMI, Italian private sector output declined at the sharpest pace in five years

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  108. Capital Markets Weekly: Peru and Indonesia lead limited issuance, US corporate issuance indicates adverse market trends

    07 December 2018

    High yield and non-callable fixed rate corporate debt have declined most

    • Economic Risk
    • Economic Data
  109. Eurozone productivity slips at quickest rate in five-and-a-half years as efficiency loss in manufacturing intensifies

    07 December 2018 Pollyanna De Lima

    November data pointed to a third successive month of efficiency loss across the eurozone.

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  110. Global PMI lifts further from two-year low but outlook blighted by weak order books

    06 December 2018 Chris Williamson

    Global business activity grew at a marginally improved pace for a second successive month in November.

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  111. Weekly Pricing Pulse: Another week of pain in commodity markets ends on a high

    06 December 2018 William May

    After declining for most of the week, markets rally as positive headlines flow from the G20 summit

    • Commodity Price Forecasts
  112. November 2018 Model Performance Report

    05 December 2018

    Monthly style and specialty model performance report.

  113. Liberian mining risks

    05 December 2018

    Vote against mining company highlights strained economy, increasing arbitrary business demands, and violent protest risks in Liberia.

    • Security Risk
    • Political Risk
    • Operational Risk
  114. Risk trade tariffs

    05 December 2018

    We review factor performance in November 2018.

  115. Eurozone: Q4 2018 GDP Nowcasts

    05 December 2018 Paul Smith, Ph.D.

    Eurozone economy growing at underlying rate of 0.3% in Q4 2018

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  116. All-sector UK PMI indicates flatlining economy in November

    05 December 2018 Chris Williamson

    PMI surveys showed UK business activity growing at a sharply reduced rate in November

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  117. PMI surveys signal Chinese services lead business activity

    05 December 2018 Bernard Aw

    PMI surveys signal Chinese services lead business activity

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  118. Japan PMI points to resilient economic growth despite waning post-typhoon demand

    05 December 2018 Bernard Aw

    The Japanese economy continued to enjoy steady growth midway through the closing quarter of 2018, suggesting the economy will rebound after a...

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  119. The Trade Numerologist: Climate Change, Russia Rock Global Grain Trade

    04 December 2018 John Miller

    The US is still the world’s top grain exporter, but Russia is closing the gap, with India, France, Argentina and Canada following. US farmers...

    • Trade Data
  120. Week Ahead APAC Economic Preview: Week of 3 December 2018

    03 December 2018 Rajiv Biswas Chris Williamson Bernard Aw

    Week Ahead APAC Economic Preview: Week of 3 December 2018

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  121. Global manufacturing PMI holds at two-year low as world exports fall for third month running

    03 December 2018 Chris Williamson

    Global manufacturing growth was unchanged from October's 23-month low in November

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  122. UK Manufacturing PMI subdued by export decline and rising Brexit worries

    03 December 2018 Chris Williamson

    A rise in the UK Manufacturing PMI in November is welcome news, but the PMI continues to signal an increased risk of a downturn.

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  123. US manufacturers anticipate widespread tariff-based price impact

    30 November 2018 Chris Williamson

    Survey data indicate that US manufacturers expect tariffs to have a widespread upward impact on prices over the next two years.

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  124. Manufacturers anticipate widespread tariff-based price impact

    30 November 2018 Chris Williamson

    Manufacturers anticipate widespread tariff-based price impact

  125. Haiti corruption and protest risks

    30 November 2018 Carla Selman

    Haiti's opposition-promoted protests increase chances of government change over coming year; delays to legislative elections likely

    • Security Risk
    • Political Risk
  126. Mexican mining draft law

    30 November 2018 Carlos Cardenas

    Mexican mining draft law to increase environmental, social impact oversight over sector, but approval unlikely in 2018

    • Political Risk
    • Operational Risk
    • Economic Risk
  127. Capital Markets Weekly: Russian Euro-denominated sale, bank secularization plans and financings prominent in quieter week

    30 November 2018 Brian Lawson

    Issuing banks have sold TLAC/MREL eligible and subordinated deals

    • Economic Risk
    • Economic Data
  128. Ethiopia anti-corruption arrests

    30 November 2018 Chris Suckling, Ph.D.

    Anti-corruption arrests indicate diminishing resistance within ruling party to reducing economic influence of Ethiopian state-directed, -owned...

    • Political Risk
  129. Weekly Pricing Pulse: Oil suffers another rout

    29 November 2018 William May

    Demand concerns meant another bruising week for oil, with the MPI dropping again.

    • Commodity Price Forecasts
  130. It has never been easier to short Tesla, any takers?

    29 November 2018 Sam Pierson

    Peak borrow availability at minimum cost

    • Securities Finance
    • Credit Default Swaps (CDS)
    • Equity Markets
  131. Monthly GDP Index from Macroeconomic Advisers by IHS Markit for October

    28 November 2018 Kathleen Navin, CBE Ben Herzon, Ph.D.

    According to our Monthly GDP Index, monthly GDP rose 0.3% in October.

    • Economic Risk
    • Economic Data
  132. The Trade Numerologist: Indonesia Seeks Balance in Foreign Investment

    27 November 2018 John Miller

    As Indonesia heads into a presidential election next April, the world’s fourth most populous country is attempting to attract foreign investment...

    • Trade Data
  133. Holiday sales to bring plenty of cheer to US retailers this year

    27 November 2018 James Bohnaker

    A roaring job market is the gift that keeps on giving in 2018.

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
    • Consumer Spending
    • Income Distribution
    • Economic Data
  134. ETF lending continues to thrive

    27 November 2018 Sam Pierson

    ETF lending revenue to beat 2017 total, with December still ahead

    • Securities Finance
    • Exchange-Traded Funds (ETFs)
    • Credit Default Swaps (CDS)
  135. Week Ahead Economic Preview: Week of 26 November 2018

    26 November 2018 Chris Williamson

    The coming week sees the FOMC minutes and updated estimates to GDP for the US, Italy and France, as well as the Euro area’s flash inflation numbers....

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  136. Meet IHS Markit at RiskMinds International: 3-7 December 2018

    26 November 2018

    S&P Global, as an Associate Sponsor of RiskMinds International 2018, would like to invite you to meet our team of risk analytics experts during...

  137. November flash US PMI signals solid GDP and jobs growth

    23 November 2018 Chris Williamson

    The November flash S&P Global PMI surveys brought further evidence that the US economy is enjoying a strong fourth quarter

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  138. Eurozone economy's downside risks mount as flash PMI hits four-year low

    23 November 2018 Chris Williamson

    The latest flash PMI survey data revealed a cooling of Eurozone business growth to a four-year low.

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  139. Week Ahead APAC Economic Preview: Week of 26 November 2018

    23 November 2018 Rajiv Biswas Chris Williamson Bernard Aw

    Week Ahead APAC Economic Preview: Week of 26 November 2018

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  140. Australia continues to be generous with dividends amid uncertainty

    22 November 2018 Chong Jun Wong, CFA

    Dividends from ASX 200 are projected to grow by 7.7% to AUD 78.74bn in 2019.

    • Dividends
  141. Weekly Pricing Pulse: Brexit joins the geopolitical maelstrom helping to take commodities lower

    22 November 2018 William May

    A number of bearish signals drove a broad-based decline in the MPI last week

    • Commodity Price Forecasts
  142. European PMIs and Monetary Policy

    22 November 2018 Paul Smith, Ph.D. Joseph Hayes

    PMI-based models aid understanding of monetary policy decisions

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  143. Indian government involvement in banking policy

    21 November 2018 Deepa Kumar

    Reserve Bank of India meeting signals increased executive scrutiny of central bank policy, interference in other independent institutions likely....

    • Economic Risk
    • Economic Data
  144. UK business outlook gloomiest since 2009 as Brexit worries mount

    21 November 2018 Chris Williamson

    S&P Global's Global Business Outlook survey reveals marked drop in UK business confidence to lowest since the global financial crisis

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  145. One-off factors lead to negative German GDP growth in Q3 2018

    20 November 2018 Timo Klein

    Temporary factors were responsible for much of the latest economic downturn

    • Economic Risk
    • Economic Data
  146. Libyan peace process prospects

    20 November 2018 Ludovico Carlino

    Revised UN plan for Libya unlikely to facilitate east-west rapprochement, maintaining the current status quo.

    • Political Risk
  147. 95% of daily quoted US corporate bonds receive their first quote before 9:30am

    20 November 2018 Chris Fenske

    Parsed bond quotes patterns can provide a real-time indicator of changes in bond market liquidity

    • Municipal Bonds
  148. Week Ahead APAC Economic Preview: Week of 19 November 2018

    19 November 2018 Rajiv Biswas Chris Williamson Bernard Aw

    Week Ahead APAC Economic Preview: Week of 19 November 2018

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  149. Croatia approaches the Schengen area

    19 November 2018 Kit Nicholl Andrew Birch

    Croatia is nearing Schengen membership, benefiting EU ties while hardening the borders with its southeastern neighbors.

    • Political Risk
  150. Escalating US China tensions and its impact on Hong Kong

    18 November 2018 John Miller

    A summary of Hong Kong's top sources of imports, exports and new trade deals with Australia

    • Trade Data
    • Seaborne Trade
  151. Thanksgiving turkey price forecast

    16 November 2018 David Deull

    Healthy supply to take a bite out of turkey prices

    • Income Distribution
    • Consumer Spending
    • Economic Data
  152. Bougainville independence referendum

    16 November 2018 Alex Barnes

    Bougainville mid-2019 independence referendum in Papua New Guinea to delay mining development, raise likelihood of landowner attacks

    • Political Risk
  153. Brexit update

    16 November 2018 Jan Gerhard

    Formal UK cabinet backing for draft EU Withdrawal Bill represents weak indicator of final parliamentary approval

    • Political Risk
  154. Capital Markets Weekly: Successful Emerging Market primary transactions indicate improved stability

    16 November 2018 Brian Lawson

    Bond successes for Nigeria, Indonesia’s Italum and Gazprom and NLB/Kazatomprom equity opening premiums indicate stabilized primary markets

    • Economic Risk
    • Economic Data
  155. Week Ahead Economic Preview: Week of 19 November 2018

    16 November 2018 Chris Williamson

    The release of flash PMI surveys in the coming week will provide important steers for the economic performance of major economies midway through...

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  156. Weekly Pricing Pulse: Commodity prices continue their fourth quarter slide

    15 November 2018 William May

    US mid-term election results lift sentiment before trade concerns drain the cheer again

    • Commodity Price Forecasts
  157. Israel-Hamas ceasefire

    15 November 2018 Jack A. Kennedy

    Gaza ceasefire to hold but accelerate Israeli cabinet divisions and sustain high risk of renewed conflict.

    • Terrorism
    • Political Risk
  158. IHS Markit US PMI indicates strong start to fourth quarter

    14 November 2018 Chris Williamson

    S&P Global US PMI indicates strong start to fourth quarter

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  159. Mexico banking sector risk

    14 November 2018 Carlos Cardenas

    Disagreement between Mexican president-elect and his party to delay control of banking fees, regulatory changes still likely

    • Economic Risk
    • Economic Data
  160. IHS Markit US PMI selling price index remains near record high

    14 November 2018 Chris Williamson

    S&P Global US PMI selling price index remains near record high

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  161. Amazon HQ2 search ends in a split decision

    13 November 2018 Tom Jackson

    Amazon announced that its new second headquarters will be divided among locations in the New York City and Washington, DC, metro areas.

    • Economic Risk
  162. The Trade Numerologist: Colombia’s Dependence on Commodities

    13 November 2018 John Miller

    As Colombia recovers from bloody civil strife, contains a resurgent cocaine trade, and firms up its economy under a new president, it will need...

    • Trade Data
  163. Municipal bonds show some insulation from rising rates

    13 November 2018 Chris Fenske

    Data shows that 10yr AAA municipal bond yields rose slower than benchmark government bonds when rates sold off in the US.

    • Municipal Bonds
  164. Peru: On the ground political and violent risk assessment

    13 November 2018 Diego Moya-Ocampos, LLB Brian Lawson

    Despite political noise and adverse recent headlines our view of Peru continues to be positive

    • Terrorism
    • Political Risk
  165. Emerging Markets: Sub-Saharan Africa feels strain at start of fourth quarter

    13 November 2018 Andrew Harker

    Sub-Saharan African economies have seen growth slow in recent months

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  166. Trade Policy Insights: New TPP trade agreement – ‘No’ to Protectionism

    12 November 2018

    New TPP – the Comprehensive and Progressive Agreement for Trans-Pacific Partnership (CPTPP) will enter into force December 30th. CPTPP has been...

    • Trade Data
    • Seaborne Trade
    • Imports
  167. Week Ahead Economic Preview: Week of 12 November 2018

    12 November 2018 Chris Williamson

    UK data updates to employment, wage, inflation and retail sales data will be eyed to ascertain the economy's resilience in the face of intensifying...

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  168. Week Ahead APAC Economic Preview: Week of 12 November 2018

    09 November 2018 Rajiv Biswas Chris Williamson Bernard Aw

    Week Ahead APAC Economic Preview: Week of 12 November 2018

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  169. Argentine protest and strike risk

    09 November 2018 Carla Selman

    IMF 'safeguard' unlikely to reduce Argentina's protest and strike risks; cargo and transport disruption, property damage likely

    • Security Risk
    • Political Risk
  170. Trade downturn keeps global growth close to two-year low

    09 November 2018 Chris Williamson

    Global business activity grew at a marginally improved rate in October, but remained close to September's two-year low

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  171. Capital Markets Weekly: Kazakh successful Euro debut, Mozambique progressing restructuring

    09 November 2018 Brian Lawson

    Mozambique progresses debt restructuring by agreeing to share gas revenues with creditors; gas production remains key to debt sustainability....

    • Economic Risk
    • Economic Data
  172. Securities Lending Q3 Review

    08 November 2018 Sam Pierson

    What a difference a decade makes

    • Securities Finance
    • Credit Default Swaps (CDS)
  173. Brexit chaos damages UK credit

    08 November 2018 Gavan Nolan

    Flagship UK credits are widening amid Brexit uncertainty

    • Credit Default Swaps (CDS)
  174. Weekly Pricing Pulse: Stock markets and the Yuan find support, but commodity prices still fall

    08 November 2018 William May

    Mixed messages on trade and lackluster data on global manufacturing activity continued to push commodity prices lower

    • Commodity Price Forecasts
  175. October 2018 Model Performance Report

    07 November 2018

    Monthly style and specialty model performance report.

  176. India banking sector risk

    07 November 2018 Hanna Luchnikava-Schorsch Deepa Kumar Angus Lam

    Parliamentary elections in 2019 encourage government interference with RBI; policy reversals to increase India's external vulnerabilities.

    • Economic Risk
    • Economic Data
  177. The best defense is a good risk off-ense

    07 November 2018

    We review factor performance in October 2018.

  178. US mid-term elections 2018

    07 November 2018 Lindsay Newman, Ph.D. John Raines, Ph.D.

    New US Congress to result in policy gridlock and executive action on tariffs, sanctions, and deregulation.

    • Political Risk
    • Economic Risk
  179. Most shorted US equities deliver alpha in October

    07 November 2018 Sam Pierson

    Best month of the year for short interest factors

    • Securities Finance
    • Equity Markets
  180. Widespread contraction in eurozone productivity at start of fourth quarter

    07 November 2018 Pollyanna De Lima

    Widespread contraction in eurozone productivity at start of fourth quarter

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  181. Global PMI holds close to two-year low on weak Europe and China growth

    06 November 2018 Chris Williamson

    Global business activity grew at a marginally improved rate in October.

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  182. Growing pressure on Casino’s dividend

    06 November 2018 Jonathan Chatelain

    For FY18, despite red flags that can forewarn a dividend cut, we forecast Casino to pay a flat dividend of €3.12 per share, to be paid in two...

    • Dividends
  183. Japan PMI shows post-typhoon demand lifts output while input costs at 10-year high

    05 November 2018 Bernard Aw

    Japan PMI shows post-typhoon demand lifts output while input costs at 10-year high

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  184. China PMI surveys signal business activity growth at weakest in two years

    05 November 2018 Bernard Aw

    China PMI surveys signal business activity growth at weakest in two years

  185. The Trade Numerologist: The Future of Plastics in the Age of Shale Gas

    05 November 2018 John Miller

    Trade and production of plastics are getting a boost from more gas drilling, even as the fuel-based material faces opposition because it’s so...

    • Trade Data
  186. IHS Markit European loan volume survey Q3 2018

    05 November 2018 Rory McSwiggan

    After three consecutive quarters of increasing totals and record highs, trade volumes for Q3 seem to have ebbed slightly. Total sales for Q3...

  187. October UK PMI surveys indicate sharp slowing in economy

    05 November 2018 Chris Williamson

    PMI surveys showed UK business activity growing at a sharply reduced rate in October.

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  188. Capital Markets Weekly: Improving trend in Brazil with three diverse privatizations pending

    02 November 2018 Brian Lawson

    Significant privatizations represent an important indicator of market resilience, while having major impacts for the vendor countries.

    • Economic Risk
    • Economic Data
  189. Another IMF bailout for Pakistan

    02 November 2018 Hanna Luchnikava-Schorsch Asad Ali

    Pakistan’s new government of Imran Khan reluctantly returns to the IMF after other efforts to ease its external financial pressures fail

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
    • Economic Risk
    • Economic Data
  190. Week Ahead Economic Preview: Week of 5 November 2018

    02 November 2018 Chris Williamson

    Next week’s economic diary is a busy one, including the US FOMC meeting and the worldwide release of October services PMI surveys.

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  191. Week Ahead APAC Economic Preview: Week of 5 November 2018

    02 November 2018 Rajiv Biswas Chris Williamson Bernard Aw

    Week Ahead APAC Economic Preview: Week of 5 November 2018

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  192. Indonesia manufacturing PMI points to softer demand conditions at start of Q4

    01 November 2018 Bernard Aw

    Indonesia manufacturing PMI points to softer demand conditions at start of Q4

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  193. Labor shortages boost construction wage growth in the US

    01 November 2018 Emily Crowley

    The wage outlook for unskilled construction labor for each US geographic region

    • Economic Risk
  194. Trade-weighted euro at highest level since 2009

    01 November 2018 Ken Wattret

    Why the euro has risen so much on a trade-weighted basis and why it matters

    • Economic Risk
    • Economic Data
  195. Sri Lanka constitutional crisis

    01 November 2018 Asad Ali

    Sri Lankan PM's removal triggers constitutional crisis; early parliamentary elections likely and protest risks increasing in Colombo.

    • Political Risk
  196. Weekly Pricing Pulse: The global sell-off continues

    01 November 2018 William May

    Markets tumble further despite attempts by Chinese policy makers to lift the mood

    • Commodity Price Forecasts
  197. UK Manufacturing PMI at 27-month low raising risks of factory downturn

    01 November 2018 Chris Williamson

    Manufacturers reported a disappointing start to the fourth quarter, registering the weakest monthly growth since the Brexit vote.

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  198. NBFC stress in India: Outlook and risks

    31 October 2018 Hanna Luchnikava-Schorsch Deepa Kumar Brian Lawson Angus Lam

    our initial assessment of the enactment of Section 7 of the RBI Act and the likely policy implications

    • Economic Risk
    • Economic Data
  199. Prism VDR helps TickPick keep the deal moving forward

    30 October 2018

    When raising a new round of funding, TickPick turned to S&P Global’s Prism VDR to elevate its professionalism and expedite the process.

  200. Brazilian election results

    30 October 2018 Carlos Caicedo

    Brazil elects far-right president; policy direction and economic performance require details of new cabinet, fiscal adjustments.

    • Political Risk
  201. Short sellers selective amid volatile Q3 earnings

    29 October 2018 Sam Pierson

    Most shorted ahead of earnings

    • Securities Finance
    • Equity Markets
  202. The Trade Numerologist: Fertilizer Fear: Has Industrial Ag Peaked?

    29 October 2018 John Miller

    The modern factory food industry which nourishes many of the world’s 7.6 billion people demands large supplies of wheat, corn, sugar and soybeans....

    • Trade Data
  203. FRTB Decision-Making: The Data Quality Paradigm

    29 October 2018 Gil Shefi

    The idiomatic phrase “Garbage In, Garbage Out” still rings true 60 years after it was first coined. It has expanded from the world of computer...

    • Fundamental Review of the Trading Book (FRTB)
  204. 2018 Halloween candy prices are spooktacular

    29 October 2018 David Deull

    Halloween candy prices will likely lurch upward this year, but candy spending is not spooked

    • Consumer Spending
    • Income Distribution
    • Economic Data
  205. Monthly GDP Index from Macroeconomic Advisers by IHS Markit for September

    28 October 2018 Kathleen Navin, CBE Ben Herzon, Ph.D.

    According to our Monthly GDP Index, monthly GDP rose 0.3% in September.

    • Economic Risk
    • Economic Data
  206. Week Ahead APAC Economic Preview: Week of 29 October 2018

    26 October 2018 Rajiv Biswas Chris Williamson Bernard Aw

    Week Ahead APAC Economic Preview: Week of 29 October 2018

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  207. Capital Markets Weekly: Mixed signals from primary equity markets

    26 October 2018 Brian Lawson

    Ample equity market supply, sharp price cuts and outright withdrawals leave several important equity sales facing uncertain markets. 

    • Economic Risk
    • Economic Data
  208. Week Ahead Economic Preview: Week of 29 October 2018

    26 October 2018 Chris Williamson

    The worldwide release of October manufacturing PMI surveys will be a highlight in the coming week.

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  209. Weekly Pricing Pulse: Markets consolidate during a cautious week

    25 October 2018 William May

    Geopolitical issues dominate, driving significant volatility in currency and commodity prices.

    • Commodity Price Forecasts
  210. Trade-led slowdown pushes flash Eurozone PMI to two-year low at start of fourth quarter

    25 October 2018 Chris Williamson

    Trade-led slowdown pushes flash Eurozone PMI to two-year low at start of fourth quarter

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  211. Scenario analysis of US mid-term elections

    24 October 2018 Lindsay Newman, Ph.D. John Raines, Ph.D.

    Our analysts look at three possible election outcomes and assess the policy implications.

    • Political Risk
  212. Italian fiscal stress scenario triggers domestic recession

    24 October 2018 Raj Badiani

    Our stress scenario, using our Global Link Model, indicates a domestic recession but a smaller impact on the eurozone.

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
    • Economic Risk
    • Economic Data
  213. Reform developments in Zimbabwe

    22 October 2018 Alisa Strobel

    Zimbabwe revises GDP data and includes informal sector for the first time while the new Finance Minister announces ambitious economic stabilization...

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
    • Economic Risk
    • Economic Data
  214. The Trade Numerologist: Amid Turmoil, a Polish Miracle, Made of Exports

    22 October 2018 John Miller

    Exit polls taken after the recent local elections in Poland suggest a moderate victory for the country’s embattled right-wing populist government....

    • Trade Data
    • Seaborne Trade
    • Imports
    • Exports
  215. Week Ahead APAC Economic Preview: Week of 22 October 2018

    19 October 2018 Rajiv Biswas Chris Williamson Bernard Aw

    Week Ahead APAC Economic Preview: Week of 22 October 2018

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  216. Capital Markets Weekly: Pemex and Turkey boost emerging market debt

    19 October 2018 Brian Lawson

    While major IPO postponements indicate worsening sentiment, Turkey’s market return and Pemex’s 10-year bond sale are clearly risk-positive.

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
    • Economic Risk
    • Economic Data
  217. Bulgarian corruption risk

    19 October 2018 Petya Barzilska

    Bulgarian prosecutors likely to continue drive for corruption and organized crime convictions, increasing business disruption, non-payment risks....

    • Political Risk
  218. Week Ahead Economic Preview: Week of 22 October 2018

    19 October 2018 Chris Williamson

    Flash PMI data will be scoured for signals of economic performance at the start of the final quarter of 2018.

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  219. Weekly Pricing Pulse: Sell off shines light on anxiety in global markets

    18 October 2018 William May

    US Treasury yield move prompts largest global equity sell off since January.

    • Commodity Price Forecasts
  220. Argentina export tax and strike risks

    18 October 2018 Carla Selman

    Argentine export tax burden mitigated by currency gains, but strikes disrupting cargo and port operations likely.

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
    • Operational Risk
    • Economic Risk
  221. Mozambique election fraud fallout

    18 October 2018 Verner Ayukegba

    Electoral fraud accusations by Mozambique's opposition RENAMO unlikely to lead to return to civil war.

    • Political Risk
  222. Trade Policy Insights: US and Canada in USMCA – Dollars, Tonnes, and National Security Tariffs

    16 October 2018

    The dispute resolution process of the 1994 NAFTA will be preserved. Canada can challenge duties placed by US on Canadian exports on an expert...

    • Trade Data
  223. PMI data largely skewed to the downside for "vulnerable" emerging markets

    16 October 2018 Joseph Hayes Andrew Harker

    Rising interest rates in the US are putting pressure on currencies in emerging markets.

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  224. Agility in post-trade? A key differentiator when operating in the digital age

    16 October 2018

    This year, we are focused on 'Agility in post-trade' and looking at how being agile as an organisation is a key differentiator for our clients...

  225. German fiscal policy to be loosened cautiously during 2018–22

    16 October 2018 Timo Klein

    The government’s shift towards a more expansionary fiscal policy remains limited in scope and overly focused on public consumption rather than...

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
    • Economic Risk
    • Economic Data
  226. Currency crises in emerging markets – how to assess the risk

    16 October 2018 Nariman Behravesh, Ph.D.

    Ukraine, South Africa, Indonesia and India among key emerging markets vulnerable to currency crisis

    • Economic Risk
    • Economic Data
  227. Higher than expected inflation may give Swedish hawks the upper hand

    15 October 2018

    As we edge closer to October’s decisive monetary policy meeting, stronger than expected inflation figures may have given the hawks the upper...

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
    • Economic Risk
  228. The Trade Numerologist: The Brazilian Election’s Impact on Global Trade

    15 October 2018 John Miller

    If Jair Bolsonaro beats Fernando Haddad for Brazil’s presidency on Oct. 28, it’s expected to spur Brazilian exports at the expense of environmental...

    • Trade Data
  229. Week Ahead APAC Economic Preview: Week of 15 October 2018

    12 October 2018 Rajiv Biswas Chris Williamson Bernard Aw

    Week Ahead APAC Economic Preview: Week of 15 October 2018

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  230. South African fiscal policy outlook

    12 October 2018 Langelihle Malimela

    South African finance minister's replacement unlikely to change economic impact of pending budget or ratings downgrade risk.

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
    • Economic Risk
    • Economic Data
  231. Brazilian election update

    12 October 2018 Carlos Caicedo

    Far-right candidate well-placed to win Brazil's presidential election in second round; support for austerity likely.

    • Political Risk
    • Economic Risk
  232. Not all bankruptcies are equal

    12 October 2018 Gavan Nolan

    The recent credit event on Astaldi showed that not all bankruptcies are the same

    • Credit Default Swaps (CDS)
    • Financial Trading
  233. New South African Finance Minister and pending budget statement

    11 October 2018 Thea Fourie Langelihle Malimela Joyce Silungwe Brian Lawson

    A 30-minute expert commentary on the current political and economic landscape and the potential near-term implications for South Africa.

    • Political Risk
    • Economic Risk
  234. Weekly Pricing Pulse: Oil and chemical price increases boost MPI Index despite headwinds

    11 October 2018 William May

    Slower economic growth and rising bond yields suggest upcoming turbulence for commodity markets.

    • Commodity Price Forecasts
  235. Stalled Palestinian reconciliation

    11 October 2018 Jack A. Kennedy

    Stalled Palestinian reconciliation increases likelihood of anti-Israel protests, elevating conflict risk after rocket and arson attacks.

    • Terrorism
    • Political Risk
  236. Trade downturn pushes global growth to two-year low

    10 October 2018 Chris Williamson

    The following is an extract from S&P Global's monthly PMI overview presentation. For the full report please click on the link at the bottom of...

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  237. The Trade Numerologist: Could Trade War Boost Global Mining?

    09 October 2018 John Miller

    The trade war between the US and China has cast a gloom over the global economy. Higher tariffs are expected to increase prices and dent demand...

    • Trade Data
  238. Monthly model performance report – September 2018

    08 October 2018

    Monthly style and specialty model performance report.

  239. Global growth and optimism slide to two-year lows, but prices rise at record rate

    08 October 2018 Chris Williamson

    Global economic growth moderated to a two-year low in September in a broad-based slowdown, according to the latest PMI surveys.

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  240. PMI data signal weakest EU automotive sector growth for almost four years

    08 October 2018 Sian Jones

    Manufacturers in the automotive industry experienced the weakest output growth for almost four years in the third quarter of 2018.

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  241. China PMI data points to resilient growth, but also highlight risks to future expansion

    08 October 2018 Bernard Aw

    China PMI data points to resilient growth, but also highlight risks to future expansion

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  242. Weekly Pricing Pulse: Iranian crude supply drives oil prices to multi-year highs

    05 October 2018 William May

    Uncertainty in oil markets pushed oil and chemicals up as the world awaits OPEC’s reaction to Iranian sanctions.

    • Commodity Price Forecasts
  243. Post-season play

    05 October 2018

    We review factor performance in September 2018.

  244. Astaldi poses a question for ISDA DC

    05 October 2018 Gavan Nolan

    Astaldi has filed for creditor protection, but will be that enough to trigger a credit event

    • Credit Default Swaps (CDS)
  245. Week Ahead APAC Economic Preview: Week of 8 October 2018

    05 October 2018 Rajiv Biswas Chris Williamson Bernard Aw

    Week Ahead APAC Economic Preview: Week of 8 October 2018

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  246. Building a synthetic longer history to the IHS Markit US Manufacturing PMI

    04 October 2018 Chris Williamson

    Although the more accurate S&P Global PMI extends back over a decade to early-2007, the ISM data extend back to the 1950s.

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  247. US military drawdowns in sub-Saharan Africa

    04 October 2018 Jihane Boudiaf

    Probable US Special Operations Forces' partial drawdowns likely to reignite jihadist attacks against sub-Saharan African security forces.

    • Political Risk
  248. US economy slows and prices spike higher amid signs of capacity constraints

    04 October 2018 Chris Williamson

    September PMI survey data added to signs that the US economy expanded at a slower, but still solid, rate in Q3

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  249. Japan PMI at two-year low signals softer output growth

    03 October 2018 Bernard Aw

    Japan PMI at two-year low signals softer output growth

  250. Maldives elections

    03 October 2018 Deepa Kumar

    Maldivian president-elect likely to release jailed opposition leaders and judges, balance India-China interests following transfer of power.

    • Political Risk
  251. Trade Policy Insights: EU – Japan eliminate tariffs – Global Impact Report

    03 October 2018

    The EU Japan Economic Partnership Agreement signed July 17, 2018. Expected to enter into force in 2019 and eliminate tariffs on most commodities....

    • Trade Data
    • Commodity Trading
  252. PMI surveys show UK economy enjoying robust growth up to September

    03 October 2018 Chris Williamson

    PMI data showed business activity rising in September, albeit with the rate of growth cooling to the second-lowest since April.

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  253. Eurozone PMI signals solid third quarter but growth near two-year low in September

    03 October 2018 Chris Williamson

    Eurozone PMI data showed growth slowing to a near-two year low in September.

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  254. Attractive dividends from the two French carmakers

    03 October 2018 Jonathan Chatelain

    PSA to boost its FY18 dividend 50%, Renault dividend yield at a five-year high

    • Dividends
  255. A Sea Change: Plastics Pathway to Sustainability – October 2018

    01 October 2018

    In this webinar we will demonstrate how you can utilize the special study, “A Sea Change: Plastics Pathway to Sustainability”, to adjust your...

  256. The Trade Numerologist: New NAFTA Deal Boosts US Auto, Farmers

    01 October 2018 John Miller

    NAFTA is alive. Canada and the Trump administration found common ground late Sunday night, signing a last-minute pact to revamp the North American...

    • Trade Data
  257. World exports fall for first time in over two years

    01 October 2018 Chris Williamson

    Worldwide manufacturers reported the first fall in global export orders for over two years in September.

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  258. Week Ahead APAC Economic Preview: Week of 1 October 2018

    28 September 2018 Rajiv Biswas Chris Williamson Bernard Aw

    Week Ahead APAC Economic Preview: Week of 1 October 2018

  259. Falling demand for US equity "specials"

    28 September 2018 Sam Pierson

    The most expensive to borrow US equities have delivered short alpha in September, but demand is still down

    • Equity Markets
  260. Monthly GDP Index from Macroeconomic Advisers by IHS Markit for August

    27 September 2018 Kathleen Navin, CBE Ben Herzon, Ph.D.

     According to our Monthly GDP Index, monthly GDP was essentially flat in August.

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
    • Economic Data
  261. Weekly Pricing Pulse: Equity markets rise despite fresh trade salvo but commodity prices take a hit

    27 September 2018 William May

    Markets shrug off trade concerns but post-Florence fervor retreats drawing down the MPI.

    • Commodity Price Forecasts
  262. Kenyan government opts not to renew IMF financing

    27 September 2018 Ama Egyaba Baidu Forson

    Kenya's government has decided to manage its economy without access to nearly USD1 billion from the International Monetary Fund (IMF).

    • Operational Risk
    • Economic Risk
  263. Regulatory changes to Spanish rail sector

    25 September 2018 Laurence Allan, Ph.D.

    Spanish state-owned rail operator set to lose monopoly on domestic train services, signaling probability of labor strikes

    • Political Risk
    • Operational Risk
    • Economic Risk
  264. The Trade Numerologist: New US Tariffs on Chinese Goods Hit Big Retail

    24 September 2018 John Miller

    All year, even as the Trump administration and Chinese leaders fired round after round of new tariffs at each other, both sides targeted mostly...

    • Trade Data
  265. Violent risks to Colombian mining projects

    24 September 2018 Arthur Dhont

    Heightened risk of homicide and property damage to affect mining in Colombia's Antioquia in one-year outlook.

    • Terrorism
    • Security Risk
    • Operational Risk
  266. Romania cross a turbulent zone while flying with only one engine on

    24 September 2018 Vaiva Seckute

    Weak investments and rising imbalances might lead to a sudden stop to consumption driven boom as external risks are piling up.

    • Economic Risk
  267. Kenyan tax risks

    24 September 2018 Joyce Silungwe Chris Suckling, Ph.D. Ama Baidu-Forson

    Kenya's revised tax measures indicate revenue shortfalls delaying infrastructure development; repeal of loan interest-rate cap unlikely.

    • Taxation Risk
    • Legal Risk
    • Economic Risk
  268. Week Ahead APAC Economic Preview: Week of 24 September 2018

    24 September 2018 Bernard Aw Chris Williamson Rajiv Biswas

    Week Ahead APAC Economic Preview: Week of 24 September 2018

  269. Turkey still far from exiting currency crisis

    21 September 2018 Andrew Birch

    The interest rate increase was welcome, but widespread reforms are needed to return the Turkish lira and markets to stability.

    • Economic Risk
  270. Bank & Thrift Model II - 10 years after Lehman bankruptcy

    20 September 2018

    We review the Bank & Thrift Model II performance 10 years after the Lehman bankruptcy.

  271. Trade Policy Insights: US China - Who is at risk? New Global Trade Rules?

    20 September 2018

    On Monday September 17th, the Office of the United States Trade Representative (USTR) released a list of approximately $200 billion worth of...

    • Trade Data
  272. Weekly Pricing Pulse: Commodity prices sag as Chinese data disappoints and Florence hits demand

    20 September 2018 William May

    Trade rumblings, weak Chinese FAI and Hurricane Florence hit the MPI.

    • Commodity Price Forecasts
  273. Thai election implications

    20 September 2018 David Li

    Thailand's 2019 election unlikely to alter military influence, civilian government likely to promote infrastructure spending, tax collection....

    • Political Risk
  274. Swedish doves still outnumber hawks

    19 September 2018

    Increased dovishness at the Riksbank has led to high FX volatility; as fears mount that the first rate hike will be delayed in 2019

    • Economic Risk
  275. Copper end-use PMI data indicate prices set to stabilise over Q4 2018

    18 September 2018 Sam Teague

    Latest survey data indicate that demand and supply fundamentals currently support a stabilisation in copper prices.

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  276. US manufacturing surveys send diverging signals

    18 September 2018 Chris Williamson

    Different surveys offer differing views on the health of the US manufacturing economy.

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  277. Structural improvements mitigate rising financial risks in Georgia

    17 September 2018 Venla Sipilä-Rosen

    Monetary reform progress and structural strengthening of the current account help increasing exchange rate and inflation risks.

    • Economic Risk
  278. Digging down under quant performance

    17 September 2018

    We review the Australian economic landscape and recent quantitative model and factor performance within the Research Signals Global Factor Library....

  279. The Trade Numerologist: After Hurricane Florence, a Need for Imports

    17 September 2018 John Miller

    As Hurricane Florence marched up the US East Coast this weekend, killing at least 16 people and wreaking havoc with unrelenting rain and flooding...

    • Trade Data
  280. Week Ahead APAC Economic Preview: Week of 17 September 2018

    17 September 2018 Rajiv Biswas Chris Williamson Bernard Aw

    Week Ahead APAC Economic Preview: Week of 17 September 2018

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  281. Zimbabwe cabinet reshuffle

    14 September 2018 Theo Acheampong, Ph.D. Langelihle Malimela

    Zimbabwean Cabinet reshuffle, purge of ruling party gatekeepers indicate economic reforms, international re-engagement are key government priorities....

    • Political Risk
  282. Global Economic Preview: Week of 17 September 2018

    14 September 2018 Chris Williamson

    S&P Global flash PMI surveys will provide early insights into the performance of major economies at the end of the third quarter, in a week in...

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  283. South Korean exporters face headwinds amid slowing global growth

    14 September 2018 Joseph Hayes

    Weaker expansion in global goods-producing sector has strong implications for South Korean exporters.

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  284. Forecast review: Ethiopia

    14 September 2018 Lindsay Newman, Ph.D.

    Correct forecast on Ethiopia leadership challenge.

  285. Cannabis shorts stay the course

    14 September 2018 Sam Pierson

    Rally sees shorts get more selective

    • Securities Finance
    • Equity Markets
  286. Turkey bows to the inevitable

    14 September 2018 Gavan Nolan

    Turkey's credit spreads have rallied after the central bank hiked rates

    • Credit Default Swaps (CDS)
  287. Brazilian election update

    13 September 2018 Carlos Caicedo

    Support for Brazil's far-right candidate increases slightly after stabbing; presidential run-off likely to involve two anti-establishment candidates....

    • Political Risk
  288. Trade Policy Insights: China Soybeans Challenge

    13 September 2018

    US Exports reached 1.5 trillion USD in 2017. China is the 3rd largest US Export market, by value, after Canada and Mexico. US Exports to China...

    • Trade Data
  289. Weekly Pricing Pulse: Trade war escalation threats weigh on commodities

    13 September 2018 William May

    Threat of a further slew of tariffs on Chinese imports, weighs on MPI

    • Commodity Price Forecasts
  290. Update on Afghan peace talks

    12 September 2018 Asad Ali

    Further Taliban assaults on Afghan provincial cities likely but momentum towards peace talks also set to increase.

    • Terrorism
  291. Argentinian austerity plan

    12 September 2018 Carlos Caicedo Carla Selman

    Argentina deepens austerity to secure IMF support and stabilize peso; doubts of government leadership undermine business confidence.

    • Political Risk
    • Operational Risk
  292. Global growth near two-year low as trade flows stagnate

    11 September 2018 Chris Williamson

    The following is an extract from S&P Global's monthly PMI overview presentation.

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  293. Using a “Human + Machine” Approach to Determine Financial Market Regimes

    11 September 2018

    Financial markets are volatile and unpredictable, but do they display certain patterns that could be helpful in risk management and portfolio...

    • Financial Trading
    • Financial Risk Analytics
    • Artificial Intelligence (AI)
  294. The Trade Numerologist: Apple Feels Heat of US-China Trade War

    10 September 2018 John Miller

    As we discussed last week, the car industry has taken big hits in the global trade war, which so far has targeted industrial sectors.

    • Trade Data
  295. Fall in the Myanmar kyat sparks import-driven inflation

    10 September 2018 Sian Jones

    Throughout most of 2018, the Myanmar kyat has depreciated rapidly against key currencies.

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  296. Global growth close to two-year low in broadening slowdown

    10 September 2018 Chris Williamson

    Global economic growth edged lower in August, according to the latest PMI surveys, down to its second-weakest for nearly two years

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  297. Global Economic Preview: Week of 10 September 2018

    07 September 2018 Chris Williamson

    Highlights of the week include European Central Bank and Bank of England monetary policy meetings, the latter coming on the heels of updated...

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  298. Week Ahead APAC Economic Preview: Week of 10 September 2018

    07 September 2018 Rajiv Biswas Chris Williamson Bernard Aw

    Our special focus this week looks at the ASEAN region and its rise as a manufacturing hub.

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  299. Weekly Pricing Pulse: Commodity prices shrug off currency and tariff woes to push higher

    06 September 2018 William May

    For a second consecutive week, oil drives gains in an otherwise directionless week

    • Commodity Price Forecasts
  300. Monthly model performance report – August 2018

    06 September 2018

    Monthly style and specialty model performance report.

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