17 December 2019 Nariman Behravesh, Ph.D.
What's coming in 2020? Global growth will expand at a rate of 2.5 percent in 2020 before edging up to 2.7% in 2021 and 2022.
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16 December 2019 Chris Williamson
Business activity, order book and jobs growth all accelerated to five-month highs in December, according to flash PMI data
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16 December 2019 Chris Williamson
The Eurozone economy closed out 2019 mired in its worst spell since 2013
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16 December 2019
From large-scale acquisitions to smaller, mid-market deals, M&A activity has been on the rise. The latest full-year data showed that 2018...
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16 December 2019 Chris Williamson
December’s PMI survey data sadly lacked festive cheer, indicating that the economy contracted for the third time in the past four months. With...
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13 December 2019 Sian Jones Rajiv Biswas Ken Wattret Joseph Hayes Chris Williamson Bernard Aw
The week starts with a flurry of flash PMI updates and key official data releases for the US and China, notably including industrial production....
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13 December 2019
Lloyd Nicholls and Ankush Zutshi outline practical considerations of how crypto assets and technology can emerge in a regulated environment.
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13 December 2019 Lewis Cooper
The ASEAN manufacturing downturn extended into the middle of the fourth quarter, with operating conditions deteriorating for a sixth month running...
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12 December 2019 Tozar Gandhi
In this month’s blog we review how low interest rates have been a big factor in fueling an increase in Taxable muni issuances for refunding Tax...
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12 December 2019
Environmental Shareholder Proposals: Is Less More
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12 December 2019 Sam Pierson
Proxy voting and exercising corporate governance responsibilities can work in tandem with securities lending
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11 December 2019 William May
More positive data points help to propel prices to a third week of gains
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10 December 2019 Chris Williamson
A look at data quality, and if ‘normal’ people participate in surveys
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09 December 2019 Chris Williamson
At 51.5 in November, the JPMorgan Global PMI™ (compiled by S&P Global) rose to a four-month high
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09 December 2019 Chris Williamson
Worldwide growth picked up in November, led by the fastest manufacturing expansion seen so far this year. Key sectors such as autos and machinery...
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06 December 2019 Sian Jones Rajiv Biswas Raj Badiani Ken Wattret Joseph Hayes Chris Williamson Bernard Aw
The following is an extract from S&P Global's latest Week Ahead Economic Preview. For the full report (including Special Reports) please click...
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05 December 2019 Brian Lawson
In the first week after Thanksgiving, two borrowers raised perpetual debt and several others obtained longer-dated liabilities.
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05 December 2019
Over the month of November, the US Treasury curve widened. The table below summarizes weekly and monthly performance across the curve, followed...
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04 December 2019 William May
Better news on manufacturing is providing some support for commodities.
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04 December 2019 Chris Williamson
UK business activity contracted for the fifth time in the past six months during November
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04 December 2019 Andrew Harker
Zambian economic output is being held back by shortages of power and money
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03 December 2019 Brian Lawson
ICMA’s AMIC conference on 27 November considered the EU’s efforts to establish an “Ecolabel” for environmentally-friendly investment vehicles. ...
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03 December 2019 Byron McKinney
Shipping is a crucial component of trade finance and anything that impacts the regulatory or financial standing of a vessel, a vessels ownership...
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03 December 2019 Chris Williamson
Global manufacturing activity increased for the first time in seven months in November, according to PMI survey data, albeit improving only fractionally....
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02 December 2019
Alex Golbin reviews possible solutions to the existing due diligence challenges facing financial institutions.
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02 December 2019
US imports from China in 2017 reached over 70.5 million tonnes and exceeded 75.2 million tonnes in 2018. We predict lower growth rates in 2019...
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28 November 2019 Matthew Shruhan Jenny Yang
Impact of China’s tariff increase from 10% to 25% on LNG imports from the US, a commodity once hoped would ease trade tensions between the two...
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27 November 2019 William May
Commodity prices finally join other asset classes in increasing
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27 November 2019 Brian Lawson
This week’s clear highlight is China’s return to the dollar bond market with a substantially-oversubscribed four-tranche issue.
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27 November 2019 Kathleen Navin, CBE Ben Herzon, Ph.D.
According to our Monthly GDP Index, monthly GDP rose 0.2% in October
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22 November 2019 Chris Williamson
A welcome upturn in the headline index from the flash PMI adds to evidence that the worst of the US economy’s recent soft patch may be behind...
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22 November 2019 Bernard Aw
November flash PMI data point to growing risk of the Japanese economy falling into a decline during the fourth quarter, with both business activity...
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22 November 2019 Chris Williamson
With an upcoming general election adding to Brexit-related uncertainty about the outlook, it was no surprise to see UK businesses report falling...
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22 November 2019 Chris Williamson
The eurozone economy was becalmed for a third successive month in November
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22 November 2019 Paul Smith, Ph.D. Joseph Hayes
Today sees a fresh set of flash PMI figures released for Europe, including our new flash series for the UK.
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21 November 2019 William Farmer
New data protection law increases regulatory burden in Kenya's mobile money lending sector; more regulation likely
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21 November 2019 David Deull
After drying out in 2018, turkey prices are set to soak up a little more gravy this Thanksgiving
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20 November 2019 Petya Barzilska Dijedon Imeri
Western Balkan "mini-Schengen" initiative has potential to boost trade, but will be limited to agriculture and tourism
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20 November 2019 William May
Despite positive wording coming from US-China trade talks commodity prices fell again last week
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19 November 2019 Arthur Dhont
Colombian government likely to struggle to implement economic policies in 2020 because of social and legislative opposition
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19 November 2019 Brian Lawson
Sweden’s central bank has followed the recent example set by Norway’s state pension fund in divesting assets deemed to have a high carbon footprint...
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19 November 2019 Thea Fourie Chris Suckling, Ph.D.
Over the past decade strong economic growth in sub-Saharan Africa was accompanied by resurgent commodity prices and growing demands for infrastructure...
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18 November 2019 Amritpal Virdee
This note provides the first look into the S&P Global PMI™ Canada Export Climate Index, which tracks the international demand environment facing...
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18 November 2019 Chris Williamson
Despite falling in October for a second straight month, there are signs that the underlying trend in US manufacturing output is improving.
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18 November 2019 Paul Smith, Ph.D. Joseph Hayes
Our nowcast for the eurozone has been revised into growth territory, with an expansion of +0.08% forecast for the fourth quarter.
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15 November 2019 Dijedon Imeri
Dispute over Taranto steelworks increases likelihood of nationalization but does not represent shift in Italy's industrial policy
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15 November 2019 Brian Lawson
Since late August, the negative-yielding debt stock fell USD5 trillion to USD12 trillion with France’s 10 year OAT now giving a positive yield...
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14 November 2019 Chris Williamson
The following is an extract from S&P Global's monthly PMI overview presentation. For the full report please click on the link at the bottom of...
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13 November 2019 James Bohnaker
Retailers have good reason to be optimistic about the upcoming holiday shopping season, but not without a hint of caution
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13 November 2019 William May
Optimism that tariffs might be selectively reduced lifted commodity prices mid-week before falling flat
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13 November 2019 Francis Land David Cook
The FCA published the findings of their multi-firm review into MiFID II research unbundling rules on 19 September 2019 and the headline was that...
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13 November 2019
Opposition protests to escalate before Djibouti’s 2020-21 elections, with presidential succession and boundary disputes being notable triggers...
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13 November 2019 Diego Iscaro
Greece has unveiled an asset protection scheme aimed at helping banks to lower their non-performing loan (NPL) ratio, which is the highest in...
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13 November 2019
Aggregate dividends for Hang Seng Composite Index (HSCI) are estimated to grow by 8% to HKD 918.2 billion in 2020
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12 November 2019 Chris Williamson
News of the economy contracting for a second successive month in September has been swiftly followed by a warning of how the growing economic...
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11 November 2019 Chris Williamson
The latest official data show the UK economy contracting for a second successive month in September, matching business survey data.
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08 November 2019 Brian Lawson
China raised 12- and 20-year funding in its first Euro-deal since 2004. Brazil sold 10-and 31-year dollar debt at its second-lowest cost to date....
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08 November 2019 Sian Jones Rajiv Biswas Ken Wattret Joseph Hayes Chris Williamson Bernard Aw
US-China trade developments are dominating markets and the coming week will see the release of important indicators of how both economies have...
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06 November 2019 Rajiv Biswas
Rajiv Biswas, our Asia Pacific Chief Economist, provides his comments on the Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership deal which will create...
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06 November 2019 Paul Smith, Ph.D. Joseph Hayes
Following this morning's release of final October PMI data for the euro zone, we provide our first comprehensive outlook for the fourth quarter...
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06 November 2019 William May
A PMI surprise, a Fed rate cut, and trade optimism failed to buoy commodity markets
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06 November 2019 Sam Pierson
Global markets see $2.6bn in securities lending revenue
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05 November 2019 Bernard Aw
Hong Kong SAR’s private sector remained mired in one of its worst downturns for the past two decades during October, according to the latest...
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05 November 2019 Ludovico Carlino Ege Seckin Columb Strack
Baghdadi's death unlikely to significantly reduce capabilities of Islamic State-aligned localized jihadist factions in Syria and Iraq
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05 November 2019
As a result of the widespread impact of the trade-war we begin with a roundup of the key players in the agricultural ecosystem and their coping...
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05 November 2019 Chris Williamson
The UK PMI surveys recorded a third successive monthly contraction of business activity in October, indicating the economy is in its toughest...
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04 November 2019 Tozar Gandhi
In this month’s blog we review a couple of instances wherein uncertainty in the outcome of litigation has led to a bumpy ride for some bondholders...
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04 November 2019 Jordan Anderson Jihane Boudiaf Jack A. Kennedy
Ethiopia, Egypt, Sudan likely to resume talks over Nile dam dispute; escalation to military action highly unlikely
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04 November 2019 Chris Williamson
A recent ONS paper notes how S&P Global UK PMI surveys show a strong correlation with official UK gross domestic product (GDP) and its manufacturing...
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04 November 2019 Chris Williamson
Global manufacturing activity contracted marginally for a sixth straight month in October, according to the latest PMI data from S&P Global...
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01 November 2019 Sian Jones Rajiv Biswas Ken Wattret Joseph Hayes Chris Williamson Bernard Aw
The dovish tilt to global policy making continued in October with the US Fed cutting rates for the third time, but whether this represents the...
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01 November 2019 Bernard Aw
The latest Caixin PMI painted a picture of a sustained improvement in manufacturing conditions across China during October
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01 November 2019
Tozar Gandhi receives recognition from The Bond Buyer for his contributions to the Municipal Market.
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01 November 2019 Brian Lawson
Debt markets eased only modestly after the first-round Peronist victory in Argentina’s elections but Lebanon is attracting growing adverse focus....
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01 November 2019 Dijedon Imeri
Umbria regional elections to bolster Italy’s Lega-led opposition and undermine cohesion of national government
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01 November 2019 Lewis Cooper
The Dutch manufacturing sector began the final quarter of the year on a weak footing
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01 November 2019 Andrew Harker
The Turkish economy has begun to show signs of improvement following the impact of marked currency depreciation in 2018
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31 October 2019 Bernard Aw
Official GDP data showed the Hong Kong economy contracted at its sharpest rate since 2009 in the third quarter, as signalled well in advance...
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30 October 2019 Thomas McCartin
Markets have taken on a bearish view of the near future due to trade policy uncertainty.
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29 October 2019 Julien Rey
In September, we issued a cross-industry IBOR Transition survey to market participants across the globe, and we presented the results via a live...
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28 October 2019 David Deull
We are forecasting Americans to spend a total of $2.7 billion on Halloween candy in 2019, the most yet
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28 October 2019 Kathleen Navin, CBE Ben Herzon, Ph.D.
According to our Monthly GDP Index, monthly GDP rose 0.3% in September
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28 October 2019 Blanka Kolenikova
Hungarian opposition's municipal election gains bolster hopes for 2022 general poll, but Fidesz government remains stable
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28 October 2019
Learn how BC Partners, a leading alternative investment manager focused on private equity, credit and real estate across Europe and North America...
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25 October 2019 Brian Lawson
While Barbados appears to have reached agreement with international creditors, Lebanese yields indicate increasing growing debt-sustainability...
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25 October 2019 Sara L. Johnson, CBE Nariman Behravesh, Ph.D.
The October Global Economic Forecast Flash from Chief Economist Nariman Behravesh and Sara Johnson, Executive Director, Global Economics
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25 October 2019 Sian Jones Rajiv Biswas Ken Wattret Joseph Hayes Chris Williamson Bernard Aw
A busy week ahead includes the eagerly awaited FOMC meeting, manufacturing PMIs from around the world, US non-farm payrolls, GDP data from both...
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24 October 2019 Bernard Aw
The Japanese economy is at risk of contracting as business activity was hit in October following the sales tax increase which took effect during...
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24 October 2019
More recently the definition of risk models is starting to stretch and include both simpler quantitative calculations and more complex capabilities...
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24 October 2019 Chris Williamson
While an upturn in the headline flash PMI for October might add to hopes that GDP growth could accelerate in the final quarter of the year, the...
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24 October 2019 Chris Williamson
The eurozone economy remained close to stagnation at the start of the fourth quarter, according to the latest flash PMI data
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24 October 2019 Chris Suckling, Ph.D.
EU proposals to establish development bank targeting sub-Saharan Africa likely to advance slowly given significant disagreements
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23 October 2019
More than three years after the European Benchmark Regulation (“BMR”) entered into force, the European Commission (“EC”) has kicked off the required...
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23 October 2019 William May
The on-going slow-down in Chinese industrial activity continues to check raw material prices
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23 October 2019 Sharon Fisher
While demographic challenges are daunting, some countries are better positioned than others to live with shrinking populations.
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22 October 2019 Lewis Cooper
The health of the Canadian manufacturing sector improved in September, according to the latest S&P Global PMI survey data. A renewed upturn in...
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21 October 2019 Gavan Nolan
Positive stories about the CDS market are few and far between in contemporary mainstream media. This is not surprising – an article about nefarious...
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21 October 2019 Rajiv Biswas
Rajiv Biswas, Asia Pacific Chief Economist at S&P Global, provides his comments on BOK’s decision to cut the policy rate
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21 October 2019 Brian Lawson
A post-crisis record CMBS sale, the first sub-1% corporate perpetual, and a large Italian project bond all indicate healthy risk appetite
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21 October 2019 Sian Jones Rajiv Biswas Raj Badiani Ken Wattret Joseph Hayes Chris Williamson Bernard Aw
The week ahead includes a raft of flash PMI surveys to provide an early indication of economic trends at the start of the fourth quarter. Policy...
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16 October 2019 Srichandra Masabathula
iTraxx Asia ex-Japan Rolls Strong
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15 October 2019 John Jannes
John Jannes provides key highlights and takeaways from our roundtable on 606 Look-through requirements.
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15 October 2019 Chris Williamson
The UK labour market showed signs of cooling in the summer, with employment falling to the greatest extent for four years
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15 October 2019
Alex Golbin, head of Assessment Services for KY3P highlights the implications of Shadow IT and third party risk management.
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15 October 2019 Sian Jones
September PMI data showed the Greek manufacturing sector yet again providing a spark of light in the general gloom of the wider eurozone goods-producing...
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11 October 2019 Brian Lawson
Italian power firm Enel will stop issuing Green Bonds, in favor of sustainable debt, while Sweden and Italy are preparing Green Bond debuts.
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11 October 2019 Diego Moya-Ocampos, LLB
Peruvian president's move to constitutionally shut down Congress likely to trigger political standoff, delaying investments and projects
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11 October 2019 Fotios Katsoulas
OPEC decided to raise the oil output ceiling for Nigeria to 1.774 million b/d, from 1.685 million b/d.
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11 October 2019 Chris Williamson Bernard Aw Sian Jones Diego Iscaro Joseph Hayes
The week ahead includes a key Brexit deadline and on-going US-China tariff developments, with US tariffs set to rise to from 25% to 30% on $250bn...
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11 October 2019 Sam Pierson Nicholas Godec, CFA
September HY Decomposition - HTML Meta
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10 October 2019 Carla Selman
Chilean Supreme Court order to re-assess mining project signals legal uncertainties and likely delays for large-scale developments
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10 October 2019 William Farmer
Kenya's proposed budget cut likely to target public-sector wage bill, increasing likelihood of strikes
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10 October 2019 David Owen
While the global manufacturing sector has stalled in 2019 so far, a revival of optimism in the copper-using industry could fuel a wider improvement...
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10 October 2019 Chris Williamson
Global growth at three year low as weakness spills over to services
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10 October 2019 Chris Williamson
The latest official data show the UK economy is likely to avoid a recession, though a drop in GDP in August hints at a weakening trend going...
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10 October 2019 Michael Miller
On a recent trip to Europe, I had a number of opportunities to speak with IR professionals on current hot topics, like ESG, the impact of MiFID...
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09 October 2019 Roberto Soares
In this report we highlight three main things; retail stocks we consider having a high margin of safety in their payout, an analysis of the sustainability...
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08 October 2019 Bernard Aw
Growth in China’s business activity gained further momentum at the end of the third quarter, according to the latest Caixin PMI data
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07 October 2019 Brian Lawson
Highlights this week include Greek corporate issuance and record-low yields for auctions of five and ten-year Italian government debt.
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07 October 2019 Fotios Katsoulas
Chilean Supreme Court order to re-assess mining project signals legal uncertainties and likely delays for large-scale developments
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04 October 2019 Bill Sheridan
New Crypto Tax Guidance Finally Arrives
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04 October 2019 Bernard Aw
The deterioration of the health of the Hong Kong SAR economy deepened in September, with the latest PMI survey indicating one of the steepest...
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04 October 2019 Chris Williamson Rajiv Biswas Joseph Hayes Ken Wattret Bernard Aw Sian Jones
The week ahead sees the resumption of trade talks between the US and China plus the IMF’s latest outlook, while key economic data releases include...
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04 October 2019 Chris Williamson
Latest worldwide PMI data showed the global economy losing growth momentum again in September, registering the joint-weakest increase in output...
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03 October 2019 Chris Williamson
Business surveys sent conflicting signals on the health of the US manufacturing sector in September, but dig deeper and the survey divergences...
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03 October 2019 Daejin Lee
Dry Bulk Trade: Record Brazil Corn Shipments a Warning Signal for Q4 US Grain Season
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03 October 2019
S&P Global provides its quarterly update on the Leveraged Loan Market, viewing Loan indices, Bond indices, Pricing trends, Sector trends and...
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03 October 2019
Last week, S&P Global hosted an Investor Relations Upskilling event in Tokyo, bringing IR practitioners from listed issuers together with industry...
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03 October 2019 Paul Smith, Ph.D. Joseph Hayes
The release of PMI data for September provided us with a well-rounded insight into economic performance for the third quarter.
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03 October 2019 Chris Williamson
Business surveys sent conflicting signals on the health of the US manufacturing sector in September. But dig deeper and the survey divergences...
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03 October 2019 Chris Williamson
The health of the UK economy continued to deteriorate in September with the PMI surveys indicating the second-largest monthly fall in business...
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02 October 2019 William May
Energy prices retrace lower whilst trade issues and politics cast a long shadow of uncertainty
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02 October 2019 William May
Energy prices retrace lower whilst trade issues and politics cast a long shadow of uncertainty
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02 October 2019 Venla Sipilä-Rosen
Having given up earlier plans to issue a Eurobond this year Belarus remains financially fragile.
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02 October 2019 Chris Williamson
Global manufacturing activity contracted marginally for a fifth successive month in September, according to the
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01 October 2019 Chris Williamson
Manufacturing recession signalled by UK September PMI 01 October 2019 Chris Williamson Manufacturing PMI signals longest downturn since 2009...
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01 October 2019 Bernard Aw
South Korean manufacturing conditions worsened for a fifth consecutive month in September, according to the
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27 September 2019
We review the recent high sigma event on 9 September with respect to the performance of value strategies relative to growth and momentum.
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27 September 2019 Brian Lawson
Emerging market sovereign supply has revived strongly with sovereign issuance by South Africa, Abu Dhabi, Bahrain, Ecuador and Uruguay this week....
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26 September 2019 Kathleen Navin, CBE Ben Herzon, Ph.D.
According to our Monthly GDP Index, monthly GDP rose 0.3% in August.
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26 September 2019 Gil Shefi
BCBS 239 principles have made their way into the final version of the Fundamental Review of the Trading Book (FRTB) text, in the form of the...
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26 September 2019 Arthur Dhont
Constitutional Court ruling denies province-wide anti-mining referendum in Azuay, Ecuador, reducing likelihood of mining prohibition
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26 September 2019
Shawn Paul, Managing Director, Asia Pacific & Japan of S&P Global...
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25 September 2019 William May
A second Fed rate cut supports growth while oil volatility hits commodity prices
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24 September 2019 Julien Rey Chris Fenske
The US repo market took center stage last Tuesday, September 17 when a confluence of factors temporarily slowed down banks’ cash spigots and...
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24 September 2019 Byron McKinney
The Office of Foreign Asset Control (OFAC) has issued a fine of $4 million to the British Arab Commercial Bank (BACB) regarding violation of...
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24 September 2019 Jack A. Kennedy
Inconclusive Israeli parliamentary election increases likelihood of unity government being formed; shifts in security policy unlikely
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23 September 2019
When market quotations are not readily available, such as when a foreign security's primary market is closed, many funds switch to fair value...
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23 September 2019 Chris Williamson
The eurozone economy is close to stalling as a deepening manufacturing downturn shows further signs of spreading to the service sector.
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23 September 2019 Paul Smith, Ph.D. Joseph Hayes
Today's flash PMIs for September have added to the picture of gloom across the eurozone
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23 September 2019 Daejin Lee
Indonesia will again ban exports of nickel ore, encouraging investors to build smelters at home to produce value-added products: Nickel prices...
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20 September 2019 Brian Lawson
Following last week’s ECB easing, European markets have shown strong demand, absorbing an impressive corporate and financial-sector calendar....
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20 September 2019 Rahul Kapoor
Chinese iron ore imports are unlikely to show any signs of easing in the near-term with imports likely to stay elevated despite economic malaise...
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20 September 2019 Sian Jones Rajiv Biswas Joseph Hayes Chris Williamson Bernard Aw
A busy week ahead includes flash PMI™ surveys, updates on US GDP and consumers, plus some key central bank speeches and policy decisions in the...
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19 September 2019
S&P Global reached out to 45 IROs across several sectors spanning the entire range of market cap sizes
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19 September 2019 Rahul Kapoor Daejin Lee
A sequential decline in August iron ore export volumes from Brazil is at odds with Capesize freight rates surging to a six-year high in recent...
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18 September 2019 William May
Easing trade tensions and policy stimulus in Europe lifts prices
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17 September 2019 Chris Suckling, Ph.D. Alisa Strobel
Ethiopia's new economic program to strengthen investor protections but foreign-exchange scarcity will persist, limiting investment inflows.
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17 September 2019 Timo Klein
Understanding the factors that have likely led to a technical recession in Germany around mid-2019 is key to assessing the outlook in the months...
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13 September 2019 Ken Wattret Joseph Hayes Bernard Aw
The week ahead is dominated by central bank policy meetings around the world, with the FOMC being at the front and centre. China economic data...
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13 September 2019 Ken Wattret
Ken Wattret, Chief European Economist, provides his initial thoughts on economic outlook following the European Central Bank meeting
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13 September 2019 Arlene Kish
The Bank believes that “the current degree of monetary policy stimulus remains appropriate.”
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13 September 2019 Ed Chidsey
Thought leadership from Ed Chidsey on the future of alternative data adoption.
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13 September 2019 William May
A flurry of good news eases tensions but commodity prices resist the risk-on mood
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13 September 2019 Paul Smith, Ph.D. Joseph Hayes
Our Q3 Nowcasts have been downgraded for Germany, France and Italy, indicating an increased likelihood of recession in the euro area’s largest...
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13 September 2019 Brian Lawson
Berkshire Hathaway sold a record JPY430 billion global yen issue: 2019 Samurai supply already has surpassed the prior annual peak.
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12 September 2019 Chris Williamson
At 51.3 in August, the JPMorgan Global PMI™, compiled by S&P Global, fell from 51.6 in July to backtrack closer to the three-year lows seen in...
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12 September 2019 Paula Diosquez-Rice Carla Selman Brian Lawson
Spend 30 minutes with our economics and country risk experts as we look at what's unfolding in Argentina.
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12 September 2019 Nariman Behravesh, Ph.D.
A look at the global economic outlook from our Chief Economist, Nariman Behravesh
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12 September 2019 Tozar Gandhi
Following is Tozar Gandhi’s Monthly Municipal Bond Market update for month ending August 2019, featuring contributions from our own Jan Hansen...
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12 September 2019 David Cook
S&P Global welcomes the opportunity to participate in the consultation concerning the potential for the provisioning of a consolidated tape as...
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12 September 2019 Sam Pierson Nicholas Godec, CFA
Appreciation and short covering across most sectors
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12 September 2019 Julien Rey
In recent years, the financial industry has been navigating uncertainties relating to the Interbank Offered Rates (IBOR) transition. New developments...
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11 September 2019 James Bohnaker David Deull
Tight labor markets are continuing to boost wages across income groups, while consumer price inflation has moderated relative to 2018
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11 September 2019
Over the month of August, the US Treasury curve tightened across every maturity. The table below summarizes weekly and monthly performance across...
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11 September 2019
Jamaica’s economic management has improved greatly during the three-year Stand-by Arrangement (SBA) with the International Monetary Fund, which...
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11 September 2019 Amanda Eglinton
LME nickel price will move moderately lower over the near term once the short covering is completed
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10 September 2019 Julien Rey
One of the central concepts of FRTB and the Internal Model Approach (IMA) is that all risk factors are subject to a Modellable or Non-modellable...
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10 September 2019
Meeting numerous reporting obligations across several regimes is increasingly complicated, highly fragmented, and administratively burdensome....
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10 September 2019
Monthly style and specialty model performance report.
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10 September 2019
We review factor performance in August 2019.
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06 September 2019 Sian Jones Rajiv Biswas Chris Williamson
With global economic growth reported to have slowed closer to three-year lows in August, according the latest PMI surveys, the markets will be...
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06 September 2019 Brian Lawson
Markets have been highly active after Labor Day: a record 21 US high grade deals were launched on 3 September, bolstered by poor US PMI data....
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06 September 2019 Carlos Caicedo
Brazilian Senate's finalisation of pension reform with slight modifications is very likely, implementation to help reduce fiscal deficit
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06 September 2019 Chris Williamson
The latest PMI data showed the global economy losing growth momentum again in August
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05 September 2019 Theo Acheampong, Ph.D.
New Nigerian cabinet's composition indicates government unlikely to reduce power-sector liquidity shortages and energy industry corruption
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05 September 2019 Chris Williamson
The eurozone economy remained mired in a fragile state of weak and unbalanced growth in August, according to the latest survey data
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04 September 2019 Michael Ryan
Risk to the corporate debt market is not systemic and remains contained when examined in aggregate, with concerns limited to certain sub-industries...
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04 September 2019
Craig Boardman explains how asset managers can navigate market volatility and the threat of a turn in the credit cycle when making credit assessments...
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04 September 2019 William May
Trade tensions ease but commodities continue to struggle
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04 September 2019 Paul Smith, Ph.D. Joseph Hayes
Update 4th September 2019:Underperforming PMIs raise UK recession risk
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04 September 2019 Bernard Aw
A slump in the Hong Kong PMI to its lowest since 2009 indicates that the economy is on course for its first recession in a decade
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04 September 2019 Chris Williamson
The likelihood of the UK falling into recession has increased after PMI surveys indicated a contraction of business activity in August
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03 September 2019 Andrew Harker
Vietnam's economy continues to perform well amid positive trade numbers, but latest PMI data suggest that no country can really be immune from...
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03 September 2019 Chris Williamson
PMI surveys indicated a fourth successive monthly contraction of global manufacturing activity in August. New orders dropped at the joint-steepest...
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03 September 2019 Chris Williamson
US manufacturers are enduring a torrid summer, with survey gauges of output and new orders down to their lowest since 2009
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03 September 2019 Brian Lawson
Argentina plans “voluntary reprofiling” of its international debt including IMF borrowings and enforced payment delay on domestic obligations...
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02 September 2019 Bernard Aw
China’s manufacturing sector showed a modest recovery in August, driven by increased production volumes, according to the latest Caixin PMI data....
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02 September 2019 Chris Williamson
The UK manufacturing downturn intensified in August, as producers reported the steepest drop in new business for over seven years.
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30 August 2019 Sian Jones Rajiv Biswas Raj Badiani Joseph Hayes Chris Williamson Bernard Aw
PMI surveys form the highlight of the week, providing updates on global business conditions midway through the third quarter which could prove...
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29 August 2019 Kathleen Navin, CBE Ben Herzon, Ph.D.
According to our Monthly GDP Index, monthly GDP rose 0.4% in July.
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28 August 2019 William May
Tariff hikes again lower expectations for demand
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26 August 2019
The Istanbul and Karachi Stock Exchanges were closed from August 12 – August 14 for Eid Al-Adha. In the absence of readily available quotes for...
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23 August 2019 Sian Jones Rajiv Biswas Ken Wattret Joseph Hayes Bernard Aw
Fed watchers will be eager for further insights into the US central bank’s thinking after minutes to July FOMC meeting showed policy committee...
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23 August 2019 William Sheridan
The Paperwork Reduction Act notice published in the Federal Register should prompt us to examine the challenges the transactional information...
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23 August 2019 Brian Lawson
This week’s most notable development was Germany’s undersubscribed 30-year EUR2 billion Bund auction: EUR824 million was sold at -0.11%.
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22 August 2019 Chong Jun Wong, CFA
Nikkei 225 Dividend Index Points set to grow at the slowest rate in recent years.
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22 August 2019 Paul Smith, Ph.D. Joseph Hayes
Update 22nd August 2019: Nowcasts continue to show growth disparities in EZ
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22 August 2019 Bernard Aw
Japanese business activity grew at its fastest rate in the year to date during August, according to flash PMI data, but whether the private sector...
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21 August 2019 William May
Uncertainty and fear of slowing aggregate demand send prices down again
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20 August 2019 Chris Fenske
Anticipation of an economic slowdown and more market volatility has triggered an uptick in US HY energy issues’ risk.
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19 August 2019
Ethiopia's proposed off-grid electricity tariff reform and predictable network expansion plans likely to increase solar power investment
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16 August 2019 Kari Pries, Ph.D.
Guatemala’s next president elected on pro-business platform, policy implementation likely to face delays in opposition-led Congress
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16 August 2019 Sian Jones
Ongoing problems across the automotive sector and a recession in German manufacturing have had a negative effect on the health of the Czech economy....
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16 August 2019 Brian Lawson
Argentine securities faced exceptional volatility after its Primary elections indicated a first-round victory for the Peronist opposition.
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16 August 2019 Thea Fourie Andrew Harker
Companies in Zambia continued to struggle in July, with the private sector economy facing a number of headwinds, which reportedly include a lack...
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16 August 2019 Sian Jones Ken Wattret Joseph Hayes Bernard Aw
Increasing uncertainty over the outlook of US monetary policy and heightened fears of potential economic recessions rattled financial markets...
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15 August 2019
Over the month of July, the US Treasury curve has flattened with the short end widening and long end tightening. The table below summarizes weekly...
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15 August 2019
OFAC recently announced its Reporting, Procedures and Penalties Regulations (RPPR) that outlined the recordkeeping and auditing functions for...
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15 August 2019 Carla Selman
Opposition wins Argentine primaries making re-election of pro-business president highly unlikely, risk of state interventionism increases
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15 August 2019 Paul Smith, Ph.D. Joseph Hayes
Following the release of second quarter GDP estimates for the major European countries, we have updated our judgement-free nowcasts for the third...
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14 August 2019 William May
Commodity prices retreat, broadly led by an overdue correction in Iron ore
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12 August 2019 Karl Kuykendall
Atlanta, Dallas, Jacksonville, Nashville, Phoenix and Raleigh strike the right note with business costs/employment growth
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09 August 2019 Brian Lawson
Negative-yielding debt grew USD1 trillion in two days after the US expanded trade sanctions against China
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09 August 2019 Sian Jones Rajiv Biswas Joseph Hayes Chris Williamson Bernard Aw
Week Ahead Economic Preview
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09 August 2019 Chris Williamson
The latest data reveal an economy in decline and skirting with recession as headwinds from slower global economic growth are exacerbated by Brexit-related...
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08 August 2019 David Owen
Anecdotal evidence from global survey panellists shows that the worldwide outlook is becoming increasingly gloomy.
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08 August 2019 Chris Williamson
The pace of global economic growth edged up in July but remained among the weakest seen over the past three years, according to the latest PMI...
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07 August 2019 Nariman Behravesh, Ph.D.
Nariman Behravesh’s analysis of the devaluation of the renminbi and economic impact
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07 August 2019
Monthly style and specialty model performance report.
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07 August 2019
Machine learning algorithms are increasingly used to solve problems in the financial markets. However, applications of the models for investment...
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07 August 2019 William May
The prospect of a broader and more prolonged US-China trade issues unsettles markets.
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06 August 2019
We review factor performance in July 2019.
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06 August 2019
Central government to oversee Indian Kashmir's security following special autonomy abrogation, increasing likelihood of cross-border skirmishes...
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06 August 2019 Chris Suckling, Ph.D.
Modelling non-damage business interruption caused by terrorism attacks
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05 August 2019 Bernard Aw
The start of the third quarter saw Hong Kong's private sector stuck in the worst downturn since the heights of the global financial crisis over...
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05 August 2019 Chris Williamson
The pace of US economic growth slowed in the second quarter, and PMI survey data hint that the expansion could remain relatively lacklustre in...
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05 August 2019 Paul Smith, Ph.D. Joseph Hayes
Following disappointing flash PMI data across the euro area, confirmed by today’s final PMI figures, other business indicators released over...
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05 August 2019 Chris Williamson
The PMI surveys indicated that the UK economy stagnated in July
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02 August 2019 Sian Jones Ken Wattret Joseph Hayes Chris Williamson Bernard Aw
With central bankers around the world focusing on the extent to which global economic conditions might necessitate further stimulus, services...
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02 August 2019 Brian Lawson
More outstanding debt, especially in Euros, now provides negative returns. Worldline’s new convertible sale set a record of -0.96%.
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02 August 2019 Carlos Garcia-Lastra Marques
Basket of US large caps selected using S&P Global Dividend Forecasts data outperformed the US broad market from 2010 to date.
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02 August 2019 Columb Strack
Fuel shortages resulting from Western sanctions on Syrian government likely indirectly benefit Al-Qaeda-linked jihadists in Idlib province
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02 August 2019 Diego Iscaro
There are indications that labor market conditions in France are tighter than suggested by the standard unemployment rate
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01 August 2019 Bernard Aw
Caixin PMI data, compiled by S&P Global, indicated that China’s manufacturing sector was close to stabilisation at the start of the third quarter....
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01 August 2019 Carla Selman
IED attacks highlight new targets in Chile’s capital, including companies’ assets and executives, hastening passage of anti-terrorism law
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01 August 2019 Ken Matheny, Ph.D.
Analysis from our US economics team on the July 31 FOMC rate decision and market reaction
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01 August 2019 Chris Williamson
PMI surveys indicated that the global manufacturing downturn deepened in July
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01 August 2019 Chris Williamson
UK manufacturers reported the largest monthly fall in production for seven years in July.
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31 July 2019 William May
Bearish sentiment returns on weak economic data
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31 July 2019 Arthur Dhont
2020 budget proposal indicates changing Colombian government priorities; cuts planned in agriculture, energy and mining, transport.
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29 July 2019 Brian Lawson
Despite pending key central bank meetings, Panama, Mexico, YPF Luz and various Italian borrowers benefited from receptive conditions
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29 July 2019 Kathleen Navin, CBE Ben Herzon, Ph.D.
According to our Monthly GDP Index, monthly GDP rose 0.3% in June.
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29 July 2019 William May
No real direction in materials prices despite dovish tones from the Fed
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26 July 2019 Rajiv Biswas Ken Wattret Joseph Hayes Chris Williamson Bernard Aw
A full diary for the week ahead includes central bank meetings in the US, UK and Japan, plus key data releases such as worldwide manufacturing...
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25 July 2019
Jaime Hildreth provides an update on how companies can better leverage their data when making valuations.
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25 July 2019 David Jesson
How does the industry need to adapt to make use of existing tech and prepare for future transformations?
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24 July 2019 Bernard Aw
The start of the third quarter saw a further deterioration in Japanese manufacturing conditions, according to flash PMI, as new export sales...
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24 July 2019 Chris Williamson
Japanese business activity grew in July at the fastest rate since last December, according to new survey data, though indicators of new orders...
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24 July 2019 Bernard Aw
The recovery in Australian business activity lost momentum at the start of the third quarter, according to flash PMI survey data, with other...
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24 July 2019 Tozar Gandhi
Tozar Gandhi analyses the recent performance of Tender Option Bonds.
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24 July 2019
Regulatory initial margin is part of a much wider mission to ensure greater efficiency and stability for derivatives markets from documentation...
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24 July 2019
We add some perspectives on the current value-growth cycle in the US.
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24 July 2019
We forecast 19 European companies will experience dividend cuts
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24 July 2019 Paul Smith, Ph.D. Joseph Hayes
In July 2019 we introduced two nowcasting models for the Eurozone and the UK
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24 July 2019 Chris Williamson
The eurozone economy relapsed in July, with the PMI giving up the gains seen in May and June to signal one of the weakest expansions seen over...
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23 July 2019 Sam Pierson
Global Securities Finance Review and PMI Update
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23 July 2019 Ian Fletcher
The new Director General of Trade for the European Commission has warned that the United States would face retaliation if it applies further...
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19 July 2019 Jihane Boudiaf
Sudanese coup attempt unlikely to have been at advanced stage, but likely stalling transition negotiations motivate protests
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19 July 2019 Brian Lawson
AB Inbev withdrew the USD9.8 billion sale of its Asian unit, citing “market conditions”, despite US stock indices reaching all-time highs.
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18 July 2019 Chris Williamson
US manufacturing output rose 0.4% in June, its biggest monthly gain since December, but the rise failed to prevent the sector contracting over...
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18 July 2019 Langelihle Malimela
Reappointment of South African central bank governor significantly lowers risk of nationalization and mandate revision
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18 July 2019 Bernard Aw
Recent data showed shrinking export volumes, painting an increasingly gloomy outlook for the trade-reliant South Korean economy
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17 July 2019
Mexican government's renegotiation of gas pipeline contracts highlights broader decline in legal certainty across multiple sectors
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17 July 2019 Chris Williamson
More detailed official data corroborates survey data which point to a marked change in firms’ appetite to hire so far this year
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17 July 2019 William May
Prices retreat fractionally as markets enter a holding pattern in anticipation of the Fed’s next move.
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17 July 2019 Fotios Katsoulas
Last week, oil prices recovered significantly, primarily supported by the continued decline in US crude inventories. This suggests that the supply...
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16 July 2019 Ken Wattret
Deflation worries would return if the economy were hit by a major adverse shock.
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16 July 2019 David Owen Andrew Harker
Output growth across Sub-Saharan Africa remains strong despite global slowdown
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16 July 2019 Eliot Kerr David Owen
S&P Global’s PMI survey diffusion indices are designed to capture business cycle developments. They do this by replicating the industrial make-up...
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15 July 2019 Alisa Strobel
Increase in spending as part of the new budget requires efforts to increase tax revenue as last year's tax revenue performance was below target....
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15 July 2019 Devendra Bhudia
Earlier this year, Invesco’s chief executive, Martin Flanagan, was quoted as saying that “a third of the asset management industry could disappear...
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15 July 2019 Fotios Katsoulas
July is a typically poor month for the VLCC segment, with activity slowing down across all major exporting regions. There has been limited optimism...
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15 July 2019 Diego Moya-Ocampos, LLB Chris Suckling, Ph.D. Alexia Ash
Case study on how to value country risks in Mozambique and Peru
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15 July 2019
The recent announcement from FedEx that the multinational cargo carrier has filed a lawsuit against the US Department of Commerce is the latest...
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15 July 2019 David Cook
Joint consultation paper on enhancements to the OTC derivatives regulatory regime for Hong Kong
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12 July 2019
we were pleased to participate in the Inside ETFs Summit, which kicked off the week’s events. During the summit, S&P Global’s Kai Aeberli, from...
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12 July 2019 Chris Williamson
Industrial production in the eurozone rose sharply in May, but survey data indicate that the improvement will be short-lived.
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12 July 2019 Sian Jones Rajiv Biswas Raj Badiani Joseph Hayes Chris Williamson Bernard Aw
With policymakers around the world continuing to worry about the health of the global economy, the release of S&P Global’s Global Business Outlook...
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12 July 2019 William Farmer
Sudanese leader seeks union with South Sudan, probably to increase revenue share from natural resources
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12 July 2019 Brian Lawson
Turkey’s central bank governor was fired abruptly while Mexico’s Finance Minister resigned, publicly criticizing the AMLO administration.
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11 July 2019 Petya Barzilska Jan Gerhard
Disagreement between the Council and Parliament over the nomination of new EU leaders indicates an increased likelihood of inter-institutional...
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11 July 2019 Gavan Nolan
Europe’s status as an economic laggard in the post-GFC era is well reported and, indeed, well deserved. Growth has been elusive, despite the...
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11 July 2019 David Cook
Our response to the ECB's market consultation on European Distribution of Debt Instruments (EDDI).
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11 July 2019
At this year’s NIRI Annual Conference, we surveyed over 50 IROs and IR team members on some of the most pressing issues in IR today.
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10 July 2019
At this year’s NIRI Annual Conference, we surveyed over 50 IROs and IR team members on some of the most pressing issues in IR today. Some results...
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10 July 2019 Deepa Kumar
Indian budget focuses on tariff support for domestic manufacturing: wider economic liberalization in India likely to proceed gradually
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10 July 2019
The ESG investment landscape is evolving rapidly from its roots in negative screening. We sat down with Brian Matt, head of strategy and innovation...
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10 July 2019 Bernard Aw
Official data showed Taiwanese exports rising in June, but the modest gain looks likely to be short-lived as the export sector continues to face...
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10 July 2019 Chris Williamson
An improvement in the economy in May failed to lift output sufficiently to avoid the data for the second quarter so far showing a decline on...
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