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Coronavirus (COVID-19) Blogs & Commentaries

Find commentary, special reports and insights about the coronavirus impact.

Continuously updated, blog and commentary topics listed below encompass the impact of the novel coronavirus disease (COVID-19) outbreak for markets and organizations, plus the economic implications of this complex and changing situation. Our industry-leading experts and analysts provide insights and analysis covering specific regions, services and industry sectors, as well as the global perspective.

Follow S&P Global to stay informed about the coronavirus impact as it evolves.

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Viewing 3001 - 3300 of 7471 results

  1. Factor performance remains linked while stocks decouple

    06 September 2018

    We review factor performance in August 2018.

  2. Trade Policy Insights: US Automotive Exports to EU – Further decrease?

    06 September 2018

    The US Mexico NAFTA and the EU Japan Economic Partnership Agreement (EPA) could affect US Automotive Exports to EU

    • Trade Data
  3. Swedish general election

    06 September 2018 Dijedon Imeri

    Swedish general election to produce weak minority government, complicating policy-making and posing risk of currency sell-off.

    • Political Risk
    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
    • Economic Risk
  4. Stalling of eurozone productivity stretches to August

    06 September 2018 Pollyanna De Lima

    Workforce efficiency in the euro area worsened marginally for the fifth month running in August.

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  5. Nikkei Japan PMI signals steady expansion in August, but costs still elevated

    06 September 2018 Bernard Aw

    Nikkei PMI data indicated that the Japanese economy continued to expand in August.

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  6. August PMI surveys highlight uneven pattern of Eurozone growth and inflation

    06 September 2018 Chris Williamson

    The Eurozone PMI shows the recent run of robust growth of business activity, new orders and employment extending into August.

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  7. Polish judicial reforms

    05 September 2018 Blanka Kolenikova

    Local elections, public protests to determine future of Poland's judicial reforms; improved court efficiency is unlikely.

    • Political Risk
  8. The Trade Numerologist: Global Auto in Thick of Trade War

    05 September 2018 John Miller

    The world’s brewing trade war could have a significant impact on automakers, parts manufacturers, logistics firms, and investors.

    • Trade Data
  9. IHS Markit and Ipreo: What's next?

    05 September 2018

    S&P Global's acquisition of Ipreo brings together businesses with strong growth potential in alternative assets and solutions for asset managers....

    • Mergers & Acquisitions (M&A)
  10. Faster service sector growth keeps UK economy on course for 0.4% Q3 GDP rise

    05 September 2018 Chris Williamson

    PMI survey data showing faster service sector growth in August come as much-needed welcome news.

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  11. Global manufacturing PMI at 21-month low as world exports stagnate

    05 September 2018 Chris Williamson

    Worldwide manufacturers reported the weakest expansion since November 2016, with near-stagnant exports continuing to act as a drag

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  12. China PMI surveys point to slower growth momentum and weakening demand

    05 September 2018 Bernard Aw

    The Chinese economy lost some momentum midway through the third quarter amid signs of softer client demand.

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  13. UK manufacturing sector growth slows amid steepest export decline since 2014

    03 September 2018 Chris Williamson

    UK manufacturing output growth waned in August to its lowest since March 2017.

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  14. Short sellers bail on UK grocers

    03 September 2018 Sam Pierson

    Following Tesco, shorts have covered positions in Ocado, Sainsbury & Wm Morrison

    • Securities Finance
  15. Malaysia manufacturing PMI hints at Q3 upturn after slower Q2

    03 September 2018 Bernard Aw

    The latest PMI data set the scene for Malaysia’s manufacturing sector to see its strongest quarterly performance since late-2014.

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  16. Impact of new Australian PM on 2019 election

    31 August 2018 Alex Barnes

    New Australian PM likely to lower energy prices; government disunity increases likelihood of opposition victory in 2019.

    • Political Risk
  17. Global Economic Preview: Week of 3 September 2018

    31 August 2018 Chris Williamson

    Highlights of the coming week include the global release of August PMI data, adding further insight into worldwide economic growth, hiring and...

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  18. Week Ahead APAC Economic Preview: Week of 3 September 2018

    31 August 2018 Bernard Aw Chris Williamson Rajiv Biswas

    Week Ahead APAC Economic Preview: Week of 3 September 2018

  19. Weekly Pricing Pulse: Markets seize on positive sentiment

    30 August 2018 William May

    Oil leads a broad-based jump in the MPI in a positive week for commodities

    • Commodity Price Forecasts
  20. Trade Policy Insights: US Mexico renegotiated NAFTA - Automotive - Impact on Supply Chains

    30 August 2018

    The US administration is planning on sending the agreement to the US Congress on Friday. This puts pressure on Canada to make a decision.

    • Trade Data
  21. New trade deal for US-Mexico

    30 August 2018 John Raines Carlos Cardenas

    New trade agreement to redefine Mexico-US relationship; Canada faces retaliatory tariffs if it refuses to join.

    • Political Risk
    • Operational Risk
    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
    • Economic Risk
  22. Campbell Soup under pressure

    29 August 2018 Sam Pierson

    Credit shorts advance ahead of earnings

    • Securities Finance
    • Credit Default Swaps (CDS)
    • Equity Markets
  23. Indonesian presidential race outlook

    29 August 2018 Deepa Kumar

    Presidential election nominees indicate Indonesia likely to encourage conservative Islamist policies; pro-foreign investment outlook unlikely...

    • Political Risk
  24. Monthly GDP Index from Macroeconomic Advisers by IHS Markit for July

    28 August 2018 Kathleen Navin, CBE Ben Herzon, Ph.D.

    According to our Monthly GDP Index, monthly GDP rose 0.4% in July.

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
    • Economic Data
  25. The Trade Numerologist: What China’s “Made In 2025” Strategy Means for Global Trade

    27 August 2018 John Miller

    One of the key chess pieces is in the ongoing US-China trade spat is a classic Beijing industrial plan. In 2015, China released a new ten-year...

    • Trade Data
  26. Argentina: On the ground country risk assessment

    27 August 2018 Carla Selman Brian Lawson

    A from-the field webcast looking at Argentina's political and economic trajectory

    • Political Risk
    • Economic Risk
  27. SOFR and alternative RFRs - Market update

    27 August 2018 Julien Rey

    On 26th July, Fannie Mae issued a $6 billion floating-rate senior unsecured note based on SOFR. This was the first-ever issuance of a SOFR security....

    • Financial Risk Analytics
    • Financial Trading
  28. Global Economic Preview: Week of 27 August 2018

    24 August 2018 Chris Williamson

    The coming week sees US second quarter GDP and consumer expenditure numbers, including closely-watched price indices, with France, Italy, India...

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  29. Flash Eurozone PMI signals steady expansion but optimism hits two-year low

    24 August 2018 Chris Williamson

    Flash PMI survey data indicated that the eurozone economy continued to grow in August.

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  30. CDS in Buy-side Risk Management

    24 August 2018 Gavan Nolan

    Is the credit cycle at a late stage? If so, investment firms should look to use CDS and derived datasets

  31. Week Ahead APAC Economic Preview: Week of 27 August 2018

    24 August 2018 Rajiv Biswas Chris Williamson Bernard Aw

    Week Ahead APAC Economic Preview: Week of 27 August 2018

  32. A look at quant performance in China

    23 August 2018

    We review the economic landscape of China and recent quantitative factor and model performance within the China A-shares universe of the Research...

  33. Israel-Hamas ceasefire

    23 August 2018 Jack A. Kennedy

    Israel ceasefire with Hamas reduces likelihood of war, but a lasting peace settlement for Gaza is unlikely.

    • Terrorism
    • Security Risk
    • Political Risk
  34. South Africa expropriation risk

    23 August 2018 Thea Fourie Joyce Silungwe

    Threat of expropriation arising from South Africa's land reform legislation likely to deter investment.

    • Political Risk
    • Economic Risk
  35. Weekly Pricing Pulse: The bearish backdrop proves too much for commodity prices

    23 August 2018 William May

    MPI falls as the global economy is checked by an overload of uncertainty.

    • Commodity Price Forecasts
  36. “All-aboard!”: Inflation station

    23 August 2018 Sam Pierson

    Strong correlation between inflation sensitivity and US equity returns in August

    • Securities Finance
  37. Tracking the Turkish stock exchange during the market holiday

    23 August 2018

    The closure of the Istanbul stock exchange for the Eid holiday during the week of August 20th has created challenges for investors looking to...

    • Market Analysis & Forecasts
  38. Flash Japan manufacturing PMI signals export weakness and a fall in optimism

    23 August 2018 Bernard Aw

    The August flash PMI data indicated that Japan’s manufacturing sector continued to expand midway through the third quarter. However, the survey...

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  39. Reimposition of Iran sanctions

    22 August 2018 Firas Modad

    Iran likely to turn to Russia, Turkey, and China to offset sanctions, not risk war over Hormuz.

    • Terrorism
    • Political Risk
    • Economic Risk
  40. The Trade Numerologist: Opportunity and Crisis in Turkish Exports

    20 August 2018 John Miller

    The global trading infrastructure, from shipping lines to investment banks, turns its eyes to Turkey. The country of 80 million, a bedrock economy...

    • Trade Data
  41. Week Ahead Economic Preview: Week of 20 August 2018

    17 August 2018 Chris Williamson

    Flash PMI surveys will be a feature of the week, highlighting how Japan, the US and Eurozone are faring midway through Q3.

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  42. Banks and Turkish exposure - but don't forget Italy

    17 August 2018 Gavan Nolan

    Bank CDS spreads have felt the impact from Turkey, but perhaps Italy is a bigger problem - particularly for domestic banks

  43. Week Ahead APAC Economic Preview: Week of 20 August 2018

    17 August 2018 Rajiv Biswas Chris Williamson Bernard Aw

    Week Ahead APAC Economic Preview: Week of 20 August 2018

  44. Tesla: Most shorted stock ever?

    16 August 2018 Sam Pierson

    Elon says Tesla is 'most shorted stock in the history of the stock market' - but is it?

    • Securities Finance
  45. Weekly Pricing Pulse: Commodity prices increase, but with little conviction

    16 August 2018 William May

    Major components produce minor gains but MPI still directionless.

    • Commodity Price Forecasts
  46. Service sector helps keep Russian economy growing as manufacturing fades

    16 August 2018 Sian Jones

    The recent football World Cup in Russia has provided a boost to the Russian economy.

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  47. US manufacturing growth trend slips in July, in line with PMI survey

    16 August 2018 Chris Williamson

    Manufacturing continued to expand in July, but the underlying trend has shown signs of weakening.

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  48. Canadian FTAs help boost trade

    15 August 2018 Chul Woo Hong

    Amid increasing trade tension with the United States, free-trade agreements with the EU and South Korea have expanded Canadian trade.

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
    • Economic Risk
  49. UK inflation ticks higher in July

    15 August 2018 Chris Williamson

    Consumer price inflation ticked higher to 2.5% in July, according to the Office for National Statistics.

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  50. Official Japan GDP data corroborate PMI signal of steady Q2 growth

    14 August 2018 Chris Williamson

    Japanese economic growth rebounded in the second quarter, allying fears of a bout of renewed economic malaise.

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  51. Hedging Turkey exposure

    14 August 2018 Sam Pierson

    Hedging Turkey exposure

    • Securities Finance
    • Credit Default Swaps (CDS)
  52. UK pay growth weakens despite further drop in unemployment

    14 August 2018 Chris Williamson

    The latest labour market data show low unemployment once again failing to stimulate faster pay growth.

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  53. Regulatory changes will shape Latvian banking sector

    13 August 2018 Camille Chavrier

    Latvian banking sector likely will undergo significant financial, structural, and regulatory changes in the near-to-medium term.

    • Economic Risk
  54. Weekly Pricing Pulse: MPI moves sideways against a backdrop of uncertain demand

    13 August 2018 William May

    Freight, ferrous and rubber prop up MPI in a stagnant commodity market

    • Commodity Price Forecasts
  55. The Trade Numerologist: Trade Tariffs Steering Auto Parts

    13 August 2018 John Miller

    Supply chains are feeling the winds of trade wars.

    • Trade Data
  56. Week Ahead Economic Preview: Week of 13 August 2018

    10 August 2018 Chris Williamson

    The week ahead sees important official data updates to the health of the US and China economies at the start of the third quarter.

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  57. Global growth cools at start of Q3 amid survey-record price rise

    10 August 2018 Chris Williamson

    The following is an extract from S&P Global's monthly PMI overview presentation.

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  58. Turkey and CDS Liquidity

    10 August 2018 Gavan Nolan

    Emerging markets are in the spotlight and CDS liquidity remains strong

  59. UK economy rebounds in second quarter, but shows signs of losing momentum

    10 August 2018 Chris Williamson

    The UK economy rebounded from a weak start to the year in the second quarter, according to official data.

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  60. Equity and credit bears stick with their winnners

    09 August 2018 Sam Pierson

    Equity and credit bears stick with their winners

    • Credit Default Swaps (CDS)
    • Equity Markets
  61. Monthly model performance report – July 2018

    07 August 2018

    Monthly style and specialty model performance report.

  62. Negotiating the value trade

    07 August 2018

    We review factor performance in July 2018.

  63. China PMI surveys point to steady economic expansion but rising growth risks

    07 August 2018 Bernard Aw

    Chinese economic growth remained relatively stable at the start of the third quarter, according to the latest Caixin PMI survey data.

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  64. Week Ahead Asia-Pacific Economic Preview: Week of 6 August 2018

    07 August 2018 Rajiv Biswas Paul Smith, Ph.D. Bernard Aw

    This note also includes a special feature on the Indian economy.

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  65. Brexit and the Buyside: When Your Counterparty Wants to Novate

    06 August 2018 Kirston Winters David Cook

    OTC derivatives market participants are receiving a growing number of requests from their dealers to novate swaps from a one entity to another...

  66. The Trade Numerologist: Farmers Fight Trade War

    06 August 2018 John Miller

    As the European Union, China and the US dig in for a trade war, one global sector is bracing for its role as foot soldiers in the commercial...

    • Trade Data
  67. Nikkei Japan PMI signals weaker growth at start of third quarter, but prices spike higher

    06 August 2018 Bernard Aw

    PMI data indicated that the Japanese economy expanded at the start of the third quarter, but the pace of growth lost momentum.

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  68. The future of Italian reforms

    03 August 2018 Raj Badiani Dijedon Imeri

    The reform process in Italy is likely to remain slow, and will be further delayed by recent political events.

    • Political Risk
    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
    • Economic Risk
  69. Weekly Pricing Pulse: Chemical and oil price volatility reverses recent losses

    02 August 2018 William May

    Despite macro data pointing to softer pricing, the MPI jumps w/w.

    • Commodity Price Forecasts
  70. South Sudan peace deal prospects

    02 August 2018 Verner Ayukegba

    South Sudan's prolonged negotiations highlight unlikelihood of comprehensive peace deal, but oil production agreement likely.

    • Political Risk
    • Economic Risk
  71. Saudi Arabian GDP growth to increase

    01 August 2018 Bryan Plamondon

    The economy emerged from recession in Q1 and is expected to further strengthen

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
    • Economic Risk
  72. Tesla: Bears in the bond market

    30 July 2018 Sam Pierson

    Recently offered CDS contracts reflect credit concerns

    • Securities Finance
    • Equity Markets
  73. The Trade Numerologist: EU, US Try for Trade Deal

    30 July 2018 John Miller

    Last week, European Commission President Jean-Claude Juncker flew to Washington to cool a brewing trans-Atlantic trade war.

    • Trade Data
  74. Monthly GDP Index from Macroeconomic Advisers by IHS Markit for June

    27 July 2018 Kathleen Navin, CBE Ben Herzon, Ph.D.

    According to our Monthly GDP Index, monthly GDP declined 0.2% in June.

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
    • Economic Risk
  75. Economic Review: Week of 30 July 2018

    27 July 2018 Chris Williamson

    A busy week sees important central bank meetings in the US, Japan and the UK, as well as India and Brazil. Major data releases include the worldwide...

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  76. Cuban hotel sector expansion

    27 July 2018 Diego Moya-Ocampos, LLB

    Cuba to expand hotel capacity in partnership with French and Spanish investors despite tightening US restrictions

    • Economic Risk
  77. Best post-crisis H1 Securities Lending revenue

    26 July 2018 Sam Pierson

    Securities Finance Q2 Review

    • Securities Finance
    • Credit Default Swaps (CDS)
  78. Forecast review: Yemen

    26 July 2018 Lindsay Newman, Ph.D.

    Correct forecast on Yemen civil conflict escalation.

    • Economic Risk
  79. Weekly Pricing Pulse: Oil and lumber drive a broad retreat in commodity prices

    26 July 2018 Cole Hassay

    Recent data from China and the Eurozone and currency weakness vs. USD has negatively impacted the MPI.

    • Commodity Price Forecasts
  80. Back-to-school retail sales outlook

    26 July 2018 James Bohnaker

    The back-to-school retail shopping season is looking a touch better than last year, earning an expected grade of B+.

    • Automotive Retail Trends/Transformation
    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
    • Economic Risk
  81. Eurozone PMI and predicting economic growth

    25 July 2018 Paul Smith, Ph.D.

    In this research paper, we showcase the power of the PMI in tracking quarterly changes in Eurozone GDP.

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  82. US Flash PMI surveys point to strong start to third quarter, but prices spike higher

    25 July 2018 Chris Williamson

    The July flash PMI survey data indicated that the US economy sustained strong growth momentum.

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  83. Wage pressures remain weak across Western Europe

    25 July 2018 Yacine Rouimi Sharon Fisher

    Western European wages and productivity growth has lagged that in Emerging Europe. Is the Phillips curve still valid?

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
    • Economic Risk
  84. Algerian presidential elections

    25 July 2018 Jihane Boudiaf

    Mixed signals on incumbent’s candidacy in Algeria’s 2019 presidential election indicate government attempt to mitigate unrest risk.

    • Political Risk
  85. Flash Eurozone PMI signals weaker growth trend at start of third quarter

    25 July 2018 Chris Williamson

    Flash PMI survey data indicated that the eurozone economy expanded at the start of the third quarter, but the pace of growth lost momentum again...

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  86. Most shorted global equities ahead of earnings

    24 July 2018 Sam Pierson

    Most shorted global equities ahead of earnings

    • Securities Finance
  87. China-US trade update

    24 July 2018 David Li

    Business environment to further deteriorate for US companies in China as White House announces additional tariffs

    • Economic Risk
  88. Indian banking-sector developments likely to strengthen troubled state banks

    23 July 2018 Deepa Kumar Angus Lam

    Recent banking-sector developments will strengthen and consolidate troubled state banks and allow increased foreign investment

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
    • Economic Risk
  89. Why the Eurozone super core inflation rate matters

    23 July 2018 Ken Wattret

    The European Central Bank monitors “super core” inflation alongside other metrics to determine the appropriate monetary policy stance.

    • Financial Risk Analytics
    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
    • Economic Risk
  90. Signs of storms ahead for the Irish economy

    20 July 2018

    Despite a broadly as expected first quarter, the GNP and modified GNI indicators point to a deterioration in the domestic economy.

    • Political Risk
    • Economic Risk
  91. Brazilian presidential race

    20 July 2018 Carlos Caicedo

    Brazil's presidential race remains wide open, outsiders likely to capitalize on unpopularity of divided pro-business center-right groups.

    • Political Risk
  92. Economic Review - Week of 23 July 2018

    20 July 2018 Chris Williamson

    The release of flash PMI data for July will add clues as to global economic growth trends as we move into the second half of 2018, and will be...

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  93. Sierra Leone contract cancellation risk

    19 July 2018 Chris Suckling

    Anti-corruption investigations targeting Sierra Leone's former government threaten cancellation of construction, energy contracts alongside legislative...

    • Operational Risk
    • Economic Risk
  94. Weekly Pricing Pulse: Commodity prices post another narrow gain

    19 July 2018 Cole Hassay

    Trade tensions and a stronger US dollar weigh on non-ferrous, oil and bulks, but chemicals lift MPI

    • Commodity Price Forecasts
  95. Official data confirm solid second quarter for US manufacturing, but outlook clouded by tariff and price worries

    19 July 2018 Chris Williamson

    Official data confirmed the survey data signal that US manufacturing output growth picked up in the second quarter.

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  96. UK survey data suggest that pay and prices to rise at faster rates

    19 July 2018 Annabel Fiddes

    Latest official data regarding employee earnings and inflation have both come in under forecasts, but survey data suggest that pay and price...

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  97. Syria-Israel interstate war risks

    18 July 2018 Columb Strack

    Syrian government advance towards border with occupied Golan risks provoking major Israeli military response.

    • Terrorism
    • Political Risk
  98. The Trade Numerologist: Not Going Up in Smoke

    17 July 2018 John Miller

    For centuries tobacco drove global trade and helped shape the modern world.

    • Trade Data
  99. Sweden moves closer to first interest rate rise in a decade

    16 July 2018

    Despite the expected vote to maintain rates, there is growing evidence that Sweden will raise rates

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
    • Economic Risk
  100. It’s the season for Responsible Officer certifications

    16 July 2018

    Responsible Officers ("RO") have long known this day of reckoning was coming

  101. Weekly Pricing Pulse: Another narrow rise for commodity prices

    13 July 2018 Cole Hassay

    Rallying oil prices lifted the commodity complex for the second consecutive week.

    • Commodity Price Forecasts
  102. India-China trade barrier reductions

    13 July 2018 Deepa Kumar David Li

    Reduced India-China tariffs will expand market for Indian pharmaceuticals and broaden Indian start-ups' access to venture capital.

    • Economic Risk
  103. Ecuador private-sector incentives

    13 July 2018 Arthur Dhont

    Tax incentives and planned reinstatement of investment treaties likely to improve Ecuador's business environment.

    • Economic Risk
  104. KY3P: Vendor Management Portal

    13 July 2018

    KY3P: Vendor Management Portal

  105. Research Payments under MiFID II: Is there no such thing as a free lunch? (Part Two)

    13 July 2018 Francis Land

    In part two of our blog on Research Payments under MiFID II, Francis Land highlights one potential unintended consequence of the new rules.

    • Financial Trading
  106. Economic Review - Week of 16 July 2018

    13 July 2018 Chris Williamson

    A week that kicks off with the findings from the largest global survey of business expectations also sees important data releases for the US...

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  107. E-commerce retail sales tax

    12 July 2018 James Bohnaker

    The impact of the Supreme Court's ruling on e-commerce retail sales tax

    • Income Distribution
    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
    • Consumer Spending
  108. Libyan conflict update

    12 July 2018 Ludovico Carlino

    LNA’s bid to control Libyan national institutions increases risk of renewed fighting between western and eastern militias.

    • Terrorism
    • Political Risk
  109. Monthly model performance report – June 2018

    10 July 2018

    Monthly style and specialty model performance report.

  110. EU equity lending revenue improves 19% in first half of 2018

    10 July 2018 Sam Pierson

    European equity lending revenue is pointing higher

    • Financial Trading
  111. Monthly Global Review July 2018

    10 July 2018 Chris Williamson

    Monthly Global Review

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  112. Monthly Global Review

    10 July 2018 Chris Williamson

    Monthly Global Review

  113. The Trade Numerologist: Early Impacts of US-China Trade War

    09 July 2018 John Miller

    On Friday, US customs kicked off Washington’s latest line of trade defense against China, putting tariffs on $34 billion worth of products, including...

    • Trade Data
  114. Weekly Pricing Pulse: Rallying oil prices halt the commodity price retreat

    09 July 2018 Cole Hassay

    Strength in oil markets checked a two-week long retreat in commodity markets.

    • Commodity Price Forecasts
  115. Economic Review - Week of 9 July 2018

    08 July 2018 Chris Williamson

    Some of the highlights of the week ahead include fresh official data on economic growth trends in the UK and Eurozone as policymakers look for...

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  116. Tariff threats weigh on sentiment

    06 July 2018

    We review factor performance in June 2018.

    • Financial Services
  117. Research Payments under MiFID II: Is there no such thing as a free lunch?

    06 July 2018 Francis Land

    Under MiFID II’s research payment rules, the days of ‘No such thing as a free lunch’ should be a thing of the past. However, there have been...

    • Equity Markets
    • Financial Trading
  118. Political Outlook for Cambodia

    05 July 2018

    Cambodia’s ruling party tightens grip on power.

    • Political Risk
  119. Eurozone productivity broadly stabilises in June

    05 July 2018 Pollyanna De Lima

    Eurozone productivity broadly stabilised in June as expansion in the service sector partially offset deterioration at goods producers.

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  120. Nikkei PMI data point to stronger growth in second quarter

    04 July 2018 Bernard Aw

    The Japanese economy end the second quarter on a stronger note, according to Nikkei PMI surveys, with other survey indicators suggesting economic...

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  121. Caixin China PMI surveys signal steady economic growth but rising prices

    04 July 2018 Bernard Aw

    The steady expansion of China’s economy was sustained at the end of the second quarter, according to the latest Caixin PMI surveys, but the upturn...

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  122. Stronger UK service sector adds to signs of second quarter rebound

    04 July 2018 Chris Williamson

    June’s UK PMI surveys indicated a strong end to the second quarter.

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  123. Italy PMI improves in June, but remains suggestive of only slight rise in Q2 GDP

    04 July 2018

    Latest Italian PMI data indicated an improvement in business activity growth during June.

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  124. Near-stagnant exports push global manufacturing PMI to 11-month low

    03 July 2018 Chris Williamson

    Worldwide manufacturers reported the weakest rise in export orders for two years in June, contributing to the slowest improvement in business...

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  125. Impeachment of the Kenyan Deputy President

    03 July 2018 Chris Suckling, Ph.D.

    Probable forced removal of Kenya's deputy president indicated by anti-corruption investigation beginning in July, increasing legislative disruption....

    • Political Risk
  126. Survey data point to weakest quarter since end of 2016

    02 July 2018 Bernard Aw

    Business conditions in Malaysia’s manufacturing sector deteriorated further during June, according to latest Nikkei surveys, rounding off the...

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  127. The Trade Numerologist: Why the G7 Can’t Save Global Trade

    02 July 2018 John Miller

    In 1975, with oil prices spiking and the US rocking from the shock of Watergate, the world’s six biggest industrialized democracies met in a...

    • Trade Data
  128. Sahel terrorism risk assessment

    29 June 2018 Jihane Boudiaf

    Umbrella jihadist group likely to exploit expanded reach across Sahel to attack security installations more frequently.

    • Terrorism
  129. Prospects for peace talks in Afghanistan

    29 June 2018 Asad Ali

    Taliban factionalism renders meaningful negotiations unlikely despite Eid ceasefire in Afghanistan; conflict likely to continue unabated.

    • Terrorism
    • Political Risk
  130. Economic Preview - Week of 2 July 2018

    29 June 2018 Chris Williamson

    The coming week sees important data releases which include worldwide PMI surveys and US employment numbers. Policy highlights include the Reserve...

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  131. Economic Preview - Week of 2 July 2018

    29 June 2018 Chris Williamson

    The coming week sees important data releases which include worldwide PMI surveys and US employment numbers.

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  132. EM equity short position hit post-crisis peak in early June

    29 June 2018 Sam Pierson

    EM equity short balances peaked at $110bn on June 8th

    • Securities Finance
    • Exchange-Traded Funds (ETFs)
  133. Best practices for a smooth hand-off during platform manager transition

    28 June 2018

    Learn the key best practices our private equity client, High Road Capital Partners, utilized to ensure a smooth transition.

  134. Weekly Pricing Pulse: Commodity prices retreat as the outlook becomes cloudier

    28 June 2018 Cole Hassay

    Last week provided further evidence for our range-bound outlook.

    • Commodity Price Forecasts
  135. Data science: at the heart of business transformation

    28 June 2018

    Data science is not new. But the availability of new tools and technologies is changing the role of the data scientist, enabling them to produce...

    • Artificial Intelligence (AI)
  136. Blockchain – beyond cryptocurrencies

    28 June 2018

    The early promise of blockchain is beginning to bear fruit as financial services firms invest in DLT projects to reduce risk and cost.

  137. Capitalizing on the data deluge

    28 June 2018

    Managing the huge amounts of data now available to the financial sector is a challenge that is being met by integrating new tools and methods...

    • Automotive Consumer Marketing/Audiences
  138. Monthly GDP Index from Macroeconomic Advisers by IHS Markit for May

    27 June 2018 Kathleen Navin, CBE Ben Herzon, Ph.D.

    According to our Monthly GDP Index, monthly GDP rose 0.5% in May.

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
    • Economic Risk
  139. Eurozone budget proposal

    27 June 2018 Kit Nicholl Jan Gerhard

    French President Emmanuel Macron and German Chancellor Angela Merkel met on 19 June to discuss EU reform ahead of the 28–29 June European Council...

    • Political Risk
    • Economic Risk
  140. The growing short position in USD investment grade credit

    26 June 2018 Sam Pierson

    IG credit short balance hits post-crisis peak in June

    • Securities Finance
    • Financial Trading
  141. IHS Markit US PMI survey signals weakening manufacturing trend

    25 June 2018 Chris Williamson

    An overall solid performance of the US economy in June masks a slowdown trend in manufacturing.

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  142. The Trade Numerologist: Trade and the Mexican Election

    25 June 2018 John Miller

    There’s less than a week to go before Mexico’s July 1 presidential election, and polls indicate that the favorite is the leftwing populist Andrés...

    • Trade Data
  143. Economic Preview - Week of 25 June 2018

    22 June 2018 Chris Williamson

    The coming week sees GDP updates for the US and UK as well as a policy meeting in New Zealand. Besides data releases, the EU/UK Brexit summit...

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  144. Global and domestic market woes hit South African rand

    22 June 2018 Thea Fourie

    South Africa has witnessed the biggest sell-off of local bonds by foreign investors on record.

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
    • Economic Risk
  145. One step forward, two steps back for Polish pension reform

    22 June 2018 Sharon Fisher

    Poland’s 2017 retirement age reduction will damage public finances, raise the risk of poverty, and hurt an already tight labor market.

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
    • Economic Risk
  146. Colombian presidential election

    22 June 2018 Arthur Dhont

    Multi-party coalition likely to support Colombian president-elect, supporting fiscal reform but tempering hostility to FARC peace accord.

    • Political Risk
    • Economic Risk
  147. IHS Markit PMI surveys signal further 190k non-farm payroll gain in June

    22 June 2018 Chris Williamson

    S&P Global’s PMI surveys signal another bumper month of employment growth in June.

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  148. Flash Eurozone PMI signals 0.5% GDP rise in Q2, but also hints at weakening trend

    22 June 2018 Chris Williamson

    Flash PMI survey data for June showed business activity regaining some momentum.

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  149. Flash PMI points to firmer growth of Japanese manufacturing despite export decline

    22 June 2018 Bernard Aw

    Japan manufacturing continued to enjoy robust growth in June, but there were further signs of easing demand, especially in export markets, calling...

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  150. Egyptian cabinet reshuffle

    21 June 2018 Jack A. Kennedy

    Egyptian cabinet reshuffle reduces coup risks for president, focuses economic policy on subsidy reduction and privatization.

    • Political Risk
  151. Weekly Pricing Pulse: Commodity prices pull back

    21 June 2018 Cole Hassay

    We have been seeing signs that the commodity price rally was running out of steam; last week, the MPI confirmed this as commodity prices pulled...

    • Commodity Price Forecasts
  152. PMI data indicate headwinds to copper prices

    21 June 2018 Sam Teague

    Copper prices rose markedly in the first two weeks of June on the back of supply shortage fears and bullish price speculation.

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  153. Poland constitutional consultative referendum

    20 June 2018 Blanka Kolenikova

    Public consultation, domestic pressure to mitigate disagreements with EU over Poland's proposed constitutional review.

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
    • Political Risk
    • Economic Risk
  154. SFTR: Making Sense of it All

    19 June 2018 Pierre Khemdoudi

    Overview of SFTR initiative

  155. Economic Preview - Week of 18 June 2018

    19 June 2018 Chris Williamson

    The week sees key monetary policy meetings in the UK and Brazil, which lead up to the release of flash PMI surveys for the Eurozone, US and Japan....

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  156. Economic collapse in Syria revealed

    19 June 2018 Francisco Tang Bustillos

     After a six-year delay, Syria released national account data showing that the economy contracted by more than 50% in 2012-2016.

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
    • Economic Risk
  157. Economic Preview - Week of 18 June 2018

    19 June 2018 Chris Williamson

    The week sees key monetary policy meetings in the UK and Brazil, which lead up to the release of flash PMI surveys.

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  158. 'Short burn' spares few

    18 June 2018 Sam Pierson

    Crowded US equity shorts outperform

    • Exchange-Traded Funds (ETFs)
  159. Zambian private sector makes solid recovery after recent cholera outbreak

    18 June 2018 Gabriella Dickens

    Growth in the Zambian economy has regained momentum during the second quarter so far.

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  160. Banking sector developments in Bangladesh

    18 June 2018 Angus Lam

    Fast credit growth and loan restructuring raise credit risk in Bangladesh

    • Operational Risk
    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
    • Economic Risk
  161. The backsolve explained

    18 June 2018

    Given the early stages of operations for a number of investments and limitation of inputs for valuation methods within venture capital, this...

    • Company Valuations
    • Exploration & Production (E&P)
  162. The future of the president of Burundi

    18 June 2018 Jordan Anderson

    Burundian president likely to stand for re-election despite "pledge to step down", increasing coup risks beyond 2018.

    • Political Risk
  163. The Trade Numerologist: Lessons from US-China trade war

    18 June 2018 John Miller

    This weekend, Beijing showed why, unlike some other countries, it likely has the upper hand in negotiating trade terms with the US.

    • Trade Data
  164. Irish economy rebounds following Storm Emma disruption

    18 June 2018 Andrew Harker

    Irish economy rebounds following Storm Emma disruption

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  165. Social media indicator review

    15 June 2018

    An update to our Social Media factor suite performance since the factors went live four years ago.

    • Financial Services
  166. Argentina judicial reforms

    15 June 2018 Carla Selman

    Argentina's government introducing reforms to improve judiciary's independence, but major advances unlikely over coming year.

    • Legal Risk
    • Taxation Risk
    • Political Risk
  167. Upcoming Zimbabwean elections

    15 June 2018 Theo Acheampong, PhD

    Zimbabwean president's victory in July election likely to see implementation of economic transformation agenda despite opposition protests.

    • Political Risk
  168. Turkish central bank actions may have come too late

    14 June 2018 Andrew Birch

    To rescue the lira and rebuild confidence in monetary policy, the Turkish central bank has taken several aggressive actions.

    • Operational Risk
    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
    • Economic Risk
  169. Weekly Pricing Pulse: Commodity prices continue to rise, but narrowly

    14 June 2018 Cole Hassay

    Signs are emerging that the commodity price rally is running out of steam.

    • Commodity Price Forecasts
  170. Official production data likely overstate eurozone manufacturing soft patch

    14 June 2018 Chris Williamson

    Survey and official data have diverged in terms of the health of the euro area manufacturing sector.

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  171. Possibility of prolonged fractured governance in Spain raises growth risks

    13 June 2018 Raj Badiani Laurence Allan, Ph.D.

    The change in government poses little threat to 2018 growth, but political and economic headwinds could erode the 2019 outlook.

    • Political Risk
    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
    • Economic Risk
  172. Risk of hooliganism at the 2018 FIFA World Cup

    13 June 2018 Petya Barzilska

    Drivers of potential fan violence at the Russia games include past animosities and political influences

    • Terrorism
    • Political Risk
  173. Monthly PMI Overview June 2018

    12 June 2018 Chris Williamson

    Monthly PMI Overview June 2018

  174. May sees deterioration in eurozone workforce efficiency

    12 June 2018 Pollyanna De Lima

    May sees deterioration in eurozone workforce efficiency

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  175. The Trade Numerologist: Canadian Firms At Risk In US Trade Spat

    11 June 2018 John Miller

    The US-Canada trade feud underscores the risks faced by Canadian firms doing business with the US, especially carmakers and industrial suppliers....

    • Trade Data
  176. Economic Preview - Week of 11 June 2018

    11 June 2018 Chris Williamson

    The coming week sees monetary policy meetings at the US Federal Reserve, ECB and Bank of Japan.

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  177. Basic Materials sector shows signs of a pick-up through 2018

    08 June 2018 Sian Jones

    Goods producers in the US basic materials sector have signalled signs of recovery from weaker demand conditions seen at the start of the year....

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  178. Reserve Bank of India surprises with pre-emptive rate hike

    08 June 2018 Bernard Aw

    The Reserve Bank of India raised the policy rate for the first time in nearly four-and-a-half years at the June meeting. Future action will depend...

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  179. Monthly model performance report – May 2018

    08 June 2018

    Monthly style and specialty model performance report.

  180. Canadian pipeline purchase

    08 June 2018

    Canadian government's purchase of pipeline project to polarize electorate, increasing odds of government change at 2019 election.

    • Political Risk
    • Economic Risk
  181. Kenyan corporate tax increase

    08 June 2018 Chris Suckling, Ph.D.

    Probable corporate tax increases after 30 June and anti-corruption probe indicate Kenya's renewed commitment to fiscal consolidation.

    • Taxation Risk
    • Legal Risk
    • Political Risk
    • Economic Risk
  182. UK pay growth hits three-year high as employers fight to fill vacancies

    08 June 2018 Chris Williamson

    Average salaries awarded to candidates taking up new jobs rose at the fastest rate for three years in May in a further sign that the tightening...

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  183. South Korea PMI signals manufacturing slowdown

    07 June 2018 Bernard Aw

    Business conditions in South Korea’s manufacturing sector deteriorated further in May, according to the Nikkei PMI surveys, setting the scene...

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  184. The value-momentum trade war

    07 June 2018

    We review factor performance in May 2018.

  185. Weekly Pricing Pulse: Strength in chemical markets mask softness in the commodity complex

    07 June 2018 Cole Hassay

    Commodities rise again as chemicals continue to drive the index upward.

    • Commodity Price Forecasts
  186. To D or not to D – is Annex D really a new FRTB requirement?

    07 June 2018 Gil Shefi

    The long-awaited Basel Committee Consultative Document on the Fundamental Review of the Trading Book (FRTB) minimal capital requirements for...

    • Financial Trading
    • Fundamental Review of the Trading Book (FRTB)
  187. Tanzanian contract review and renewables development

    07 June 2018 Chris Suckling, Ph.D.

    Energy budget discussions indicate Tanzania will renegotiate gas-to-electricity off-take agreements and prioritize renewables development.

    • Political Risk
    • Economic Risk
  188. US takes lead in global expansion

    07 June 2018 Chris Williamson

    US takes lead in global expansion

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  189. Brief overview on dividends from Temasek-linked companies

    07 June 2018 Chong Jun Wong, CFA

    The inclusion of Temasek Holdings into the NIRC framework in 2015 has not prompted Temasek-linked companies (TLCs) to amend their payout pattern...

    • Dividends
  190. Caixin PMI surveys point to steady economic growth despite export decline

    05 June 2018 Bernard Aw

    China’s economy maintained a steady momentum midway through the second quarter, according to the latest Caixin PMI surveys.

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  191. Global auto industry accelerates in April

    05 June 2018

    Following marginal growth in March, a solid expansion in output was registered in the global automobile manufacturing sector during April.

  192. UK PMI recovers to five-month high in May, but rebound lacks conviction

    05 June 2018 Chris Williamson

    Business activity rose to the greatest extent recorded so far this year in May, though forward-looking indicators suggest growth could deteriorate....

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  193. Nikkei Japan PMI data point to cooling growth in May

    05 June 2018 Bernard Aw

    After a solid start to the second quarter, the Japanese economy expanded at a slower rate in May.

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  194. Iran-China relations

    04 June 2018 Nazanin Soroush Meda Al Rowas David Li

    Iran likely to increasingly rely on China as major trading partner to withstand strengthening US sanctions.

    • Terrorism
    • Political Risk
  195. Brazil regulatory agencies

    04 June 2018 Carlos Caicedo

    Bargaining for control of Brazil's regulatory agencies before incumbent government's term ends likely to undermine operating environment.

    • Political Risk
    • Operational Risk
    • Economic Risk
  196. The Trade Numerologist: US escalates trade disputes with allies

    04 June 2018 John Miller

    The US ramped up trade friction last week with key allies Canada, Mexico and the European Union, by implementing proposed metal tariffs, underscoring...

    • Trade Data
  197. Nikkei Indonesia PMI points to faster growth, but also higher cost pressures

    04 June 2018 Bernard Aw

    Growth in the Indonesian manufacturing sector picked up slightly midway through the second quarter, according to the Nikkei PMI surveys, setting...

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  198. UK construction growth on shaky foundations as sentiment slides and orders fall

    04 June 2018 Chris Williamson

    UK construction activity increased in May, but growth looks set to lose momentum in coming months.

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  199. Economic Preview - Week of 4 June 2018

    01 June 2018 Chris Williamson

    Business survey data for May will provide indications of global and national economic trends midway through the second quarter, with UK data...

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  200. Global Manufacturing PMI at nine-month low amid near-stagnation of worldwide exports

    01 June 2018 Chris Williamson

    Global Manufacturing PMI at nine-month low amid near-stagnation of worldwide exports

  201. Economic Preview - Week of 4 June 2018

    01 June 2018 Chris Williamson

    Business survey data for May will provide indications of global and national economic trends midway through the second quarter.

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  202. Russian National Projects investment program

    01 June 2018 Lilit Gevorgyan, B.A., M.A., M.Sc. Alex Kokcharov

    Russia likely to favor domestic contractors to implement its "National Projects" investment program to 2024.

    • Political Risk
    • Operational Risk
    • Economic Risk
  203. IHS Markit Weekly Securitized Snapshot – May 31, 2018

    01 June 2018

    The S&P Global Weekly Securitized Snapshot provides a summary of the US securitized market.

  204. Order book and production divergence hints at extended eurozone manufacturing soft patch

    01 June 2018 Chris Williamson

    The eurozone manufacturing sector reported its slowest expansion for 15 months in May, according to the final PMI data.

  205. UK Manufacturing PMI stages unconvincing rebound in May

    01 June 2018 Chris Williamson

    UK Manufacturing PMI stages unconvincing rebound in May

  206. CDS and redenomination

    31 May 2018 Gavan Nolan

    Investors should take heed of the CDS ISDA basis when monitoring redenomination risk

    • Political Risk
    • Credit Default Swaps (CDS)
  207. Weekly Pricing Pulse: Chemical prices surge, pushing the MPI high

    31 May 2018 Cole Hassay

    The commodity complex continues to show strength, but prices may be approaching a peak.

    • Commodity Price Forecasts
  208. South African land redistribution

    31 May 2018 Martin Roberts

    Provincial leadership battles and changing approach on land redistribution make early South African general election unlikely.

    • Political Risk
    • Economic Risk
  209. Monthly GDP Index from Macroeconomic Advisers by IHS Markit for April

    30 May 2018 Kathleen Navin Ben Herzon

    Monthly GDP Index rises 0.3% in April 2018

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
    • Economic Risk
  210. Is global meat trade overdone?

    29 May 2018 John Miller

    One of the tenets of 21st century globalization has been that Africa, Asia and Latin America’s new middle classes will want and pay for a high-protein...

    • Trade Data
  211. All time high in Cannabis shorts

    25 May 2018 Sam Pierson

    Short balances in Marijuana stocks hit $2.1bn, highest on record

    • Equity Markets
    • Exchange-Traded Funds (ETFs)
  212. Short sellers flee FTSE 250

    25 May 2018 Sam Pierson

    Q2 on pace for largest post-Brexit FTSE 250 short covering

    • Equity Markets
  213. Venezuela election result

    25 May 2018 Diego Moya-Ocampos, LLB

    US sanctions on Venezuela highly likely following fraud allegations in presidential election.

    • Political Risk
  214. Economic Preview - Week of 28 May 2018

    25 May 2018 Chris Williamson

    Upcoming manufacturing PMI surveys will give a guide to global economic trends halfway through the second quarter.

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  215. Petrochemical Cluster: A bright future for the Tri-state region

    25 May 2018 Rajeevee Panditharatna Ron Whitfield

    Major new petrochemical supplier and plastics manufacturing plants coming to the Appalachian region – how many more will follow?

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
    • Economic Risk
  216. Malaysian coalition stability

    24 May 2018 Deepa Kumar

    Malaysian coalition stability likely until by-election for premiership; GST repeal signals government intent to uphold election promises.

    • Security Risk
    • Political Risk
  217. Weekly Pricing Pulse: Oil prices support the commodity complex

    23 May 2018 Cole Hassay

    Stronger crude oil prices are starting to move downstream.

    • Commodity Price Forecasts
  218. Catalan elections

    23 May 2018 Laurence Allan, Ph.D.

    Election of Catalan president likely to lead to partial stability, but conflict will remain unresolved.

    • Political Risk
  219. Room remains for additional monetary policy tightening in the Philippines

    23 May 2018 Ling-Wei Chung

    Mounting inflationary pressure and strong economic momentum create room for further interest rate hikes following the May increase.

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
    • Economic Risk
  220. IHS Markit US manufacturing PMI survey shows price pressures building amid capacity constraints

    23 May 2018 Chris Williamson

    S&P Global’s ‘flash’ manufacturing PMI survey indicated further robust output growth and strong hiring momentum during May.

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  221. Short sellers fade Pot stock rally

    22 May 2018 Sam Pierson

    Marijuana related stocks: Valuation and short demand

    • Financial Trading
    • Equity Markets
  222. Weak start to 2018 for South Africa

    21 May 2018 Thea Fourie

    South Africa’s cyclical rebound during 2018 is expected to be soft. S&P Global expects growth of 1.5% for the year.

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
    • Economic Risk
  223. Eurozone slowdown: What’s going on

    21 May 2018 Ken Wattret

    2017’s positive surprises have been followed by disappointments early this year. Transitory factors have contributed but are not solely to blame....

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
    • Economic Risk
  224. Malaysia PMI suggests further loss of momentum after a slow start to 2018

    21 May 2018 Bernard Aw

    The Malaysian economy grew at a slower pace in the opening quarter of 2018, in line with advance signals from business surveys.

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  225. EU Faces Tough Decisions On Iran Trade

    18 May 2018 John Miller

    President Trump’s decision to pull out of the 2015 nuclear deal with Iran and reimpose sanctions is likely to accelerate Tehran nation’s turn...

  226. Vietnam makes progress towards achieving economic plans

    18 May 2018 Andrew Harker

    Vietnam makes progress towards achieving economic plans

  227. Economic Preview - Week of 21 May 2018

    18 May 2018 Chris Williamson

    The week sees a range of data that will add to views on policy decisions at major central banks.

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  228. Nigerian election update

    18 May 2018 Martin Roberts

    Nigerian president clear favorite to win second term in 2019, extending emphasis on rail infrastructure and agriculture.

    • Political Risk
  229. Most Shorted Ahead of Earnings: J.C. Penney & Pets at Home Group

    17 May 2018 Sam Pierson

    After Macy’s kicked off retail earnings with a strong result, see how short sellers are positioned for JCP earnings today.

    • Financial Services
  230. Weekly Pricing Pulse: Geopolitical turbulence drives up crude oil prices

    17 May 2018 Cole Hassay

    Geopolitical tumult boosted commodity prices again last week.

    • Commodity Price Forecasts
  231. European Defense Relations

    17 May 2018 Petya Barzilska Dijedon Imeri Alex Kokcharov

    Defense agreement to deepen military ties between Sweden, Finland, US, but NATO membership remains unlikely.

    • Political Risk
  232. US tax reform and valuation

    17 May 2018

    Take a closer look at the ways tax reform will affect private companies moving forward.

    • Legal Risk
    • Company Valuations
    • Taxation Risk
  233. Survey data point to Japan's economy gaining strength after disappointing Q1 GDP

    16 May 2018 Bernard Aw

    The Japanese economy shrank in the first three months of 2018, according to the preliminary estimate of gross domestic product.

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  234. Go-slow exit for ECB

    16 May 2018 Ken Wattret

    The normalization of monetary policy in the Eurozone is likely to be a very protracted process.

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
    • Economic Risk
  235. Upgrade of Nigerian sovereign risk rating

    16 May 2018 Ama Egyaba Baidu Forson

    Nigeria's sovereign risk rating revised outlook to Stable on external balances and improved liquidity profile

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
    • Economic Risk
  236. NAFTA renegotiations

    16 May 2018 John Raines Carlos Cardenas

    NAFTA renegotiation deadline set for 17 May, but ratification to face hurdles due to Mexico-US elections.

    • Political Risk
    • Economic Risk
  237. US Gaming Stocks Advance on Supreme Court Decision

    15 May 2018 Sam Pierson

    US Gaming Stocks Advance on Supreme Court Decision

  238. The economic footprint of Tesla in California

    15 May 2018 Leslie Levesque

    An economic impact assessment of Tesla’s operations in California

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  239. PMI signals headwind to aluminium prices

    15 May 2018 Sam Teague

    Survey data suggest that subdued demand growth at aluminium-using firms worldwide presents a downside risk for prices.

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  240. PMI data eyed for clues of potential second quarter Eurozone GDP rebound

    15 May 2018 Chris Williamson

    New GDP estimates add further confirmation to the slowing of the Eurozone economy in early 2018.

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  241. The Trade Numerologist: The South Korean Miracle

    14 May 2018 John Miller

    While China has turned into the world’s top exporter in the new century, and accumulated the accompanying riches and status, the second biggest...

  242. April PMI signals improving demand as India economy recovers from twin shocks

    14 May 2018

    India’s economic performance accelerated to the strongest in three months at the start of the second quarter.

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  243. IHS Markit US PMI surveys indicate price pressures at highest since mid-2011

    14 May 2018 Chris Williamson

    S&P Global US PMI surveys indicate price pressures at highest since mid-2011

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  244. Best Q1 securities lending revenue since 2008

    11 May 2018 Sam Pierson

    S&P Global Securities Finance Q1 Review

  245. Romanian base interest rate rises as inflation accelerates

    11 May 2018 Vaiva Seckute

    The central bank raised its main policy rate for the third time this year in an attempt to weaken price growth.

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
    • Economic Risk
  246. IHS Markit Weekly Securitized Snapshot – May 11, 2018

    11 May 2018 Adam Mauro

    The S&P Global Weekly Securitized Snapshot provides a summary of the US securitized market.

  247. Weekly Pricing Pulse: Commodity prices rally on strength in lumber and iron ore markets

    11 May 2018 Cole Hassay

    The MPI increased for the third time in four weeks.

    • Commodity Price Forecasts
  248. Ethiopia regional ports initiative

    11 May 2018 Chris Suckling, Ph.D.

    Ethiopia's participation in neighboring ports likely to increase trade efficiencies and influence China's Belt and Road Initiative.

    • Political Risk
    • Economic Risk
  249. Venezuela presidential election

    10 May 2018 Diego Moya-Ocampos, LLB

    Venezuelan president highly likely to be re-elected despite international opposition and increasing likelihood of oil sanctions.

    • Political Risk
    • Economic Risk
  250. Monthly PMI Overview May 2018

    10 May 2018 Chris Williamson

    Monthly PMI Overview

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  251. Survey data in spotlight as Bank of England holds interest rates

    10 May 2018 Chris Williamson

    The Bank of England left interest rates unchanged at the Monetary Policy Committee's May meeting.

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  252. Monthly PMI Overview

    10 May 2018 Chris Williamson

    Monthly PMI Overview

  253. The Argentine peso remains vulnerable

    09 May 2018 Paula Diosquez-Rice

    The Argentine peso remains highly vulnerable despite aggressive Central Bank intervention.

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
    • Economic Risk
  254. Islamic State electoral disruption

    08 May 2018 Ludovico Carlino

    Islamic State’s intent to disrupt elections in Iraq, Libya, and Tunisia will indicate group’s enduring capabilities.

    • Terrorism
    • Political Risk
    • Economic Risk
  255. Monthly model performance report – April 2018

    08 May 2018

    Monthly style and specialty model performance report.

  256. Short selling in earnings season: Anything but boring

    07 May 2018 Sam Pierson

    Short sellers of equities and corporate bonds are navigating a challenging Q1 earnings season

  257. The Trade Numerologist: The Bilateral Trade Deal Tango

    07 May 2018 John Miller

    With multilateral trade treaties, from the European Union to the Trans-Pacific Partnership, taking hits from protectionist politicians this year...

  258. South Africa on back foot as Namibia and Angola seek more investment

    04 May 2018 Thea Fourie

    Favorable regulatory reforms in Angola and Namibia overshadow populist policies in South Africa.

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
    • Economic Risk
  259. Protest risk for Nicaragua

    04 May 2018

    Nicaraguan government instability risks highlighted by anti-government protests unlikely to be mitigated by upcoming protest resolution talks....

    • Terrorism
    • Political Risk
  260. Value trade protectionism

    04 May 2018

    We review factor performance in April 2018.

  261. IHS Markit Weekly Securitized Snapshot – May 5, 2018

    04 May 2018

    S&P Global Weekly Securitized Snapshot – May 5, 2018

  262. Chinese economic growth stymied in April by falling exports

    04 May 2018 Bernard Aw

    Chinese economic growth stymied in April by falling exports

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  263. Eurozone productivity stagnates during April

    04 May 2018 Pollyanna De Lima

    Total productivity in the euro area was broadly unchanged in April, thereby ending a 58-month period of uninterrupted growth.

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  264. Muted PMI leaves global economy in lower gear

    04 May 2018 Chris Williamson

    After a brief spell of excitement at the start of the year, PMI survey data indicate that global economic growth has settled into a lower (but...

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  265. China-India bilateral relations

    03 May 2018 Deepa Kumar David Li

    Bilateral meetings indicate military de-escalation despite continued political distrust, increased Chinese private-sector investment in India...

    • Political Risk
  266. PMI rises to six-month high as Japan's economic upturn regains momentum

    03 May 2018 Bernard Aw

    The Japanese economy expanded at the strongest rate for six months at the start of the second quarter, according to PMI data.

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  267. Muted UK PMI rebound indicates tepid economic growth at start of second quarter

    03 May 2018 Chris Williamson

    Business activity picked up only modestly in April after being disrupted by heavy snowfall in March.

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  268. Weekly Pricing Pulse: A pause in the MPI while the specter of geopolitical risk remains

    02 May 2018 Cole Hassay

    Turbulence reigned in commodity markets last week despite relative stability in the MPI.

    • Commodity Price Forecasts
  269. US sanctions on Iran

    02 May 2018 Nazanin Soroush

    US sanctions on Iran’s strategic sectors increasingly likely in one-year outlook, aimed at internal destabilization.

    • Terrorism
    • Security Risk
    • Political Risk
  270. Malaysian manufacturing growth weakens but optimism hits multi-year high

    02 May 2018 Bernard Aw

    Latest survey data indicate that the health of Malaysia's manufacturing economy weakened further at the start of the second quarter.

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  271. Global manufacturing PMI subdued by slowdown in global trade

    02 May 2018 Chris Williamson

    PMI survey data show global manufacturing managed only a modest rebound in April.

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  272. Indonesia manufacturing growth picks up but future worries hit five-year high

    02 May 2018 Bernard Aw

    Indonesia’s manufacturing economy picked up pace at the beginning of the second quarter, building on the positive start to the year.

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  273. UK manufacturing PMI at one-and-a-half year low

    01 May 2018 Chris Williamson

    UK manufacturers reported the weakest improvement in business conditions for nearly one-and-a-half years in April.

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  274. The impact of region on FVA submissions

    01 May 2018 Vaughan Harding

    Funding valuation adjustment, or FVA, has long been the subject of heated debate within the industry. Intended to ensure banks account properly...

    • Financial Risk Analytics
  275. The Trade Numerologist: The future of fish

    30 April 2018 John Miller

    The world’s appetite for fish has boomed prodigiously over the past 30 years, and is expected to keep expanding.

    • Imports
    • Exports
  276. Latin American lithium promotion

    27 April 2018 Carla Selman

    Argentina, Bolivia, and Chile to promote investment in lithium, but legal challenges likely to delay projects.

    • Political Risk
    • Economic Risk
  277. TradeTech 2018: Top five highlights from Lance Uggla on how to supercharge your market data capabilities

    27 April 2018

    In a keynote interview with Ulku Rowe of Google Cloud Lance discusses the evolving alternative data market.

  278. Upcoming UK PMI data in spotlight after disappointing first quarter GDP numbers

    27 April 2018 Chris Williamson

    UK economic growth slowed to near stagnation in the first quarter, casting further doubts on the health of the economy.

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  279. Week Ahead Economic Preview

    27 April 2018 Chris Williamson

    The week sees important updates to the global economic picture in the form of manufacturing and service sector PMI surveys.

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  280. Sweden maintains policy rate at April meeting

    27 April 2018

    Despite an ‘as expected’ policy rate decision, markets reacted strongly to this week’s meeting of the Riksbank executive committee.

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
    • Economic Risk
  281. IHS Markit Weekly Securitized Snapshot – April 27, 2018

    27 April 2018 Adam Mauro

    S&P Global Weekly Securitized Snapshot – April 27, 2018

  282. India militancy update

    27 April 2018 Deepa Kumar

    Indigenization of militancy likely to escalate unrest in India's Kashmir, particularly ahead of upcoming national, state elections.

    • Political Risk
  283. Earnings Report: Facebook, Supervalu, CBL, Euronav, Capita & Monex

    26 April 2018 Sam Pierson

    Mixed results for short sellers as earnings season rolls on

    • Financial Services
  284. Monthly GDP Index from Macroeconomic Advisers by IHS Markit for March

    26 April 2018 Kathleen Navin Ben Herzon

    According to our Monthly GDP Index, monthly GDP rose 0.5% in March.

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
    • Economic Risk
  285. Turkey presidential election

    26 April 2018 Ege Seckin

    Outcome of Turkey’s presidential election depends largely on ability of discordant opposition parties to present unified candidate.

    • Political Risk
    • Economic Risk
  286. Weekly Pricing Pulse: Political price premiums drive another rise in the MPI

    26 April 2018 Cole Hassay

    Geopolitics continue to rattle commodity markets.

    • Commodity Price Forecasts
  287. Lower labor taxes and changes to pension system in Lithuania

    25 April 2018 Vaiva Seckute

    Lithuania will ease the tax burden on labor and redesign the pension system, which should encourage private participation.

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
    • Taxation Risk
    • Legal Risk
    • Economic Risk
  288. Assessing liquidity: why quality data matters

    24 April 2018 Dan Huscher

    In the fixed income markets, judging liquidity can be a complex issue.

  289. The Trade Numerologist: The Optimistic Case for Global Trade

    23 April 2018

    We’ve spent a lot of time in this space of late talking about tariffs, protectionism, the weakening of trade deals and the World Trade Organization...

    • Imports
    • Exports
  290. Eurozone settles into lower gear

    23 April 2018 Chris Williamson

    Eurozone settles into lower gear

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  291. A Greek clean bailout exit is likely but not certain

    23 April 2018 Diego Iscaro

    It is likely Greece will exit its current program but there are several factors that could derail a "clean" exit.

    • Political Risk
    • Legal Risk
    • Taxation Risk
    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
    • Economic Risk
  292. Leadership transition in Cuba

    23 April 2018 Diego Moya-Ocampos, LLB

    Díaz-Canel taking the reins signals continuity and gradual economic reform but not democratic opening.

    • Political Risk
    • Economic Risk
  293. IHS Markit Weekly Securitized Snapshot – April 20, 2018

    20 April 2018

    The S&P Global Weekly Securitized Snapshot provides a summary of the US securitized market.

    • Structured Finance
  294. Cyber security law in Thailand

    20 April 2018 David Li

    Thailand's National Reform Plans signals worsening operating environment for IT and social-media companies, election delays increase implementation...

    • Terrorism
    • Terrorism
    • Political Risk
  295. Comparisons of US manufacturing output ‘soft data’ accuracy

    20 April 2018 Chris Williamson

    As a ‘soft data’ advance guide to official data on manufacturing output, the S&P Global PMI has outperformed the ISM.

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  296. Post-trade processing in a T2S world: All change for sub-custodians

    20 April 2018

    Over the last two years, 22 central securities depositories in 20 markets have migrated to TARGET2-Securities (T2S). Like it or not, the platform...

  297. Weekly Pricing Pulse: Geopolitical risks push up commodity prices

    19 April 2018 Cole Hassay

    Commodity prices rallied last week as geopolitical concerns rattled markets

    • Commodity Price Forecasts
  298. Looming bank fine poses a key test for Turkish economic resiliency

    19 April 2018 Andrew Birch Alyssa Grzelak

    The impact on the Turkish economy from US penalties for the financial sector’s role in skirting Iranian sanctions remains uncertain.

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
    • Economic Risk
  299. Health of the LNA commander in question

    19 April 2018 Ludovico Carlino

    LNA commander’s incapacity through ill-health, if confirmed, would risk triggering new struggle for control of eastern Libya.

    • Terrorism
    • Political Risk
  300. Successful use of 'soft data' in nowcast models will depend on choice of data

    18 April 2018 Chris Williamson

    S&P Global’s PMI data painted a far more accurate picture of the US manufacturing economy in 2017 than the ISM surveys.

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)

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