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Same-Day Analysis

MTN Reports 73% Annual Growth to 40 Million Subscribers

Published: 29 March 2007
The MTN Group, the largest mobile operator in Africa, reported 40.051 million subscribers as of 31 December 2006.

Global Insight Perspective

 

Significance

With 40.051 million subscribers, this is equivalent to a 73% increase in MTN’s subscriber base after the acquisition of Investcom during the year, a 42.8% increase when Investcom’s operations are consolidated, and a 36% increase if Investcom’s operations are excluded.

Implications

The MTN Group also recorded a 49% increase in revenue to 52 billion rand and a 53% increase in EBITDA to 22 billion rand. MTN says that its revenue increase was driven mainly by the acquisition of Investcom and increase in subscriber numbers.

Outlook

The operator says it will continue to focus on rolling out its networks and, after acquiring Investcom, VGC Communications and Arobase will continue pursuing strategic expansion opportunities to diversify earnings.

The MTN Group’s profile has changed significantly following a series of acquisitions in the last year (see Sub-Saharan Africa: 2 May 2006: MTN Agrees to Acquire Investcom LLC for US$5.53 bil.). Investcom is now fully consolidated into the group, which is now organised into three operating regions: South and East Africa, West and Central Africa and the Middle East and North Africa. In addition to the acquisition of Investcom in May 2006, so far this year MTN has also announced the acquisition of Arobase Telecom in Côte d’Ivoire (see Côte d’Ivoire: 5 February 2007: MTN Looks to Acquire Arobase Telecom) and Victoria Garden City Communications Ltd in Nigeria (see Nigeria: 23 January 2007: MTN Nigeria Acquires VGC Communications Ltd).

The group’s subscriber base of 40.051 million has increased by 73% if the acquisition of Investcom and its operations in nine countries is not included. If these are included, its subscriber base has grown by 42.8% from 28.05 million in December, and 34.8 million subscribers as of 31 September 2006 (see Sub-Saharan Africa: 2 November 2006: MTN Reaches 34.8 mil. Subscribers). Investcom operations have increased by 38% in the six months since July 2006 to reach 8.4 million subscribers and if these are excluded from the group totals then year-on-year growth was 36%. MTN says that its strong organic growth in South Africa and Nigeria has underpinned growth.

MTN Group Subscriber Base, 2005 – 2006 (Thousands)

 

Dec 2006

Dec 2005

Year-on-year growth
CAGR (%)

South and East Africa

15,517

12,281

26.4

South Africa

12,483

10,235

22.0

Swaziland

268

213

25.8

Botswana

600

479

25.3

Zambia

187

97

92.8

Uganda

1,595

982

62.4

Rwanda

384

275

39.6

    

West and Central Africa

19,622

13,149

49.2

Nigeria

12,281

8,370

46.7

Ghana

2,585

1,820

42.0

Cameroon

1,783

1,248

42.9

Cote d'Ivoire

1,625

1,080

50.5

CongoBrazzaville

280

210

33.3

Liberia

218

109

100.0

Benin

476

268

77.6

GuineaConakry

276

-

-

GuineaBissau

98

44

122.7

    

Middle East and North Africa

4,912

2,624

87.2

Sudan

1,066

269

296.3

Iran

154

-

-

Afghanistan

218

-

-

Syria

2,237

1,465

52.7

Yemen

1,161

825

40.7

Cyprus

76

65

16.9

    

Total

40,051

28,054

42.8

Source: MTN

Outlook and Implications

MTN says that the focus for 2007 is on continuing to drive regional synergies, taking advantage of opportunities within the value chain and improving operational efficiency. The operator says it will continue to focus on rolling out its networks and pursuing strategic expansion opportunities to diversify earnings.

A key area for MTN is that it will focus on implementing money/payment solutions in its key markets to facilitate the transfer of funds in under-serviced markets. In Nigeria, MTN launched a new service called X-Change, which it describes as an electronic wallet through which subscribers purchase airtime and make payments from ATMs (automated teller machines), ConnectStore outlets and selected external ATMs. The service has helped MTN to retain subscribers and reduce its churn level, and has also increased minutes of use.

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