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GTAS Forecasting

Formerly known as GTA Forecasting and World Trade Service

The world’s most comprehensive database of international trade and commercial freight traffic providing long-term annual forecasts up to year 2040, and quarterly forecasts for eight quarters ahead, including data broken down by transportation modes and cargo types.

The GTAS Forecasting provides market and business planners with in-depth analysis, historical data, and forecasts of bilateral trade between 248 countries and regions across 270 commodities and 16 key indicators (Trade Concepts), including containerized trade measured in container tons or TEU.

Since 2021 the database covers as well intra-European trade flows in value and volume broken down by transportation modes: Sea, Air and Overland/Other trade and even more detailed breakdown of Overland Transport, distinguishing Road and Rail categories separately for selected trade routes.

It is a database including annual and quarterly frequency data updated every quarter.

Get the information and insight you need to size international markets, identify global business risks and opportunities, conduct strategic planning, make confident trade and transportation investment decisions, and secure long-term competitiveness.

  • Plan competitive strategies by identifying when specific country and commodity trade will rebound
  • Uncover risks and opportunities by analysing and comparing target markets
  • Understand market trends and the economic factors driving them
  • Understand factors that could impact economic development and infrastructure plans
  • Conduct product line forecasting and benchmark performance

Source of historical data – Global Trade Atlas (GTA).
GTA is a part of S&P Global, the market-leading database for trade data includes monthly data from 106 reporting countries and annual data for over 200 countries.

Access long-term outlooks and forecasting for world trade and transportation
Request Sample Forecast
Product training for existing customers
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Empower Your Decision Making!

GTAS Forecasting supports your business needs across industries and around the world. It benefits:

  • Consulting companies
  • Trade associations
  • Government agencies
  • Logistics companies
  • Ship owners and operators
  • Commodity producers
  • Port authorities
  • Dredging and offshore contractor
  • Shipyard constructors

How can the GTAS Forecasting help you?

Use this interactive image to explore how GTAS Forecasting creates opportunities for various business departments

Marketing and Sales Management


- Define where and how to target your sales efforts - by geography and by commodity
- Segment your market better and identify new opportunities

Competitive Analysis


Check what share of the market are you not controlling yet

Investment Assessment


Determine capital investments to make in order to meet future demand

Planning/Strategic Planning


Find opportunities for service expansion and new revenue
− Spot areas of recovery or strong growth
− Determine supply/demand imbalances that impact rates
− Estimate future budgets and revenues
− Plan fleet or infrastructure investments

Demand Forecasting


Test if the demand is strong enough to yield a strong return on your investment

Service Deployment Analysis


- Find out in which route and commodity combinations are existing and potential customers seeing growth
- Determine how to optimize vessel allocation and fleet makeup

GTAS Forecasting Features

Extensive historical database and forecasts
  • Historical Database sourced in Global Trade Atlas
  • Annual historical and forecast data ranging from 2005 to 2040
  • Quarterly historical and forecast data ranging from 2019Q1 to 2024Q4
  • All the historical values as well as forecasts are revised on a quarterly basis
  • Bilateral trade between 248 countries and regions, across 270 commodities and 16 key indicators
  • Historical data is carefully processed and standardised to consistently cover all countries across all commodity categories and indicators
  • Missing data for Metric Tons is estimated
  • Forecast is produced by commodity-specific and country-specific export and import global trade models
  • A set of macroeconomic indicators from S&P Global Market Intelligence, Economics & Country Risk division are input into the forecasting model
  • The simultaneous modeling of all time-series using three different statistical methods to select the best-suited model results
Easy access to data, analysis and visualizations
  • Access GTAS Forecasting data via Data Browser on Connect platform, our user-friendly, web-based interface

  • Select countries, commodities and indicators; create your own customized regional and commodity aggregates and download your data in Excel format
  • Use our GTAS Forecasting dashboard with trade visualizations, methodology documents, service bulletins and macroeconomic drivers

GTAS Forecasting dashboard

  • Use our new GTAS Forecasting Analytics with trade data by transportation modes displayed on interactive maps, charts and rankings of top exporters/importers and trade routes

Analysis and commentary
  • Trends in the World Economy and Trade - quarterly report providing an overview of trade and transportation trends and outlooks focusing on global trade by export and import regions and by transportation mode, seaborne and containerized trade outlook, comparison with our previous forecast as well as the world economy and commodity prices sections
  • Exclusive Insights and Headline Analysis on global trade focusing on international trade relations, along with trade regulatory issues
  • Read our latest Global Trade Outlook for 2023

Connect with an expert

Katarzyna Skrzypek

Katarzyna is a senior economist in the Maritime, Trade & Supply Chain division, where she contributes to developing bilateral trade forecasts for the GTAS Forecasting database and performs international trade analysis. She is an author for part of the GTAS Forecasting quarterly strategic report called 'Trends in the World Economy and Trade', as well as other trade market headline analysis. Katarzyna also works on expanding the array of GTAS Forecasting products on the S&P Global Connect platform, planning meritorical and the visual side of the content and takes part in preparing marketing campaigns for these products. She has also cooperated with other S&P Global services, such as the Banking Risk Service and Pricing and Purchasing (developing forecast models for price indices). Before joining S&P Global, Katarzyna worked as a senior information specialist in information management, where she was dealing with historical macroeconomic and financial data for the Middle East and Africa and CIS regions.She has an MA degree in transport and logistics, which she obtained from the University of Gdansk, Faculty of Economics.

  • Maritime & Trade
  • Freight Markets
  • Exports
  • Imports
  • Research and Development (R&D)
  • Seaborne Trade
  • Trade Data
View Profile

Mabel Ng

Mabel is the product management director for trade data tools at S&P Global Market Intelligence. She is responsible for the vision and roadmap of the Global Trade Atlas (GTA) and GTA Forecasting. Mabel partners with executives and businesses of all sizes to identify growth opportunities, reduce supply chain risk and assess markets. She has a passion for developing strong business relationships with customers to solve practical problems. Mabel has an extensive international trade background, prior to joining S&P Global, she spent ten years at the shipping line industry where she was responsible for new market analytics and research initiatives.Mabel has an MBA and a Juris Doctor from the Chinese University of Hong Kong.

  • Maritime & Trade
  • Freight Markets
  • Seaborne Trade
  • Trade Data
View Profile

Agnieszka Maciejewska

Agnieszka's team develops trade data visualizations on the Connect platform and creates articles on trade policy analysis and factors impacting bilateral exchange. Agnieszka is also responsible for delivering parts of the quarterly Trends in the World Economy and Trade report. Agnieszka oversees GTA Forecasting product development as its product manager. Agnieszka is responsible for creating paths of development for the GTA Forecasting product and for external contact with clients. Agnieszka performs multiple presentations, demos, trainings and webinars for Maritime and Trade clients. Agnieszka is also responsible for internal cooperation between GTA Forecasting and products from other divisions of S&P Global. Before joining Maritime and Trade, Agnieszka worked in the information management team, dealing with historical macroeconomic and financial data.Agnieszka has an MA degree in international trade from University of Gdansk, Faculty of Economics where she also completed doctoral studies.

  • Maritime & Trade
  • Financial Trading
  • Market Analysis & Forecasts
  • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  • Seaborne Trade
  • Trade Data
View Profile

Research & Analysis

Blog Banner
23 January 2023

Trends in grains market during Russian-Ukrainian war

Blog Banner
20 January 2023

Shore Thing - 2023 Global Trade Themes

Blog Banner
05 January 2023

Maritime and Trade Talk - Oil Price Cap: Implications for Trade and Shipping Risk

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