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Understand gold supply analysis, financial performance metrics, and mine production efficiency. Our robust gold market forecasts and insights into mining emissions help companies thrive financially with environmental stewardship via essential intelligence on S&P Capital IQ Pro platform.
The London Bullion Market Association (LBMA) gold price cleared two significant resistance levels in a week in early February, propelled first above $2,800 per ounce and then $2,900/oz. Escalating trade tensions, triggered by recent US tariff hikes on imports, and concerns about the impact on global economic growth have driven up gold demand and prices.
Gain vital insights into our gold price forecasts.
Gold exploration budgets declined 7% to $5.55 billion in 2024, despite high gold prices. The budgets accounted for 45% of global exploration but represented the lowest share for gold in the past decade. The number of gold explorers decreased 8% to 1,235 in 2024, influenced by consolidation among major companies and fewer junior explorers.
Total gold contained in initial resources declined in 2023 to a four-year low of 37.1 million ounces, 7% lower than the 40 Moz announced in 2022. The number of gold initial resource announcements increased to a five-year high of 56. Yet only 30% contained more than 500,000 ounces of gold, decreasing the average to 0.7 Moz from 0.8 Moz in 2022. This marks the second consecutive year of decline for gold in initial resources, weighed down by reduced financings, exploration budgets and drilling activity.
According to our annual analysis of major gold discoveries, 350 deposits were discovered between 1990 and 2023, containing 2.9 billion ounces of gold in reserves, resources and past production. This is an increase from the 2023 analysis, which identified 345 deposits with 2.81 billion ounces of gold.
Since 2010, copper and gold head grades have dropped 7.6% and 13.4%, respectively. New high-grade operations in the Democratic Republic of the Congo (DRC) have, however, stalled this decline for copper in 2022. In the last three years, we have seen gold mined and reserve grades start to align, a signal that with a higher gold price, marginal miners have had more leeway to reduce grades while maintaining profit margins. The global tonnage of ore and waste moved continues to increase, and the stripping ratio in 2023 is set to be the highest since 2015 at 2.51-to-1.
M&A activity in 2023 in the metals and mining industry is reported with a minimum deal value of $10 million and 1 million ounces of gold or 100,000 metric tons of base metal in acquired reserves and resources (R&R). M&A activity in the metals and mining sector that fit our criteria for this study has been steady year over year, albeit skewed by the megadeal between Newmont and Newcrest. In 2023, there were 47 deals — 30 focused on gold, 14 on copper and three on nickel — for a total deal value of $26.36 billion.
Scope 1 and Scope 2 emissions per paid gold ounce produced from primary gold mines have been declining since 2021, primarily driven by the reduction in indirect greenhouse gas emissions from the increasing renewables share in electricity generation. Major companies are decarbonizing their operations through power purchase agreements and offsets, but tackling Scope 1 emissions is proving to be a much harder challenge. Based on the newly launched gold emissions curve, S&P Global Commodity Insights found that 329 primary gold mines emitted greenhouse gases at an average rate of 792 kilograms of CO2 equivalent per paid ounce of gold (kgCO2e/oz Au) produced, 39 kgCO2e/oz Au lower than in 2021.
Gold exploration budgets declined 7% to $5.55 billion in 2024, despite high gold prices. The budgets accounted for 45% of global exploration but represented the lowest share for gold in the past decade. The number of gold explorers decreased 8% to 1,235 in 2024, influenced by consolidation among major companies and fewer junior explorers.
Total gold contained in initial resources declined in 2023 to a four-year low of 37.1 million ounces, 7% lower than the 40 Moz announced in 2022. The number of gold initial resource announcements increased to a five-year high of 56. Yet only 30% contained more than 500,000 ounces of gold, decreasing the average to 0.7 Moz from 0.8 Moz in 2022. This marks the second consecutive year of decline for gold in initial resources, weighed down by reduced financings, exploration budgets and drilling activity.
According to our annual analysis of major gold discoveries, 350 deposits were discovered between 1990 and 2023, containing 2.9 billion ounces of gold in reserves, resources and past production. This is an increase from the 2023 analysis, which identified 345 deposits with 2.81 billion ounces of gold.
Since 2010, copper and gold head grades have dropped 7.6% and 13.4%, respectively. New high-grade operations in the Democratic Republic of the Congo (DRC) have, however, stalled this decline for copper in 2022. In the last three years, we have seen gold mined and reserve grades start to align, a signal that with a higher gold price, marginal miners have had more leeway to reduce grades while maintaining profit margins. The global tonnage of ore and waste moved continues to increase, and the stripping ratio in 2023 is set to be the highest since 2015 at 2.51-to-1.
M&A activity in 2023 in the metals and mining industry is reported with a minimum deal value of $10 million and 1 million ounces of gold or 100,000 metric tons of base metal in acquired reserves and resources (R&R). M&A activity in the metals and mining sector that fit our criteria for this study has been steady year over year, albeit skewed by the megadeal between Newmont and Newcrest. In 2023, there were 47 deals — 30 focused on gold, 14 on copper and three on nickel — for a total deal value of $26.36 billion.
Scope 1 and Scope 2 emissions per paid gold ounce produced from primary gold mines have been declining since 2021, primarily driven by the reduction in indirect greenhouse gas emissions from the increasing renewables share in electricity generation. Major companies are decarbonizing their operations through power purchase agreements and offsets, but tackling Scope 1 emissions is proving to be a much harder challenge. Based on the newly launched gold emissions curve, S&P Global Commodity Insights found that 329 primary gold mines emitted greenhouse gases at an average rate of 792 kilograms of CO2 equivalent per paid ounce of gold (kgCO2e/oz Au) produced, 39 kgCO2e/oz Au lower than in 2021.
Simplify the complexities inherent in the ever-evolving global mining industry. Access our comprehensive database of public and private mining companies, projects and mining properties. Gain unparalleled intelligence on mineral discoveries and exploration, mine production, acquisitions, and metal price projections to develop effective strategies for mining investments. S&P Capital IQ Pro integrates in-depth mining asset data, comprehensive company financials, and valuable mining industry insights, to deliver a powerful tool to supercharge your mining analysis and navigate market volatility.
Gain a comprehensive view of the global mining sector with S&P Capital IQ Pro. Our platform integrates in-depth mining asset data, comprehensive company financials, and valuable insights, providing you with a powerful tool to navigate the industry.
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