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YTD coal output and deliveries continue to point to potential massive downturn in 2016

TotalU.S. coal rail deliveries for the week ended July 9 were down 23.4% year overyear to 72,998 carloads, according to data from the Association of AmericanRailroads.

Year-to-datecoal rail deliveries remain down by one-third, or a 30.2% contraction this weekcompared to 2015 levels, which could mark 2016 as having the U.S. coal production declinesince the beginning of record keeping in 1949.

Totalrail traffic for the week was 442,113 carloads and intermodal units, down 17.2%compared with the same week in 2015. During the week, 226,615 carloads weretransported, lagging 16.5% behind the prior year's delivery. U.S. weeklyintermodal volume was 215,498 containers and trailers, a 17.9% falloff comparedwith the year-ago week.

delivered34,217 coal carloads in the week ended July 9, down from 's 34,755 carloads and alsoslipped 16.7% from the year-ago week.

data showedthat the company transported 24,401 carloads, up from 24,049 carloads last weekbut down 15% from last year's weekly delivery.

Easternrailroad CSX Transportation Inc.moved 10,709 coal carloads for the week, down from the previous week's 12,081carloads, and posted a 32% plunge from the corresponding week in 2015.

delivered12,972 coal carloads, down from last week's 15,859 carloads and also down 27.3%from the prior year's weekly shipment.

'sweekly coal carloads were 3,727, slipping from 3,318 carloads the previousweek. The railroad serves 10 U.S. states and Mexico.

Year-to-date output remainsdown

Accordingto data from the U.S. Energy Information Administration, estimated U.S. coalproduction for the week ended July 9 settled at 12.9 million tons, a 22.9% cutfrom last year's roughly 16.8 million tons.

Forthe 52 weeks ended July 9, production posted a 20.1% decline year over year toalmost 763.2 million tons, while year-to-date coal output toppled 27.1% from2015 to about 343.7 million tons through July 9.

TheWestern region's coal production for the week totaled 7.5 million tons, down by21.8% compared to last year's total, which reached 9.6 million tons. Data forthe Western region covers Powder River Basin mines.

Coalproduction from Appalachian mines for the week weakened by 24.6% to 3.0 milliontons, compared with roughly 4.0 million tons in 2015.

Forthe Interior region, weekly total coal production sank 24%, to 2.4 million tonsfrom the year-ago week's output which was around 3.2 million tons. Interiorregion data covers mines in the Illinois Basin.

TheEIA's production data is derived from rail carload estimates.

Data collected by S&PGlobal Market Intelligence from railroads indicate both cars originated ontheir lines during the week and cars received from a connecting railroad duringthe same week.