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This guide highlights the key performance indicators for the electric vertical take-off and landing (eVTOL) industry and where investors should look to find an investment edge.
Urban air mobility (UAM) refers to the concept of using air transportation systems to move people or goods in and around urban areas. It involves integrating various aerial technologies and infrastructure to enable short-distance flights, typically within or between cities. The UAM landscape is undergoing a profound transformation, driven by the emergence of electric vertical take-off and landing (eVTOL) aircraft. This new class of air vehicles promises to reshape how people and goods move within urban environments, addressing challenges related to traffic congestion, pollution, and the demand for faster, more efficient transportation options.
eVTOL is an aircraft designed to take off and land vertically, using electric propulsion systems. Unlike traditional airplanes, eVTOLs don’t require a runway and can operate from smaller spaces, making them ideal for urban settings. eVTOLs focus on shorter, intra-city, or regional flights, often using smaller, electric, piloted/autonomous aircraft that can take off and land vertically from locations within urban environments, such as vertiports.
The eVTOL industry encompasses a diverse range of companies, including:
This guide specifically focuses on eVTOL aircraft manufacturers and air taxi service providers. eVTOL aircraft are electric-powered vehicles capable of taking off and landing vertically, without the need for runways. Their design typically incorporates advanced aerodynamics, lightweight materials, and distributed propulsion systems. By enabling vertical takeoff, eVTOLs can operate in densely populated urban areas where space is limited. The electric propulsion system reduces emissions, making it a sustainable alternative to traditional combustion-engine helicopters and planes.
eVTOLs typically fall into three main configurations:
Key performance indicators (KPIs) are the most important business metrics for a particular industry. When understanding market expectations for the eVTOL industry, whether at a company or industry level, some KPIs to consider include:
eVTOL companies face a variety of major expenses as they work to develop, produce, and operate electric vertical take-off and landing aircraft. These costs reflect the complexities of building a new transportation sector and include both upfront capital investments and ongoing operational expenditures. Key categories of expenses include:
Analysts model eVTOL company revenue by accounting for various factors that influence the development, commercialization, and scaling of urban air mobility (UAM). Since UAM is a nascent industry and eVTOL companies are relatively new, revenue modeling involves several assumptions about market adoption, pricing strategies, infrastructure, and regulatory timelines.
The core business model for eVTOL companies is providing air taxi services within urban environments. To estimate revenue, analysts focus on key operational aspects, including:
RASM= Total revenue / Available seat miles (ASM)
Total yield= Total revenue / RPM
Load Factor=RPM / ASM ×100
eVTOL companies generate revenue through two primary channels: by manufacturing or developing, and selling aircraft to operators, governments, and private entities, and by offering ride-sharing services. This revenue structure is typically divided into Urban Air Mobility (UAM) revenue and Direct eVTOL revenue.
UAM revenue—derived from air taxi services—is a pivotal income stream for many eVTOL companies. One way to calculate revenue for eVTOL companies follows a method similar to that used in the airline industry.
First, the available seat miles (ASM) metric assesses total seat supply, offering insight into how capacity might influence pricing. ASM is then adjusted by the load factor, indicating the percentage of seats filled with paying passengers, to produce revenue passenger miles (RPM), which reflects the miles flown by fare-paying passengers. By multiplying RPM by yield (revenue per passenger mile), analysts arrive at the total revenue generated from UAM services.
Analysts break down unit economics to assess the profitability and scalability of eVTOL companies. This includes:
Visible Alpha offers one eVTOL-related comp table, comparing forecasts for key financial and operating metrics, to make it easy to quickly conduct relative analysis. Every pre-built, customizable comp table is based on region, sub-industry, or key operating metrics.
This guide highlights the key performance indicators for the eVTOL industry and where investors should look to find an investment edge, including: