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US Power Forecast Q3'23: The looming margin squeeze for fossil generation

Thursday, November 16, 2023
60 minutes

Lower generation fuel costs usually improve the economics of fossil generation, however, the expansion of renewable energy is forecast to increasingly squeeze margins and reduce that benefit. This emerging dynamic may accelerate the retirement of coal and gas generation, despite current high levels of generation. With carbon-free generation expected to continue its rapid expansion, how would fossil generation still compete?

Join our Power Forecast team as they provide an update on the market dynamics of fossil and green generation from our latest Q3 2023 power forecast release.
  • Fossil vs. green financial performance: where do fossil generation compete?
  • Green performance benchmarks: Forecast of capture ratios in CAISO, PJM, and ERCOT
  • Curbing grid curtailment risk – progress and problems

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S&P Global Contributor
Steve Piper is Director of Energy Research with S&P Global Market Intelligence. Full Bio
S&P Global Contributor
Kristin Larson has used her extensive data science and programming experience to add depth and insight to the Market Intelligence Power Forecast, which estimates generating asset value in U.S. markets. Full Bio
S&P Global Contributor
Adam Wilson is an analyst with the Regulatory Research team at S&P Global Market Intelligence specializing in U.S. renewable energy policy and analysis. Full Bio


S&P Global Contributor

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