China’s dominance in the rare earth elements (REEs) and materials market has far-reaching implications for the global auto industry. These critical minerals resources are essential for various high-tech applications, including electronics, renewable energy technologies and electric vehicles (EVs), as well as EV components such as traction motors.

China’s pivotal role in the global rare earth supply chain significantly influences the production, processing and distribution of these critical materials. China now accounts for more than 60% of the world’s rare earth minerals production and nearly 90% of its processing capacity, thanks to its vast reserves and well-established mining and refining infrastructure.

The country’s rare earth minerals industry further benefits from economies of scale, enabling lower-cost production than many of its competitors.

This control over the rare earth elements supply chain has major geopolitical implications. The country’s ability to influence the availability and pricing of rare earth elements can significantly impact global industries and economies. China rare earth metals dominance underscores the need for diversified global supply chains, especially in sectors like automotive manufacturing that rely on long-term materials stability.

In response, other nations are seeking to diversify their sources of rare earth elements and invest in domestic production. However, replicating China’s infrastructure and expertise remains a steep challenge. As demand for clean energy and electronics grows, China’s role is likely to remain critical, shaping the future of industries worldwide, especially the fast-evolving electric vehicle industry.

Trade tensions over rare earth elements and China’s 2025 licensing shift

In April 2025, in response to escalating trade wars and political tensions, China introduced a revised licensing process for the export of rare earth elements, officially aimed at enhancing regulatory oversight and ensuring sustainable practices.

The new framework, overseen by the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, requires exporters to obtain specific licenses before shipping REEs abroad. Seven elements were placed under heavy scrutiny, while other elements are still subject to new licencing approvals.

Three elements are critical to the automotive industry: neodymium, dysprosium and terbium, with the latter two included in the seven elements under scrutiny.

Because of these new regulations, the big three US OEMs expressed concern about the automotive supply chain, with Ford even having to temporarily shut down its production line in Chicago during June. Recent negotiations, however, have resulted in an agreement between Washington and Beijing for a temporary six-month license simplification process that removes red tape for US OEMs.

As of early July 2025, China was approving licenses for the automotive industry.

Worries from Europe, India and Japan also appear to be abating. Still, the rare earth elements supply chain remains vulnerable, highlighting how easily it can become a geopolitical bargaining chip. With global trade deals in flux and US–China relations on edge, the industry must capitalize on this period of relative calm. 

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The importance of rare earth elements in automotive components—especially traction motors

Magnets, and by extension, rare earth materials, are critical to many automotive components—from speakers to sensors to electric motors. Traction motors for battery electric vehicles (BEVs) and hybrid vehicles depend heavily on magnets containing neodymium, dysprosium and terbium. These elements are crucial for their thermal management properties within the motor.

Despite significant R&D efforts to eliminate dysprosium and terbium, few, if any, OEMs or suppliers outside Mainland China have succeeded. This leaves the industry highly vulnerable to supply chain bottlenecks or export restrictions on these materials and the magnets containing them. 

Regional moves toward supply chain independence

In the mid- to long-term, regions like North America and India are exploring domestic extraction and production of rare earth materials and refined magnets to reduce reliance on a single country and gain regional control over the supply chain.

In Europe, while there are signs of REE investment, the industry is also exploring alternative technologies to remove magnets from these motors. These efforts are shaping key automotive industry trends, as manufacturers prioritize material independence and technology shifts.

Europe’s shift to magnet-free motor technology

As shown in the chart below, 94% of traction motors in 2025 use magnet-based technology. While all regions are exploring induction motors as an alternative—especially for secondary drive units in AWD and 4WD systems—Europe is leading a notable shift toward externally-excited synchronous motors (EESM). This technology replaces the rotor’s magnet with copper wire to generate the required rotation.  

Rare-earth free e-motor trends

BMW and Renault have been early adopters of EESM, but more OEMs and suppliers are expected to follow to reduce exposure to the magnet-based automotive supply chain. Current projections suggest that by 2035 around 53% of all traction-based motors will use an alternative to magnet technology in Europe, with 41% of all motors in Europe being EESMs. 

Planning beyond the current calm

While immediate rare earth supply chain concerns appear to be easing thanks to China granting export licenses and resuming shipments, longer-term risks persist. Emerging technologies and regional investments aim to reduce dependence on a single source, but key questions remain: how quickly can alternatives be produced at scale?  And just how reliant will the world be on China rare earth metals producers as demand accelerates over the next five to ten years?

Strengthen your supply chain in a shifting auto market

Gaining clear visibility into supply chain dynamics is more critical than ever, as the auto industry responds to rising geopolitical pressures and supply chain disruptions. With rare earth elements playing a pivotal role in electric vehicles and next-gen powertrains, informed decision-making is key to sustaining competitive advantage.

Use S&P Global Mobility's Component Forecast Analytics to access up-to-date data and forecasts on over 150 components—now including magnet-based and magnet-free motor technologies. Monitor market shifts, evaluate supplier risks, and uncover new sourcing strategies. Schedule a live demo today. 

This article was published by S&P Global Mobility and not by S&P Global Ratings, which is a separately managed division of S&P Global.


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