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Same-Day Analysis

Sanofi Q1 sales rise 12.3% y/y, diabetes unit falls on Lantus US pricing impact

Published: 30 April 2015

French pharmaceutical major Sanofi posted a 12.3% rise (on a reported basis) in first-quarter sales, driven by double-digit growth in its Genzyme and Animal Health units, although generic competition continues to affect revenue for its diabetes drug Lantus.



IHS Life Sciences perspective

 

Significance

French pharmaceutical major Sanofi posted a 12.3% rise year on year (y/y) on a reported basis in first-quarter sales to EUR8.8 billion (USD9.9 billion), helped by the weakness of the euro against the US dollar.

Implications

Although the Genzyme and Animal Health divisions posted double-digit sales growth, sales of the Diabetes unit fell 3.2%, reflecting the pricing impact on Lantus (insulin glargine) in the United States.

Outlook

Although Sanofi expects a continued fall in sales for its diabetes unit amid competition from generic versions of its bestselling Lantus, future growth will be buoyed by new product launches and progress in R&D, with the company forecasting "stable to slightly growing" full-year earnings per share.

French pharmaceutical group Sanofi posted a 12.3% rise year-on-year (y/y) on a reported basis in first-quarter sales to EUR8.8 billion (USD9.9 billion), the company said in an earnings release. Company earnings were helped by the weakness of the euro against the US dollar, with first-quarter sales growing by 2.4% at constant exchange rates (CER).

By region, on a CER basis, emerging markets continued to drive performance with a 7.3% y/y rise in first-quarter sales to EUR2.9 billion, in particular Asia and Eastern Europe, Russia and Turkey (both regions up 8.6% to EUR849 million and EUR586 million, respectively). Sales in the emerging markets showed double-digit growth in the Pharmaceuticals (up 10.4%), Diabetes (up 18.5%), Genzyme (up 35.3%), and Generics (up 12.7%) units. In China, sales grew 7.7% to EUR484 million on the back of vaccines, Lantus (insulin glargine), Plavix (clopidogrel), Aprovel (Irbesartan), and (valproate sodium).

In the United States, first-quarter sales grew 1% y/y to EUR3 billion, while Western Europe posted a 0.6% rise to EUR2 billion. However, the Rest of the World region fell 3.5% y/y to EUR944 million, of which Japan fell 8.2% to EUR569 million.

Cost of sales, R&D expenses and selling and general expenses all rose year on year in the first quarter, reflecting investments in new launches at Genzyme and the US diabetes units, as well as in emerging markets. Sanofi's operating income – as calculated by IHS – rose 13.2% y/y to EUR2.4 billion during the first quarter. Net income fell 5.6% y/y to EUR1.023 billion.

Sanofi: Q1 2015 financial results

 

Q1 2015 (EUR mil.)

% change y/y*

Net sales

8,810.0

12.3

Other revenues

80.0

-3.6

Cost of sales

2,786.0

10.7

R&D

1,199.0

5.3

Selling and general expenses

2,438.0

17.3

Operating income**

2,387.0

13.2

Operating margin***

27.1%

0.2 pp higher

R&D as % of sales

13.6%

0.9 pp lower

Net income

1,023.0

-5.6

* Change calculated on a reported basis
** Operating income calculated by IHS as net sales minus cost of sales, R&D, and selling and general expenses
*** Operating margin calculated by IHS as operating profit divided by total revenue
Source: Sanofi

On a product basis, Lantus sales fell 5% y/y to EUR1.6 billion in the first quarter, reflecting lacklustre performance in the US (down 13.1% to EUR1 billion due to expected rebates required to maintain favourable formulary positions with key payors for contracts that started on 1 January 2015), which was partly offset by strong growth in emerging markets (up 18% to EUR276 million).

Strong sales of Aubagio (teriflunomide; more than doubling y/y to EUR170 million) drove performance at the Genzyme unit (up 30.9% y/y to EUR821 million).

Sanofi's oncology sales continued to fall, posting a decrease of 7.3% y/y to EUR357 million due to slumping sales in Taxotere (docetaxel), down 31.9% to EUR53 million in the face of generic competition.

Sanofi: Q1 sales of leading products (EUR mil.)

 

Q1 2015 net sales (EUR mil.)

% change y/y*

Lantus

1,584

9.4%

Apidra

91

21.3%

Amaryl

97

12.8%

Insuman

33

3.1%

Lyxumia

8

60.0%

Afrezza

1

 -

Toujeo

7

 -

Diabetes

1,837

10.5%

Taxotere

53

-23.2%

Jevtana

77

16.7%

Eloxatine

54

17.4%

Thymoglobulin

55

5.8%

Mozobil

34

36.0%

Zaltrap

20

25.0%

Other Oncology

64

-8.6%

Oncology

357

3.8%

Aubagio

170

117.9%

Lemtrada

38

660.0%

Cerezyme

189

12.5%

Cerdelga

10

 -

Myozyme

156

28.9%

Fabrazyme

141

43.9%

Aldurazyme

48

17.1%

Other Rare Diseases products

69

25.5%

Genzyme

821

45.1%

Plavix

483

-0.8%

Lovenox

438

5.3%

Aprovel

201

12.3%

Renagel/Renvela

226

31.4%

Allegra

80

0.0%

Stilnox

75

-3.8%

Depakine

104

13.0%

Synvisc/Synvisc One

85

21.4%

Tritace

75

10.3%

Multaq

83

13.7%

Lasix

42

16.7%

Targocid

40

8.1%

Orudis

50

42.9%

Cordarone

34

6.3%

Xatral

25

4.2%

Actonel

7

-66.7%

Auvi-Q/Allerject

17

70.0%

Other Established Rx products

918

1.0%

Total Established Rx products

2,983

5.8%

Consumer Healthcare

979

10.6%

Generics

478

13.5%

Pharmaceuticals

7,455

11.3%

Vaccines

697

11.0%

Animal Health

658

13.50%

* Change on a reported basis
Source: Sanofi

Outlook and implications

Despite generic and biosimilar competition gnawing at sales of Sanofi's best-selling diabetes drug Lantus, new product launches and continued strength are expected to continue to buoy results, with the company forecasting "stable to slightly growing" full-year earnings per share (EPS). In the first quarter, Sanofi's business EPS rose 2.6% on a CER basis to EUR1.32 and grew 12.8% on a reported basis.

In terms of Sanofi's diabetes business, Sanofi said it "expects its global diabetes sales performance at constant exchange rates in the first quarter of 2015 to be indicative of the full-year performance of this division". However, although sales of Lantus are expected to continue their downtrend, potential growth may come from Toujeo (insulin glargine injection), a next-generation basal insulin targeting adults with type 1 and type 2 diabetes and received FDA approval in February and from the European Medicines Agency in March (see United States: 27 February 2015: US FDA approves Sanofi's diabetes treatment Toujeo and Europe: 2 March 2015: CHMP endorses EU approval of two medicines, six drugs recommended for indication extension). Toujeo may be able to achieve EUR124 million in sales in 2015, increasing to EUR1.2 billion in 2020, according to figures published by Bloomberg (see France: 14 April 2015: Sanofi has no plans to discount Toujeo more than Lantus).

Sanofi's R&D pipeline has shown progress, including the initiation of a Phase II study of dupilumab for moderate-to-severe asthma. The company's Genzyme unit also announced this week that the FDA has granted Fast-Track designation to its investigational GZ/SAR402671 as an oral substrate reduction therapy for Fabry's disease (see United States: 28 April 2015: Sanofi's GZ/SAR402671 receives Fast Track designation from US FDA for Fabry's disease). This development is expected to further solidify Genzyme's role as a major growth driver for Sanofi, with multiple sclerosis drug Aubagio (teriflunomide) posting a more than doubling of first-quarter sales to EUR208 million on a CER basis.

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