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Same-Day Analysis

Emergence of Virulent Drug-Resistant Strain Focuses Attention on TB Drugs

Published: 08 September 2006
The emergence of XDR-TB, a new potent strain of tuberculosis (TB) that has exhibited an almost-100% mortality rate in South Africa, has prompted concern among international health agencies—particularly in countries with a high prevalence of HIV/AIDS. The focus now shifts towards the infectious disease drug pipeline, as first and second-line treatments begin to fail.

Global Insight Perspective

 

Significance

With majority of the 1.7 million TB deaths in 2004 occurring in HIV/AIDS-wracked sub-Saharan Africa, the new strain presents a deadly combination.

Implications

Investments from international donors will be poured into TB drug-discovery research. Twelve potential drug candidates are currently under various stages of pre-clinical and clinical trials.

Outlook

The sudden emergence of XDR-TB will put further pressure on the fragile health systems of Africa and South-East Asia, where the highest incidences of TB are currently registered. Despite the focus on TB drugs, the first successful marketable treatment is not expected to be available before 2010.

Concern in South Africa

Following a high-level meeting in Johannesburg (South Africa) yesterday, between the World Health Organization (WHO), South African health officials and the U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC), a seven-point plan has been devised by the Medical Research Council to tackle the alarming rise in XDR-TB cases in the country. A total of 53 cases were reported between January 2005 and March 2006, with 52 deaths already accounted for. Of the 53 reported cases in South Africa, 44 patients were found to have HIV/AIDS, and it comes as little surprise that the country's health authorities are currently detailing a joint TB-HIV/AIDS programme, to combat the dangers of the new virus. The virulent XDR-TB strain has been found to be high in Latvia and South Africa, with a WHO survey, cited by the Times of India, classifying Asia as being at high risk—particularly India, which had almost 5.7 million people with HIV last year, according to the UNAIDS 2005 report. The South Africa health ministry revealed that 3% of new TB infections involved XDR-TB, while 12% of cases currently undergoing treatment have also been infected with this new strain.

Available Therapies and Future Prospects

The WHO currently follows a TB treatment programme involving two months of multi-drug observed therapy, using isoniazid, rifampicin, streptomycin, ethambutol and pyrazinamide, which form the first line of resistance drugs. Second-line drugs include ethionamide, cycloserine, thiocetazone, quinolones (ofloxacin, ciprofloxacin and sparfloxacin), macrolides (clarithromycin), amoxicillin and clavulanic acid. With the new XDR-TB strain seemingly resistant to all the first-line drugs and most of the second-line drugs, health authorities are now turning their attention to drug candidates in the R&D pipelines of pharma firms and research organisations. The table below lists some of the hopefuls..

Tuberculosis: Drug Discovery Candidates

Drug Molecule

Developer

Current Development Stage

Moxifloxacin

Bayer Pharmaceuticals, John Hopkins, Global Alliance for TB Drug Development (GATB), CDC

Phase II

Gatifloxacin

Lupin, Tuberculosis Research Centre, WHO TDR

Phase II

Diarylquinolone TMC207

Johnson & Johnson

Phase IIb

Nitroimidazole PA_824

Chiron Corporation, GATB

Phase I

Nitroimidazo-oxazole OPC-67683

Otsuka Pharmaceuticals

Phase I

Sudoterb Pyrrole LL-4858

Lupin Ltd

Phase I

Diamine SQ_109

Sequella

Pre-clinical

Dipiperidines SQ-609

Sequella

Pre-clinical

Non-Fluorinated Quinolone

TaiGen

Pre-clinical

Synthase Inhibitor FAS20013

FASgen

Pre-clinical

Translocase I Inhibitors

Sequella, Sankyo

Pre-clinical

Source: Aidsmap

Outlook and Implications

The WHO's survey on the virulent strain has underscored the significance of new TB drugs. The infectious diseases sector in general, and the TB market in particular, are not sufficiently attractive for global pharma firms to deploy millions of dollars in R&D. For example, the entire market for TB drugs is estimated at just US$500 million, which does not provide much motivation when measured against a single cardiovascular drug such as Lipitor (atorvastatin; Pfizer (U.S.)), which achieved sales of US$12.2 billion last year. The therapeutic segment itself has not had a new class of drugs in the last four decades. TB drugs are usually subsidised under the WHO’s projects, or form part of national treatment campaigns, resulting in a market driven by volume rather than value. There are also concerns that TB drugs could face the same pressures that have been observed in the HIV/AIDS market, where companies have been forced to slash drug prices and/or allow greater flexibility in patent protection.

However, as the table above illustrates, attitudes are steadily changing, as pharmaceutical firms recognise the amounts being pumped into discovery research and drug distribution by organisations such as the Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation, which has injected US$132 million into TB research so far. The opportunity offered by the new strain will not unnoticed, and pharma firms are likely to look into the TB segment—particularly with the increase in the number of AIDS patients also infected with TB.

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