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Same-Day Analysis

FCC AWS Auction Ends at US$13.9 bil.

Published: 19 September 2006
The Federal Communications Commission's auction of spectrum for use by Advanced Wireless Services (AWS) has ended with bids totalling US$13.9 billion, just short of the hoped-for US$15.0 billion.

Global Insight Perspective

 

Significance

There are no surprises that the top five bidders consist of existing mobile operators, although this includes the unexpected SpectrumCo consortium of Sprint-Nextel with several cable operators.

Implications

This will ensure that the mobile operators, particularly T-Mobile USA which lacked spectrum, will have the bandwidth and geographic footprint to deliver broadband wireless services nationwide.

Outlook

With new network roll-outs sure to follow, there will be opportunities for infrastructure vendors. For the mobile phone operators, as smaller operators such as MetroPCS seek to gain market share, increased competition is likely.

The auction of 1,122 licences for spectrum in the 1710-1755 MHz and 2110-2155 MHz bands for the operation of both fixed and mobile services has now closed. Beginning on 10 August (see United States: 10 August 2006: FCC's Multi-Billion Spectrum Auction Begins), the auction raised a total of US$13.9 billion—US$13.7 billion after discounts—just shy of the hoped-for US$15.0 billion. With the Federal Communications Commission (FCC) holding back 35 licences, 104 bidders won the remaining 1,087 licences. The top bidders in the auction are as follows:

AWS Spectrum Auction

Company

Net Total (millions)

Population* (millions)

T-Mobile

US$4,182

475

Verizon Wireless

US$2,809

192

SpectrumCo LLC

US$2,378

267

MetroPCS AWS LLC

US$1,391

144

Cingular AWS LLC

US$1,335

199

Cricket Licensee Inc.

US$710

118

Denali Spectrum License LLC

US$274

58

Barat Wireless LP

US$127

42

AWS Wireless

US$116

60

Atlantic Wireless

US$75

35

*each licence covers a calculated population—some licensees will have purchased multiple licences covering the same population to achieve these population figures.

Competition in some areas raised prices considerably. The major operators mainly carved up the larger regional area licences among themselves, with the most expensive licence covering the North-East going to Verizon for US$1.3 billion. Of the top 10 regional licences, 4 went to T-Mobile, 3 to Verizon, 2 to MetroPCS, and 1 to Cingular. Bidding on the smaller licence areas saw the New York City and Long Island licences going to SpectrumCo and MetroPCS for US$468 million and US$363 million, respectively.

Outlook and Implications

  • Increasing Competition: Enhanced regional coverage for smaller operators, including 3G operator MetroPCS, will improve their prospects for competition with the larger companies.
  • Fixed-Mobile: The SpectrumCo consortium has gained significant licence assets which will help roll out new services to complement the mobile offering of Sprint-Nextel and provide the cable companies Comcast, Cox, and Time-Warner with wireless capabilities. The integration between these companies suggests potential for services that build converged fixed-mobile services, particularly with the proposed WiMAX network to be built by Sprint in existing 2.5 GHz spectrum (see United States: 9 August 2006: Sprint Outlines Plans for Nationwide WiMAX Network).
  • New Services: Operators such as Cingular, Sprint-Nextel, and Verizon Wireless already have significant spectrum to provide mobile broadband. The purchase of spectrum by these companies may either indicate room for new service offerings, such as fixed-wireless broadband, or expectations of ever greater bandwidth requirements for enhanced video, data, and interactive services.
  • Satellite Not Included: Among those losing out in the auction, a consortium of the major satellite operators EchoStar and DirecTV pulled out early on, which is implicated in the possible sell-off of DirecTV by NewsCorp (see United States: 15 September 2006: News Corp. Eyes DirecTV Sell-Off).With television as their core product and limited capabilities to provide dataand telephony services, satellite providers are vulnerable to the increasing capabilities of the fixed and mobile network providers.
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