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Same-Day Analysis

First Chink in Nexavar's Armour as Bayer's Phase III Endpoints Not Met

Published: 05 December 2006
Bayer's oncology hopeful, Nexavar (sorafenib), has failed to improve the progression-free survival rates of advanced melanoma patients in late-stage testing, putting it at a potential disadvantage against its main competitor, Pfizer drug Sutent (sunitinib malate).

Global Insight Perspective

 

Significance

Bayer's cancer drug, Nexavar, already approved as a kidney cancer treatment, has failed to meet a Phase III primary endpoint after failing to improve patients' progression-free survival.

Implications

This appears to be the end of the road for Nexavar as an advanced melanoma treatment. Bayer and Onyx have said they will focus on developing the drug in more common malignancies, in which anti-angiogenics have demonstrated activity.

Outlook

The news will be a boost to the development team of Nexavar's rival drug, Sutent, at Pfizer. Sutent is also being trialled as a melanoma drug, and while details remain scarce, Nexavar's Phase III stutter could give Pfizer a competitive advantage to file for the approval of a new melanoma drug first, either Sutent or pipeline hopeful ticilimumab.

German pharma heavyweight Bayer AG and development partner Onyx Pharmaceuticals (U.S.) have reported disappointing news for their oncology pipeline star, Nexavar (sorafenib). A press release issued by the two firms says that late-stage clinical trials on Nexavar failed to achieve the primary endpoint of improving progression-free survival (PFS) in patients with advanced melanoma. The international, double-blind, randomised, placebo-controlled Phase III trial was carried out on some 270 advanced melanoma patients who had undergone one prior systemic chemotherapy treatment with either dacarbazine (DTIC) or temozolomide. The trial combined Nexavar with chemotherapeutic agents carboplatin and paclitaxel in a standard 21-day dosing cycle. However, while the main objective of the study was to improve PFS while measuring the safety and efficacy of the drug, the primary endpoint of improving PFS could not be achieved. Complete data from the trial will be presented at an upcoming scientific congress.

Onyx has said that, while it is disappointed with the results, it intends to maintain its collaboration with Bayer over Nexavar, and intends to carry out more clinical trials on the drug in a wider variety of tumour settings, including tumours that are more common than advanced melanoma.

What neither company has mentioned, but will both be acutely aware of, is the Phase III disappointment's impact on Nexavar's race for market share with competitor product Sutent (sunitinib malate). Sutent, manufactured by U.S. pharma giant Pfizer, is already approved as a treatment for advanced renal cell carcinoma, as is Nexavar. The Pfizer drug was also approved by the U.S. Food and Drug Administration (FDA) as a treatment for gastrointestinal stromal tumours (GIST, a rare stomach cancer) in January this year, whereas Nexavar is not approved in this indication (see United States: 27 January 2006: Sutent Approval Heralds New Direction for Pfizer, but No Pricing Premium over Nexavar). Meanwhile, however, Nexavar was being developed as a treatment for advanced melanoma, and while Sutent is also being tested for melanoma, Nexavar was until recently held to be at a more advanced stage of the development process.

Sutent vs. Nexavar: Pricing and Clinical Profile

 

Sutent

Nexavar

Advanced RCC

Approved

Approved

GIST

Approved

Not approved

Melanoma

Not approved; in testing

Not approved; in testing; failed to meet Phase III primary endpoint

Liver Cancer

Not approved

FDA fast-tracked, granted orphan-drug status in EU.

Clinical Benefits/Label Advantages

More toxicity; strong response rate and clear duration of response in GIST setting

Label advantage; progression-free survival (PFS) and overall survival

Adverse Reactions

Higher rates of fatigue, diarrhoea, hypertension and nausea; significant congestive heart failure (CHF) rate; one fatal cardiac event

Lower rates of fatigue, diarrhoea, hypertension and nausea; higher rate of hand foot syndrome; 2.9% cardiac event rate

Pricing

US$4,000/6 weeks

US$38,000/year

US$4,333/month (wholesale acquisition price)

US$52,000/year

Source: Global Insight.

Outlook and Implications

Sutent may now hold a competitive advantage over Nexavar in terms of its development as a melanoma treatment, while another Pfizer drug candidate, CP-675,206 or ticilimumab, is currently in Phase III trials in a malignant melanoma setting. Bayer is holding one final card close to its chest, however, with both the FDA and the European Commission having noted the promise of Nexavar as a treatment for hepatocellular carcinoma (liver cancer; see Germany: 14 June 2006: FDA Awards Fast-Track Status to Bayer's Nexavar for Liver Cancer Indication and Germany: 19 April 2006: Bayer's Nexavar Clinches Orphan-Drug Status for Second Indication after Nod from European Commission). The liver-cancer trials are at the Phase III stage, and patient enrolment has just been completed. Meanwhile, a further Phase III trial on Nexavar in combination with carboplatin and paclitaxel as a treatment for treatment-naïve non-small-cell lung cancer (NSCLC) patients was launched in the first half of 2006. In this last setting, however, Nexavar will be faced with significant late-stage competition from the likes of Eli Lilly, Bristol-Myers Squibb and Genentech (all U.S.).

Bayer and Onyx have not confirmed officially whether they are abandoning the development of Nexavar as an advanced melanoma treatment, or whether they will relaunch Phase III trials. However, given the statement of Onyx Chairman, Hollings C. Renton, that "We will continue to broaden out clinical program, including increasing out attention to the more common malignancies in which anti-angiogenics have demonstrated activity", it appears that Bayer's hopes of a speedy second-indication approval for Nexavar will need to be shelved.

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