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Same-Day Analysis

Falling Sales Continue for Motorola While Sony Ericsson Rises

Published: 12 July 2007
The bad news continues for Motorola as preliminary results show a continuing slide in sales; meanwhile, Sony Ericsson continues to ride the wave of brand power.

Global Insight Perspective

 

Significance

Motorola continues to underperform while Sony Ericsson continues to grow vigorously.

Implications

Motorola CEO Ed Zander has come under renewed pressure to stand down in the face of poor performance.

Outlook

A turnaround for the struggling mobile division at Motorola is not likely this year with continued losses predicted, but preparation for converged products stands the long-term future in good stead.

Motorola has reported its preliminary results for the second quarter of 2007, which continue to return below expectations on the back of sinking handset sales. Losses have been further compounded by charges relating to restructuring and job cuts as the company continues the three-quarter slide (see World: 19 April 2007: Motorola Slides into Q1 Loss, World: 2 March 2007: Motorola's Strategy: Improve Low-Cost Handset Margins and Profits, World: 5 January 2007: Motorola Misses Q4 Mobile Device Targets and World: 31 May 2007: Motorola Announces More Job Cuts). 

For the second quarter of 2007, Motorola had expected sales to be flat with the first quarter of 2007 at US$9.4 billion. Instead, Motorola has seen a drop in the region of 8% to between US$8.6 billion and US$8.7 billion. Under generally accepted accounting principles, losses per share will now be between US$0.02 and US$0.04 per share after charges of US$0.03-US$0.04 relating to the reductions in workforce.

The low revenues and above-expectations loss are attributed to lower handset volume sales, now expected to total in the region of 35.0-36.0 million units, a massive year-on-year fall in the region of 32% from the second quarter of 2006 when 51.9 million handsets were shipped as the popularity of the RAZR handset range began to peak as it became targeted at a wider market. Motorola now expects the mobile devices business, which made up 66% of revenues in 2006, not to return an operating profit for 2007 after having previously expected a turnaround in the second half of the year.

Meanwhile, Sony Ericsson has continued to see the benefits of introducing Sony's iconic Walkman and popular Cybershot brands into its range of mobile handsets. Handset sales were up 58.6% year-on-year (y/y) and 14.2% quarter-on-quarter (q/q) to 24.9 million in the second quarter, and although average selling prices dropped from 145 euro (US$199.48) to 125 euro over the year, margins remained fairly stable, generating revenues of 3.1 billion euro (US$4.28 billion), up by 37% y/y; operating income of 315 million euro (up 54% y/y, down by 9% q/q); and a net income of 220 million euro. Production facilitates in India announced earlier this year and a R&D unit established in Chennai, India, will have facilitated lower production costs, maintaining margins, and will help to target the local markets. Sony Ericsson estimates its global share of the handset market to have grown by 3% y/y, to reach 9% of the overall market in the second quarter of 2007.

Sony Ericsson Q2 Results

 

Q2 2006

Q1 2007

Q2 2007

Growth Y/Y

Number of units shipped (million)

15.7

21.8

24.9

58.60%

Sales (Euro million)

2,272

2,925

3,112

36.97%

Gross Margin %

28.50%

30.30%

29.60%

3.86%

Operating Income (Euro million)

203

346

315

55.17%

Operating Margin %

8.90%

11.80%

10.10%

13.48%

Income Before Taxes (Euro million)

211

362

327

54.98%

Net income (Euro million)

143

254

220

53.85%

Average Sales Price (Euro)

145

134

125

-13.79%

Outlook and Implications

Sony Ericsson has been putting more emphasis on pursuing the mid-to-low tier for phone pricing, a strategy that is ultimately what led to the problems that Motorola has been seeing. However, Sony appears to be adopting a slightly different strategy, maintaining a strongly differentiated handset range. Motorola used its flagship product, the RAZR—which had started life as a high-end handset—to enter mid-tier markets, cutting margins significantly and lowering the cache of its high-end product with strong physical design similarities between handsets at varied price points. Sony Ericsson has a strong product line-up ranging from the low-end W200 and K310 to the 8Gb W960 and the 5 megapixel K850—both of which are key features that will attract buyers, and the latter notably more highly specified than the high-end and well-hyped Apple iPhone, which has but a 2.0 megapixel camera and scant reputation as a camera manufacture (see World: 10 January 2007: Apple iPhone Launches, Cingular Gets U.S. Exclusive). 

Apple has a reputation for effective user interfaces and aesthetic design that drives the hype behind the iPhone. Sony Ericsson has performed well in usability testing and more recent handsets are attractive. Motorola has gained attractive industrial design over the last few years; however, it has languished in usable interface design which may well bear some responsibility for the slowdown in sales growth as users struggled with earlier generations of the mass market handsets and were reluctant to stay loyal to the brand. Motorola has re-designed the user interface in its latest range of handsets—including using Symbian UIQ in the Z8—but poor user experiences and resultant reputations take a while to shift (see World: 16 May 2007: Motorola Launches New Handset Range).  

The continued profit warnings from Motorola have led to renewed pressure on CEO Ed Zanders to step down, with activist investor Eric Jackson following up on Carl Icahn's assault earlier this year with public calls for him to stand down (see World: 8 May 2007: Icahn Loses Bitter Board Seat Fight at Motorola). Zander has now appointed Stu Reed, executive vice-president of Motorola's Integrated Supply Chain organisation, as head of the Mobile Devices business. Reed was a former employee of IBM and Zander will hope that he will be able to re-invigorate the struggling mobile devices business before the pressure to stand down is effective. However, with product turnaround measured in years, the latest batch of devices will likely be the ones that decide Zander's future. The other divisions of Motorola are performing well, and with a string of acquisitions of valuable technologies it is now well-positioned to produce integrated converged solutions, but again market demand that could lead to a turnaround is not likely to come this year (see North America: 3 July 2007: Vendor Strategies in a Converging World – The North American Vendors). 
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