Global Insight Perspective | |
Significance | GSK is the latest Big Pharma giant to announce swingeing cutbacks in jobs and production to offset losses from generic competition. |
Implications | The news comes as GSK released its third-quarter financial results, which saw downturns in both sales and operating profit within its Pharmaceuticals division. Besides generic competition, Pharmaceuticals' performance was hit by further heavy losses in sales of type 2 diabetes drug Avandia. |
Outlook | GSK is refusing to comment on expectations for full-year sales growth, but the general trend is likely to be downward. A streamlining of GSK's Pharmaceuticals business is no longer avoidable; while Consumer Healthcare sales are performing well, further sales losses are anticipated for Avandia if the U.S. FDA adds yet another black-box warning to its label,. |
GSK to Cut Jobs
The world's second-largest drug company has announced plans to slim down over the next three years, in order to head off heavy losses expected from growing generic competition and shrinking sales of type 2 diabetes drug Avandia (rosiglitazone). U.K.-based GlaxoSmithKline (GSK) yesterday revealed a new "Operational Excellence" programme that will aim to deliver £700 million (US$1.4 billion) in annual pre-tax cost savings by 2010. The target is for £350 million of these savings to be achieved next year and a further £550 million to be achieved by 2009. Job cuts will form a key part of the plan, although GSK has stopped short of revealing how many positions will be cut. The three main areas of the savings programme are manufacturing, selling and administration, and R&D infrastructure. GSK plans to reduce its number of manufacturing sites around the world and simplify activities and processes at each of its remaining sites. Outsourcing production and seeking out low-cost materials will also play a crucial role here. Within sales, GSK is prioritising departments selling drugs in its biggest speciality growth areas, namely oncology and vaccines, while savings in R&D will reportedly be "focused on simplification and streamlining of support infrastructure". The programme itself will cost some £1.5 billion to implement.
The planned cutbacks have been revealed as GSK published its latest set of financial results for the third quarter of the year. Growth in group sales was affected noticeably by a downturn in the company's Pharmaceuticals division, which saw a 2% year-on-year (y/y) fall in turnover to £4.6 billion. Operating profit within the Pharmaceuticals unit was also down, contracting by 3% y/y to stand at £1.7 billion. GSK's Consumer Healthcare unit fared much better over the quarter, however, chalking up a 16% y/y increase in sales to £871 million and a 15% y/y rise in operating income to £203 million. Group operating profits were down by 1% y/y during the third quarter, reaching £1.9 billion.
GlaxoSmithKline: Q3 2007 Financial Results (£ mil.) | ||||
Q3 2007 | % Change, Y/Y* | Jan-Sept 2007 | % Change, Y/Y* | |
Net Sales | 5,476 | 1 | 16,742 | 3 |
Pharmaceuticals | 4,605 | -2 | 14,186 | 1 |
Consumer Healthcare | 871 | 16 | 2,556 | 15 |
Cost of Sales | -1,232 | 2 | -3,678 | 6 |
Sales, General and Administrative Costs | -1,617 | 3 | -5,131 | 2 |
Research and Development | -769 | -9 | -2,284 | -4 |
Other Operating Income | 52 | 42 | 356 | 16 |
Operating Profit | 1,910 | -1 | 6,005 | 6 |
Pharmaceuticals | 1,707 | -3 | 5,484 | 6 |
Consumer Healthcare | 203 | 15 | 521 | 12 |
* Growth measured in constant exchange rates. | ||||
The shrinking pharmaceutical revenue during the third quarter was propelled by heavy losses in sales of several key drugs, the most notable of which was Avandia. Following a disastrous year of safety scares and toughened label warnings, Avandia's decline continued with a 51% y/y nosedive in quarterly sales to £153 million, which contributed to a 28% y/y drop over the first nine months of 2007. Avandia was not the only product to have a negative impact on GSK's top line, however. The Wellbutrin (bupropion) anti-depressant franchise continues to suffer the effects of generic competition, with Wellbutrin XL sales plummeting 41% y/y to cause a 38% y/y decline to £135 million for the Wellbutrin franchise as a whole. The effects of generic erosion were visible elsewhere too, with sales of cardiovascular drug Coreg IR (carvedilol immediate release) down by 37% y/y to £114 million.
GlaxoSmithKline: Q3 and Nine-Month Sales of Leading Pharmaceuticals (£ mil.) | ||||
Therapeutic Area/Brand | Q3 2007 | % Change, Y/Y* | Jan-Sept 2007 | % Change, Y/Y* |
Respiratory | 1,185 | 4 | 3,699 | 4 |
Seretide/Advair | 835 | 7 | 2,541 | 10 |
Flixotide/Flovent | 140 | 1 | 446 | -2 |
Serevent | 63 | -6 | 198 | -4 |
Flixonase/Flonase | 49 | -23 | 167 | -34 |
Central Nervous System | 825 | -4 | 2,449 | -3 |
Seroxat/Paxil | 128 | -2 | 402 | -5 |
Paxil IR | 92 | -7 | 288 | -8 |
Paxil CR | 36 | 12 | 114 | 2 |
Wellbutrin | 135 | -38 | 399 | -37 |
Wellbutrin IR, SR | 21 | -15 | 59 | -19 |
Wellbutrin XL | 114 | -41 | 340 | -39 |
Imigran/Imitrex | 165 | -2 | 498 | NM |
Lamictal | 275 | 14 | 796 | 16 |
Requip | 87 | 31 | 251 | 40 |
Anti-Virals | 714 | 6 | 2,237 | 12 |
HIV | 360 | 3 | 1,083 | -1 |
Combivir | 115 | -4 | 347 | -10 |
Trizivir | 55 | -8 | 177 | -9 |
Epivir | 38 | -13 | 119 | -21 |
Ziagen | 28 | 4 | 81 | -3 |
Agenerase, Lexiva | 37 | 19 | 105 | 14 |
Epzicom/Kivexa | 80 | 33 | 234 | 44 |
Herpes | 256 | 12 | 758 | 13 |
Valtrex | 229 | 13 | 679 | 16 |
Zovirax | 27 | 4 | 79 | -7 |
Zeffix | 42 | 5 | 126 | 12 |
Relenza | 28 | -7 | 187 | >100 |
Metabolic | 297 | -29 | 1,193 | -9 |
Avandia Products | 225 | -38 | 988 | -14 |
Avandia | 153 | -51 | 717 | -28 |
Avandamet | 60 | 39 | 228 | 77 |
Avandaryl | 12 | 18 | 43 | 68 |
Bonviva/Boniva | 41 | 56 | 109 | 90 |
Vaccines | 593 | 49 | 1,359 | 21 |
Hepatitis | 141 | 29 | 382 | 14 |
Influenza | 141 | >100 | 146 | >100 |
Infanrix/Pediarix | 137 | 16 | 406 | 13 |
Boostrix | 26 | 56 | 53 | 33 |
Rotarix | 23 | >100 | 52 | >100 |
Cardiovascular and Urogenital | 378 | -2 | 1,256 | 11 |
Coreg | 145 | -20 | 564 | 6 |
Coreg CR | 31 | NM | 55 | NM |
Coreg IR | 114 | -37 | 509 | -4 |
Levitra | 13 | 18 | 38 | 32 |
Avodart | 72 | 33 | 202 | 39 |
Arixtra | 25 | 100 | 71 | >100 |
Fraxiparine | 41 | -16 | 133 | -13 |
Vesicare | 13 | 56 | 36 | 70 |
Anti-Bacterials | 302 | -2 | 960 | -2 |
Augmentin | 117 | -2 | 384 | -7 |
Oncology and Emesis | 104 | -61 | 377 | -54 |
Zofran | 32 | -86 | 174 | -74 |
Hycamtin | 30 | 11 | 88 | 9 |
Tykerb | 16 | NM | 32 | NM |
Other | 207 | -9 | 686 | NM |
Zantac | 37 | -25 | 125 | -25 |
Total Pharmaceutical Sales | 4,605 | -2 | 14,186 | 1 |
* Growth measured in constant exchange rates. | ||||
Outlook and Implications
GSK is anticipating growth of 8-10% in full-year business performance earnings per share, at constant exchange rates, with CEO Jean-Pierre Garnier saying that "GSK remains on track to meet its earnings guidance for the year, despite significant challenges". The contrast in performance between GSK's Pharmaceuticals and Consumer Healthcare units certainly adds weight to Garnier's reasoning for keeping the Consumer Healthcare business despite growing pressure to sell it off (see United Kingdom: 10 September 2007: GSK Defends Value of OTC Unit Against Mounting Shareholder Pressure to Sell). Where streamlining is really needed at GSK is within its creaking Pharmaceuticals business, which, like that of most Big Pharma giants, is straining more and more under the pressure of generic competition. GSK will not be the first Big Pharma company to initiate a programme of cutbacks for this very reason, and will follow in the footsteps of U.K. rival AstraZeneca and U.S. pharma heavyweight Pfizer. With further sales losses anticipated for Avandia if the U.S. FDA is successful in its quest to add yet another black-box warning to its label, the impetus for change is set to become even bigger (see United Kingdom: 24 October 2007: GSK Settles Paxil Dispute with Mylan, Signs Diabetes Pact with Tolerx, Braces for Tougher U.S. Label on Avandia).
