IHS Global Insight Perspective | |
Significance | Novo Nordisk has posted a solid set of financial results for 2008. The company's operating profit, as calculated by IHS Global Insight, rose by 40% y/y to 12.1 billion kroner (US$2.1 billion) thanks to decent sales momentum, productivity improvements and lower exceptional charges. |
Implications | Novartis has retained its number one position in the insulin market. In the diabetes care franchise, although sales have expanded globally, North America and the international markets have again showed the strongest growth. |
Outlook | Novo Nordisk is expecting pharmaceutical sales to grow at around 10% in local currencies and 5% in the reporting currency in 2009. While the company is anticipating its marketed products to still undergo strong market uptake, in 2009, attention will be on the regulatory fate of Novo Nordisk's potential diabetes blockbuster liraglutide. Further delays in liraglutide's approval would be a blow to the company. |
Danish pharmaceutical company Novo Nordisk has closed its books on an encouraging set of financial results as the company met its 2008 financial guidance for both sales growth in local currencies and underlying operating profit on an as-reported basis despite a negative currency impact of 0.5 percentage point. In 2008, sales grew by 9% year-on-year (y/y) on an as-reported basis to nearly 45.6 billion Danish kroner (US$8.1 billion). Growth was again driven by the company's North American and international operations, which contributed to 48% and 29% of the sales growth respectively over the full year. In the meantime, Europe and Japan and Oceania, respectively contributed to 21% and 2% of the sales growth over the same period. In the fourth quarter of 2008, sales grew by 15% y/y on an as-reported basis to 12.6 billion kroner.
In 2008, the company's operating profit, as calculated by IHS Global Insight, grew by an impressive 40% y/y to 12.1 billion kroner thanks to sales growth momentum, lower exceptional charges and an effective cost-containment programme. On the expenses front, the cost of goods sold rose by a meagre 3% y/y to 10.1 billion kroner thanks to productivity improvements and a U.S. price increase. Research and development (R&D) expenses contracted by 8% y/y to 7.9 billion kroner thanks to lower non-recurring costs related to the discontinuation of insulin delivery system AERx iDMS and other pulmonary programmes, (see Denmark: 15 January 2008: Novo Nordisk Abandons Development of AERx Insulin Delivery System). In 2008, Novo Nordisk booked 325 million kroner in such charges, a figure that stood at 1.3 billion kroner in 2007. As the discontinuation charges were all booked in the fourth quarter of 2007, Novo Nordisk's operating profit, as calculated by IHS Global Insight, grew by a whopping 219% y/y to 3.3 billion kroner in the fourth quarter of the year. In the meantime, sales and distribution costs rose by 4% y/y to 12.9 billion kroner, partially boosted by the expansion of the company's U.S. sale force. In 2008, Novo Nordisk's operating margin, as calculated by IHS Global Insight was 5.9 percentage points higher than in 2007.
Novo Nordisk: Financial Results, Q4 and FY 2008 | ||||
| Q4 2008 (mil. DKK) | % Change Y/Y | FY 2008 (mil. DKK) | % Change Y/Y |
Net Sales | 12,583 | 15 | 45,553 | 9 |
Other Revenues | 73 | -21 | 286 | -11 |
Cost of Goods Sold | 2,536 | -2 | 10,109 | 3 |
Marketing and Sales | 3,558 | 10 | 12,866 | 4 |
Research and Development | 2,439 | -29 | 7,856 | -8 |
General Administration | 749 | 11 | 2,635 | 5 |
Group Operating Income* | 3,301 | 219 | 12,087 | 40 |
R&D Expenses as Percentage of Total Sales | 19.4 | 11.8 pp lower | 17.2 | 3.2 pp lower |
Operating Margin** | 26.2 | 16.8 pp higher | 26.5 | 5.9 pp higher |
Group Net Income | 2,330 | 138 | 9,645 | 13 |
Source: Novo Nordisk | ||||
In 2008, Novo Nordisk recorded positive growth in both its diabetes care and biopharmaceuticals franchises. Nevertheless, the bulk of the company's revenues were as usual generated by its diabetes drugs as their collective sales grew by 9% y/y in the reporting currency to 33.4 billion kroner. Sales of modern insulins were up 24% y/y to 17.3 billion kroner, boosted by a 49% y/y hike in Levemir (insulin detemir)-associated revenues. In local currencies, Novo Nordisk diabetes franchise grew by 21% y/y in North America, 6% y/y in Europe, 18% y/y in international markets and 1% y/y in Japan. As a result, in 2008, Novo Nordisk retained its hold on the insulin market with a 52% market share by volume of the total market and 44% of the modern insulin segment. In the United States, the company enjoys a market share of 41% by volume of the total insulin market and a market share of 32% by volume of the modern insulin market. In Europe, the company holds a 55% market share by volume of the total insulin market and a 51% market share by volume of the modern insulin market. In Japan, Novo Nordisk holds a 72% market share by volume of the total insulin market and a 64% market share by volume of the modern insulin market.
In 2008, sales of biopharmaceuticals grew by 7% y/y in the reporting currency to 12.2 billion kroner. NovoSeven pen's sales continued to benefit from its congenital bleeding disorder indication and the launch of room temperature-stable formulation as sales grew by 9% y/y to 6.4 billion kroner. Sales of growth hormone Norditropin grew by 10% y/y in the reporting currency to 3.9 billion kroner. With regards to Novo Nordisk's other biopharmaceuticals products, their performance was hampered by U.S. generic competition on hormone-replacement therapy Activella (estradiol/norethindrone acetate tablets).
Novo Nordisk: Sales by Business Segment, Q4 and FY 2008 | ||||
| Q4 2008 (mil. DKK) | % Change Y/Y* | FY 2008 (mil. DKK) | % Change Y/Y* |
Modern Insulins (Insulin analogues) | 5,028 | 29 | 17,317 | 24 |
Human Insulin | 3,093 | -1 | 11,804 | -6 |
Insulin-Related Sales | 477 | 6 | 1,844 | 5 |
Oral Anti-Diabetic (OAD) Products | 602 | 18 | 2,391 | 11 |
Diabetes Care Total | 9,200 | 15 | 33,356 | 9 |
NovoSeven | 1,774 | 17 | 6,396 | 9 |
Growth Hormone Therapy | 1,060 | 15 | 3,865 | 10 |
Other Products | 549 | 7 | 1,936 | -2 |
Biopharmaceuticals Total | 3,383 | 14 | 12,197 | 7 |
Total Sales | 12,583 | 15 | 45,553 | 9 |
* Measured on an as-reported basis Source: Novo Nordisk. | ||||
Outlook and Implications
Novo Nordisk is again expecting decent growth for the year ahead. The company foresees pharmaceutical sales growth at around 10% in local currencies and 5% in the reporting currency in 2009. Novo Nordisk has based its forecast on sustained efficiency improvements and market uptake of its products as well as on a stable business environment and currency exchange rates.
Novo Nordisk: 2009 Financial Guidance | |
Sales growth in local currencies | At the level of 10% |
Sales growth in reporting currency | 5 percentage points higher |
Operating profit growth in local currencies | At the level of 10% |
Operating profit growth in reporting currency | 9 percentage points higher |
Net financial expenses | Around 1.6 billion |
Source: Novo Nordisk. | |

