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Same-Day Analysis

Merck & Co, Schering-Plough in US$41.1-bil. Acquisition Deal

Published: 10 March 2009
A US$41.1-billion merger deal, between pharma majors Merck & Co and Schering-Plough, has been announced, setting the stage for the second-biggest deal in the pharmaceutical world after Pfizer's acquisition of Wyeth early this year.

IHS Global Insight Perspective

 

Significance

The deal envisages Schering-Plough integrating into Merck & Co to create a mammoth firm with combined net sales of US$42.35 billion. The presence of an existing joint venture between the two firms in cholesterol drugs seems to have aided the decision.

Implications

Together, the firms will represent the second-largest pharma firm in terms of net sales after Pfizer completes its acquisition of Wyeth. Merck will also inherit Schering-Plough's animal health and consumer businesses, increasing diversity in its interests.

Outlook

While the deal makes sense as a corporate initiative, the timing seems to have been triggered by the Pfizer-Wyeth transaction. Integration will be the top priority for Merck after ensuring there are no rival bids from any other firms to upset its merger announcement. The announcement will also spark negotiations on merger deals that have gone cold, such as the Roche-Genentech deal, and speculation will fuel match-making between other Big Pharma firms, such as GlaxoSmithKline (GSK) and AstraZeneca (both U.K.).

A surprise announcement on Monday (9 March 2009) from U.S. pharma majors Merck & Co and Schering-Plough indicated the intention to merge to create one of the largest pharmaceutical firms in the United States. The agreement, which has the endorsement of both companies' board of directors, will see shareholders of Schering-Plough receive 0.5767 shares and US$10.50 in cash for each share from Merck & Co. The total financial consideration of the deal is estimated at US$41.1 billion. The terms of the deal will see the combined entity operated under Merck & Co, with Merck's shareholders holding the majority 68% stake in the firm, while Schering-Plough shareholders will hold 32%.

Synergies and Rationale

The combined entity will have net sales of US$42.35 billion, according to their full-year financial results ending 31 December 2008 with a net income of US$9.60 billion. The strength of the entity will be in building better efficiencies, a stronger research pipeline, and established presence in more markets.

Selected Results for FY 2008

 

Schering-Plough

Merck & Co

 

US$ mil.

% Growth

US$ mil.

% Growth

Net Sales

18,502

46

23,850.3

-1

Cost of Sales

7307

66

5,582.5

-9

Marketing and Admin (SGA)

6,823

25

7377

-2

R&D

3,529

20.6

4,805

-2

R&D as % of Sales

19.07

33.5 pp lower

20.1%

0.1 pp lower

Operating Income*

843

n/m

6,085.5**

8.3

Operating Margin

4.5

N/A

25.5%

2.3 pp higher

Net Income

1,795

N/A

7,808.4

>=100%

Source: Merck & Co, Schering-Plough, IHS Global Insight
*IHS Global Insight calculation based on sales minus cost of sales, SGA, and R&D expenses.

The concept of such a transaction is bolstered by the existing relationship between the firms in the form of a joint venture, for cholesterol drugs Vytorin and Zetia. The two drugs brought forth revenues of US$4.56 billion in 2008. While the joint venture could have served as a starting point, it is significant to note that the two firms ended their agreements with respect to respiratory drugs in June last year. Now of course, Merck & Co will inherit Schering-Plough's entire pipeline.

Merck/Schering-Plough JV (US$ mil.)

 

FY 2008

FY 2007

Vytorin

2360

2779.1

Zetia

2201.1

2407.1

Total Merck/Schering-Plough Sales

4561.1

5186.2

Source: Merck & Co

The synergies according to Merck & Co are as follows:

  • Joint research and development (R&D) pipeline, with strong candidates in all development phases doubles the number of late-stage compounds to 18.
  • Broader product portfolio in critical therapeutic areas.
  • Expanded global presence, including high-growth emerging markets.
  • Expected to be significantly accretive, increase efficiencies, and result in cost savings of approximately US$3.5 billion annually.

In terms of the R&D pipeline, the additions to the cardiovascular, respiratory, oncology, infectious disease, and neuroscience therapeutic areas of Merck & Co's pipeline in the Phase III clinical trials and regulatory filed applications will provide the most benefit.

Schering-Plough's R&D Pipeline

Drug Candidate

Indication/Therapeutic Area

Clinical Trial Phase

Acadesine

Ischemia-reperfusion injury

Phase III

Allergy Immunotherapy Tablet

Grass pollen allergies

Phase III

Boceprevir

Hepatitis C

Phase III

Esmirtazapine

Insomnia and hot flushes

Phase III

Mometasone/Formoterol combination

Asthma and COPD

Phase III

NOMAC/E2

Contraceptive

Phase III

Thrombin Receptor Antagonist

Acute coronary syndrome, secondary prevention

Phase III

Vicriviroc

HIV infection

Phase III

Golimumab

Ulcerative colitis

Phase III

Implanon NXT

Contraception

Phase III

Integrilin

Early acute coronary syndrome

Phase III

Nasonex

Congestion, rhinosinusitis

Phase III

Vytorin-Outcomes Trials

SHARP—Renal Disease

IMPROVE-IT—Acute Coronary Syndrome

Phase III

Asenapine

Schizophrenia, bipolar mania disorder

Application Filed in the United States

Corifollitropin alfa

Controlled ovarian stimulation

Application Filed in the European Union (EU)

Golimumab

Rheumatoid arthritis, ankylosing spondylitis, psoriatic arthritis

Applications Filed

Sugammadex

anesthesia

Application Filed in the United States and Japan

Asmanex

Asthma

Application Filed in Japan

Noxafil

Serious fungal infections

Application Filed in the United States

Pegintron

Malignant melanoma

Application Filed in the United States and EU

Remeron

Antidepressant

Application Filed in Japan

Source: Schering-Plough website

Outlook and Implications

The merger announcement will no doubt create a mammoth organisation, with better marketing muscle, and an established wider presence in certain markets. As a result, it will create the second-largest pharmaceutical firm with combined sales of US$42.35 billion after Pfizer-Wyeth, which together has net sales of US$71.12 billion. The value of the deal also follows a similar trend, second to that of the US$68 billion Pfizer-Wyeth deal announced in late January, this year.

Lying behind the rationale for the transaction, while the existing relationship over the cholesterol drug joint venture could have initiated the deal, the past year saw the two firms rocked by the growing controversy over Vytorin and Zetia efficacy and safety. The two firms also ended the respiratory drugs joint venture, which was formed with the intention of commercialising a Singulair-Claritin combination drug. However, the relationship soared with growing regulatory failure with respect to Vytorin, as well as the combination drug. Hence, in a way, the announcement of such a deal was a bit of surprise. Still, it is not totally out-of-the-blue, as market conditions clearly suggest that Merck & Co was in need of some fresh injection of Schering-Plough's research pipeline. Apart from that, the addition of Organon Biosciences, which bolstered Schering's revenues in 2008, provides a stronger product portfolio.

No Credit Crunch in Pharma M&As?

The size of the deal underscores the intense activity among Big Pharma firms for acquisition. The Pfizer-Wyeth and Merck-Schering-Plough deals clearly have set the platform for other merger deals in the pharmaceutical market. While there is still some uncertainty over whether Pfizer can raise the debt necessary to finance its US$68-billion deal, clearly the interest underlines the fact that the pharmaceutical industry is viewed as one of the growth industries, at a time when recessionary conditions have dried up credit. Needless to say, the Merck-Schering-Plough deal will spark further consolidation in the industry, with deals such as Roche-Genentech expected to gain momentum. There is also speculation of a possible merger between GlaxoSmithKline (GSK) and AstraZeneca, two British pharma giants, recently denied by GSK.

The reason for this activity is, of course, the going price of pharma firms, which industry watchers now put as "realistic" or indeed "lower" than in the past years. Big Pharma firms are facing a declining trend, as some of their blockbuster drugs face patent expiration in the next four to five years. There is also increasing regulatory scrutiny, and impediments over the safety and efficacy of drugs are at an all-time high. Hence, in the face of dipping revenues and a barren late-stage pipeline, inorganic growth provides a stronger solution. In the case of big-ticket acquisitions and mergers, the focus is also on creating better operational efficiencies, and size ensures the firms are in the top ten of the pharmaceutical world table.
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