IHS Global Insight Perspective | |
Significance | Mobile operator Cosmote Romania has acquired Zapp, its smallest rival, for 207 million euro (US$292.5 million), of which debt and other obligations account for 146 million. |
Implications | As a CDMA carrier, Zapp has been something of a niche player in the Romanian mobile sector, yet it also owns a 2,100-MHz UMTS licence. Since Cosmote itself has up to now lacked one—ever since it lost the licensing contest to Zapp and cable firm RCS&RDS back in 2006—we believe that it is this asset which mostly motivated the acquisition. |
Outlook | Zapp was Romania's first mobile operator and its exit reduces the number of players from five to four, with Orange and Vodafone being the leaders with market shares of around one-third both. The cellular voice market, with a penetration rate of 133% at end-2008, has turned largely mature, and the operators must start tapping to an increasing extent into data services for further growth—as such the acquisition has great long-term importance for Cosmote, which at end-2008 reported monthly ARPU which was, for example, around a half of that of Vodafone's. |
Cosmote, OTE's mobile unit, says that its Romanian business signed an agreement for the acquisition of Telemobil—its smaller competitor, which operates under the Zapp brand—from Saudi Oger, the operator's Saudi owner, for 207 million euro. The amount consists of an equity value of 61 million euro, as well as debt and other obligations worth 146 million.
Cosmote's chief executive, Michael Tsamaz commented on the acquisition—which is still subject to regulatory approvals—by saying that "the deal signed today marks a new cycle of growth and expanded customer base for Cosmote Romania since the 3G and CDMA licences and infrastructure allow the company to offer cutting-edge data and voice services in Romania".
Outlook and Implications
- Romania's First Mobile Operator Sold: Zapp is Romania's oldest mobile operator, having launched its services in 1993. A CDMA operator, it was initially backed by Qualcomm, which in January 2008 sold its stake to Saudi Oger, making the latter the unit's full owner (see Romania: 14 June 2008: Saudi Oger Acquires 50% Stake in Telemobile Owner Inquam). Besides the CDMA operations, which Zapp runs in the 450-MHz band, by buying the carrier Cosmote also gains its 2100-MHz UMTS licence, granted in late 2006 (see Romania: 16 October 2006: Telemobil and RCS&RDS Win 3G Licences). According to Cosmote, in 2008 Zapp's subscription base comprised 374,000 post-paid customers and its revenue amounted to 61 million euro. The agreed purchase price is somewhat lower than the 200 million euro mentioned in media reports in May (see Romania: 15 May 2009: Cosmote Romania Agrees to Acquire Zapp—Report).
- Five Becomes Four: For 2008, regulator ANC reports 28.6 million valid SIM cards, up 18.2% year-on-year (y/y) and representing a penetration rate of 133 subscriptions per 100 inhabitants, against 112.4% a year earlier (see Romania: 9 June 2009: Value of Romanian Telecoms Market Up 7.2% in 2008—Regulator). Although the ANC considers some 14% of the subscriptions inactive, the penetration rate of the active ones—113.8%, against 94.8% in 2007—indicates a mature sector. As of end-2008, market leader Orange reported 10.355 million customers, which against the regulator's data would give it 36% of all subscriptions, with Vodafone's 9.650 giving it a slice of 33%. With a client base of 5.894 million, Cosmote trails them at around 21% of the total; the remaining one-tenth of the market is split between RCS&RDS and Zapp, with estimated market shares of around 9% and 1% respectively.
- Cosmote Finally Gains 3G Licence: IHS Global Insight's view is that, rather than Zapp's customer base, the acquisition's real attraction for Cosmote is the carrier's 3G concession—something which the buyer itself has thus so far lacked, having lost the 2006 licensing contest to Zapp and cable group RCS&RDS. This is significant for the long-term development of Cosmote's business, as the Romanian mobile market saturates further; the operator must come up with new sources of growth. At end-2008, the operator reported monthly ARPU of six euro, which was down from five euro a year earlier; for comparison, Vodafone's ARPU stood at 9.9 euro, against 10.8 a year earlier. It is this gap which Cosmote will start narrowing with its new data service offerings.