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Same-Day Analysis

Pfizer Posts 50% Drop in Q4 Profits Due to Lipitor

Published: 01 February 2012

Generic competition in key products such as Lipitor affected Pfizer's growth figures for 2011.



IHS Global Insight Perspective

 

Significance

Fourth quarter 2011 growth has been hit, with net income dropping by 50% and revenues by 4%. Full-year 2011 growth has, however, held slightly firmer, with net income at a positive 20% rise.

Implications

Lipitor, Vfend and Xalatan generic competition have had the main impact on revenue growth. A tighter cost structure helped to mitigate some of the decline.

Outlook

The year ahead will see the firm focus on products such as Enbrel, Prevnar 13 and new drugs such as Eliquis and Inlyta to boost growth. Revenues and profitability will remain under pressure in 2012 as a full year of the impact of Lipitor's generic competition will be realised.

US pharma major Pfizer has announced its financial results for the fourth quarter and fiscal year (FY) ending 31 December 2011, with revenues dropping by 4% year-on-year (y/y) and up just 1% y/y, respectively. The financials witnessed a favourable foreign-exchange impact, which helped to boost growth figures. US growth registered a decline in both periods under review, primarily led by the products going off patent, thereby facing cheaper generic competition. The cost structure continued on a tight note with an across-the-board decline in y/y change providing some fillip to profitability. Operating income was at USD4.87 billion in the fourth quarter and USD23.76 billion in the full-year period. The firm said savings were generated in quarter four 2011 by reductions in the US field force and declines in promotional spending in response to product losses of exclusivity. These savings were partially offset by the addition of costs from legacy King operations and the inclusion of the US healthcare reform fee, however. Net profits were hence on a declining trend in the fourth quarter, down 50% y/y.

Selected Highlights: Pfizer Q4 and Full-Year 2011
(USD mil. unless otherwise stated)

 

Q4 2011

% Change Y/Y on Reported Basis

Full Year 2011

% Change Y/Y on Reported Basis

Revenues

16,746.00

-4.00

67,425.00

1.00

Cost of Sales

3,908.00

-6.00

15,085.00

-5.00

Selling, Informational, and Administrative Expenses

5,371.00

-6.00

19,468.00

-

R&D (includes acquired in-process charges)

2,596.00

-7.00

9,112.00

-3.00

R&D As % of Revenues

15.50%

0.64 pp lower

13.51%

0.49 pp lower

Operating Income*

4,871.00

3.94

23,760.00

6.32

Operating Margin

29.08%

2.08 pp higher

35.23%

1.91 pp higher

US Revenues

6,300.00

-12.00

26,900.00

-7.00

International Revenues

10,400.00

3.00

40,500.00

6.00

Total Biopharmaceuticals Revenues

14,136.00

-6.00

57,747.00

-1.00

Net Income

1,439.00

-50.00

10,009.00

21.00

Source: Pfizer
Except: *IHS Global Insight calculation based on revenues minus cost of sales, SIA, and R&D expenditure

Among business segments, the fourth quarter figures continued to register a negative percentage change with primary care, oncology and speciality care affected. Primary-care revenues were particularly hit by about USD775 million in the fourth quarter on account of Lipitor (atorvastatin) and Caduet (amlodipine besylate + atorvastatin calcium) loss of exclusivity. The emerging markets decline was characterised by volume growth that was more than offset by the negative impact of foreign exchange and increased pricing pressures, as well as by certain other events, including changes in institutional purchase patterns in Turkey and Brazil, currency devaluation in Venezuela, and the loss of exclusivity of Lipitor in Brazil and Mexico during 2010, the firm said.

Business Segment Revenues

Segments

Q4 (USD mil.)

% Change Y/Y

Full Year (USD mil.)

% Change Y/Y

Primary care

5,411

-8

22,670

-3

Speciality care

3,820

-5

15,245

1

Oncology

341

-8

1,323

-6

Established products

2,300

-5

9,214

-9

Emerging markets

2,264

-4

9,295

7

Biopharmaceutical (total)

14,136

-6

57,747

-1

Source: Pfizer

In terms of product performances, key products went off patent exclusivity. The fourth quarter saw the first full month of Lipitor generic competition from 1 December 2011, particularly in the United States, which saw sales dip. Apart from Lipitor, other drugs that experienced competition include Xalatan (latanoprost) and Vfend (voriconazole) in the US during March and February 2011. US Prevnar 13 (pneumococcal 13-valent Conjugate Vaccine [Diphtheria CRM197 Protein]) revenues in quarter four 2011 were lower than in the same quarter of the previous year, primarily because most patients eligible to receive the Prevnar 13 catch-up dose have already been vaccinated. Growth was experienced for in Enbrel (etanercept) in developed markets and Prevenar (pneumococcal 7-valent conjugate) in Japan, the firm said.

Pfizer: Product Sales, FY 2011

 

Worldwide Sales (USD mil.)

% Growth Y/Y

US Sales (USD Mil.)

% Growth Y/Y

Lipitor

9,577

-11

5,003

-6

Enbrel (outside US and Canada)

3,666

12

-

-

Lyrica

3,693

21

1,514

6

Prevnar/Prevenar 13

3,657

51

1,928

9

Celebrex

2,523

6

1,597

1

Viagra

1,981

3

1,003

1

Xalatan/Xalacom

1,250

-29

176

-72

Effexor

678

-61

242

-80

Norvasc

1,445

-4

23

-30

Prevnar/Prevenar 7

488

-61

-

-100

Zyvox

1,283

9

640

4

Sutent

1,187

11

307

14

Premarin Family

1,013

-3

915

-4

Geodon/Zeldox

1,022

-

859

-1

Detrol/Detrol LA

883

-13

557

-19

Zosyn/Tazocin

636

-33

344

-45

Genotropin

889

-

205

-2

Vfend

747

-9

86

-67

Chantix/Champix

720

-5

326

-1

Xanax XR

306

-

52

2

BeneFIX

693

8

301

5

Zoloft

573

8

63

-11

Caduet

538

2

272

-20

Aromasin

361

-25

58

-64

Revatio

535

11

312

6

Pristiq

577

24

474

17

Medrol

510

12

152

35

Aricept**

450

-1

-

-

Zithromax/Zmax

453

9

20

43

Cardura

380

-8

5

-58

ReFacto AF/Xyntha

506

25

97

21

BMP2

340

-15

323

15

Rapamune

372

-4

188

-5

Fragmin

382

12

43

8

Tygacil

298

-8

148

-10

Alliance Revenue***

3,630

-11

2,227

-21

All Other Biopharmaceutical

6,768

9

2,459

26

All Other Established Products****

5,671

14

1,783

56

ANIMAL HEALTH

4,184

17

1,648

19

CONSUMER HEALTHCARE

3,057

10

1,490

6

NUTRITION

2,138

15

-

-

OTHER*****

299

-7

88

-15

Source: Company
* - Calculation not meaningful
** - Represents direct sales under licence agreement with Eisai
*** - Enbrel (in US and Canada), Aricept, Exforge, Rebif, and Spiriva
**** - All other established products is a subset of All other biopharmaceutical products
***** - Includes revenues generated primarily from Pfizer CentreSource

Outlook and Implications

Pfizer: Forecast, 2012

 

Guidance

Reported Revenues

USD60.5–62.5 billion

Reported Diluted Earnings per Share

USD1.37–1.52

Pfizer's financial performance during 2011 was challenging, as expected, particularly in the fourth quarter. Key positives included achieving cost-reduction targets associated with the Wyeth integration, generating more than USD4.0 billion in reductions on an operational basis in comparison with the 2008 combined costs of Pfizer and Wyeth.

In terms of product performance, the positives were primarily found in Celebrex, Lyrica, Pristiq, and Spiriva. With a greater number of its blockbuster drugs facing generic competition, starting with the once largest-selling drug Lipitor, the impact on revenues in the near term is expected to be even more challenging for the firm.

For 2012, Pfizer has reduced reported revenues and adjusted diluted earnings per share guidance ranges, primarily to reflect changes in foreign-exchange rates from mid-October 2011 to mid-January 2012. The firm also provided a 2012 guidance range for adjusted cost of sales as a percentage of revenues, which is at 20.5–21.5%, and has lowered the guidance range for adjusted SI&A expenses to USD17–18 billion from USD17.5–18.5 billion, indicating further tightening in the cost structure. Going forwards, the firm will see further weakening of Lipitor sales in 2012, and the focus is likely to shift to drugs such as Enbrel, Celebrex (celecoxib), Prevnar 13, and the newly approved Eliquis and Inlyta. We expect the trend of “patent cliffs” effects—faced by major Pharma—to continue, thus hurting growth in value-based drug sales and health spending, amid new competition from generics.

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