Customer Logins

Obtain the data you need to make the most informed decisions by accessing our extensive portfolio of information, analytics, and expertise. Sign in to the product or service center of your choice.

Customer Logins

My Logins

All Customer Logins
S&P Global S&P Global Marketplace
Explore S&P Global

  • S&P Global
  • S&P Dow Jones Indices
  • S&P Global Market Intelligence
  • S&P Global Mobility
  • S&P Global Commodity Insights
  • S&P Global Ratings
  • S&P Global Sustainable1
Close
Discover more about S&P Global's offerings
Investor Relations
  • Investor Relations Home
  • Presentations
  • Investor Fact Book
  • News Releases
  • Quarterly Earnings
  • SEC Filings & Reports
  • Executive Committee
  • Governance
  • Merger Information
  • Stock & Dividends
  • Shareholder Services
  • Contact
Support
  • Contact Us
  • Media Contacts
S&P Global ESG Sustainable1
  • Who We Are
  • Who We Serve
  • Solutions
  • Research & Insights
  • Events
  • Speak to a Specialist
    • About
    • Purpose
    • Approach
    • People
    • History
    • Academia
    • Commercial Banking
    • Corporations
    • Exchanges and Issuers
    • Insurance
    • Investment Banking
    • Investment Management
    • Private Equity
    Client Case Studies
  • Our Solutions
    • Sustainability Reporting
    • ESG Scores and Raw Data
    • Physical Climate Risk
    • Nature Positive
    • Net Zero
    • Carbon Markets
     
    • Energy Transition
    • Second Party Opinions
    • Climate Transition Assessment
    • Sustainability Indices
    • Corporate Sustainability Assessment
    • Sustainability Benchmarking Services
    Explore
    • Climate Center of Excellence
    • Transition Tracker
    • Quality Imperative
    • Data Coverage
    • Methodologies
    • Industry Materiality
    • Our Latest
    • Blogs
    • Research Reports
    • All Things Sustainable Podcast
    • Sustainability Quarterly Research Journal
    • Sustainability Matters Video Series
    • Climate Risk & Resilience
    • Sustainability Regulation and Standards
    • Sustainable Finance
    • The Path to Net Zero
    • All Events
    • Webinar Replays
BLOG Oct 05, 2021

E&P on trial: Climate litigation shaping upstream investment risk

Contributor Image
Cat Hunter

Director, E&P Terms and Above-Ground Risk, North Africa and Levant, S&P Global Commodity Insights

Contributor Image
David Gates

Senior Consultant, S&P Global

This year's landmark rulings in Milieudefensie v Shell and Neubauer, et al. v. Germany show how quickly the legal risks to pursuing a moderately responsive climate strategy in the energy sector more broadly and the upstream in particular are shifting. Evolving climate science and enhanced country-level emissions reduction targets have provided grist for new legal arguments to be deployed in an expanded set of jurisdictions in a way that is starting to play into upstream strategy and investment calculations for governments and companies alike.

The legal justifications to scrutinise industry practices are broad and expanding, stepping out from complaints focused on specific instances of pollution or damage, into an examination of the consistency of upstream and energy policies with national environmental and net-zero pledges. Increasingly, suits attempt to link the effects of fossil fuel use with fundamental human rights as laid out in national constitutions and international treaties, the premise of both Milieudefensie and Neubauer, which resulted in initial rulings that will require increased action on emissions by Royal Dutch Shell and the German federal government respectively (the former has provisional enforceability, although it is subject to appeal). The concept of climate harms and damages for historic emissions seems a possible next staging post in the evolution of litigation (see graphic), supported by evolving climate science around attribution. International law may also come into play in a more significant way - via advisory rulings from the International Court of Justice and/or new climate emergency concepts around ecocide.

Our recent report "E&P on trial: Climate litigation shaping E&P investment risk in the global upstream" looks at these trends in more detail, seeking to map out how rulings might play into the upstream plans of different producing states, as well as those hosting upstream companies and providing energy finance. While government policy has featured the highest case-load to date, specific exploration awards, project sanctions, and finance are increasingly in the spotlight, along with the corporate strategy of major listed companies. Not all outcomes are favourable to plaintiffs, with the pushback on efforts to cancel Arctic licensing in Norway an example of where courts have so far been reluctant to tread: Responsibility for Scope 3 emissions from energy use has still to be definitively agreed. Where plaintiffs have achieved success, an echo effect is evident as NGOs and civil society groups in different jurisdictions adapt winning strategies and arguments to their own legal environments, supported by a growing body of case law including that from multilateral venues such as the European Court of Human Rights whose rulings have more widespread application.

Not surprisingly, the reach of climate litigation is not uniform, but where it is directly focused, we anticipate greater policy volatility, regulatory burden, and overall contract risk in producing states with active civil societies, strong rule of law, and/or exposure to investors and finance from countries where such dynamics are in play. Set against this, a belated industry pushback is in motion, albeit less visible, invoking investor protections and highlighting the role of oil and gas in socio-economic development, potentially creating challenges for countries minded to change course. The scope and intensity of these dynamics suggests that climate litigation will be a key factor shaping the trajectory of the energy transition and the investment impacts on oil and gas producing countries and companies that the IHS Markit PEPS group will continue to evaluate and monitor.

Screen upstream opportunities and above-ground risk with PEPS from IHS Markit - Learn More.

Posted 05 October 2021 by Cat Hunter, Director, E&P Terms and Above-Ground Risk, North Africa and Levant, S&P Global Commodity Insights and

David Gates, Senior Consultant, S&P Global



This article was published by S&P Global Commodity Insights and not by S&P Global Ratings, which is a separately managed division of S&P Global.

Previous Next
Recommended for you

Energy Solutions
Consulting
Upstream Oil & Gas
Subscribe to the Blog

Receive monthly energy insights from our blog right in your inbox.

Subscribe

CERAWeek 2024

Multidimensional Energy Transition: Markets, climate, technology and geopolitics
March 6 – 10 in Houston, TX

LEARN MORE
Related Posts
Blog Sep 30, 2022

International renewable energy credits are emerging as transitional option to virtual PPAs in India

Blog Sep 27, 2022

Global corporate clean energy procurement deals of 21 GW in the first half of 2022

Blog Sep 23, 2022

Global Power and Renewables Research Highlights, September 2022: Implications of the Inflation Reduction Act, global gas supply a key concern for power sector, financing strategies take center stage as interest rates jump

{"items" : [ {"name":"share","enabled":true,"desc":"<strong>Share</strong>","mobdesc":"Share","options":[ {"name":"facebook","url":"https://www.facebook.com/sharer.php?u=http%3a%2f%2fwww.spglobal.com%2fesg%2fs1%2fresearch-analysis%2fclimate-litigation-and-upstream-investment-risk.html","enabled":true},{"name":"twitter","url":"https://twitter.com/intent/tweet?url=http%3a%2f%2fwww.spglobal.com%2fesg%2fs1%2fresearch-analysis%2fclimate-litigation-and-upstream-investment-risk.html&text=E%26P+on+trial%3a+Climate+litigation+shaping+upstream+investment+risk+%7c+S%26P+Global+","enabled":true},{"name":"linkedin","url":"https://www.linkedin.com/sharing/share-offsite/?url=http%3a%2f%2fwww.spglobal.com%2fesg%2fs1%2fresearch-analysis%2fclimate-litigation-and-upstream-investment-risk.html","enabled":true},{"name":"email","url":"?subject=E&P on trial: Climate litigation shaping upstream investment risk | S&P Global &body=http%3a%2f%2fwww.spglobal.com%2fesg%2fs1%2fresearch-analysis%2fclimate-litigation-and-upstream-investment-risk.html","enabled":true},{"name":"whatsapp","url":"https://api.whatsapp.com/send?text=E%26P+on+trial%3a+Climate+litigation+shaping+upstream+investment+risk+%7c+S%26P+Global+ http%3a%2f%2fwww.spglobal.com%2fesg%2fs1%2fresearch-analysis%2fclimate-litigation-and-upstream-investment-risk.html","enabled":true}]}, {"name":"rtt","enabled":true,"mobdesc":"Top"} ]}
Filter Sort
  • Our Values
  • Investor Relations
  • Contact Customer Care & Sales
  • Careers
  • Our History
  • News Releases
  • Support by Division
  • Corporate Responsibility
  • Ventures
  • Quarterly Earnings
  • Report an Ethics Concern
  • Leadership
  • Press
  • SEC Filings & Reports
  • Office Locations
  • IOSCO ESG Rating & Data Product Statements
  • © 2025 S&P Global
  • Terms of Use
  • Cookie Notice
  • Privacy Policy
  • Do Not Sell My Personal Information
  • 中文