Obtain the data you need to make the most informed decisions by accessing our extensive portfolio of information, analytics, and expertise. Sign in to the product or service center of your choice.
The mobility sector will undergo more change in coming years than it has in the past century. The pace of change is the question—not whether change occurs. Are you prepared?
Will change be of a revolutionary nature, topple incumbents in the automotive and energy industries, and dramatically reshape the mobility and energy sector? Or will it be gradual and offer opportunities for companies—incumbents and new entrants—to adapt to changing technology, government policies, business models, and consumer behavior?
The Mobility and Energy Future service provides insight, analysis, and data to keep members ahead of the curve in understanding how regulations, technology, new business models, and consumers are impacting oil, energy demand, and the automotive industry plus its supply chain.
Trillions of dollars of investment capital are at stake. Our service delivers research that addresses the latest developments and insights while also providing a scenario framework for decision-making.
The Big Questions
Among the big questions addressed by Mobility and Energy Future are:
How will electric cars and fuel economy standards impact oil demand?
Is a peak in oil demand near—or still decades away?
Will developments in driverless technology disrupt car sales and energy use faster than many think?
How will ride-hailing alter car use and car buying trends?
How will government policies at the national and local levels evolve and shape the future of electric cars and mobility service companies? How will congestion, pollution, industrial policy, and economic security influence these policies?
Will the scale of battery supply chains increase in time to satisfy projected battery-electric vehicles and plug-in hybrid sales?
What are companies doing to position themselves to succeed in the automotive system of the future?
Get a first-hand look at Refinery of the Future solutions with free access to the Oil Markets, Midstream, and Downstream Demo HubFree access to select Oil Markets, Midstream, and Downstream research, analysis, and insight.
This offering provides insight on the future of cars and the oil, automotive, chemicals and power industries. The goal of this service is to help clients effectively develop long-term business strategies.
Understanding the pulse of change in the short- and long-term are at the heart of this new service. From monthly updates on battery-electric vehicles and plug-in hybrid sales, analysis of new policy and business developments, to our scenario-based outlooks that span to 2052, the Mobility and Energy Future service features ground-breaking insights for the twenty-first century and provides an in depth look at how automotive fleets will evolve from the personally-owned model of the past century to a multidimensional competitive environment where mobility service companies, electric powertrains and driverless technology alter traditional buying and use patterns.
For the automotive industry, understanding the patterns of future car ownership and usage will be vital in preparing for tomorrow’s market. The market will become more complex as ride-sharing platforms and self-driving cars will give consumers an increasing number of options for personal mobility. Automakers and suppliers will need to adapt their products and business models to ensure they are prepared for greater diversity, the resizing of markets, battery charging needs, and related response from electric power markets.
For the oil and gas industry, light vehicles represent the most important end-market, accounting for one-third of global refined product demand and nearly 40% of total oil demand growth since 2000.
For the utilities industry, as electric cars become more widespread, the power generation and distribution industries will forge new ties with a wide array of other industries. This presents both challenges and opportunities throughout the energy industry. New demand will have to be managed at a time of wider transformation.
New twice-a-year ZEV watch report offering a comprehensive assessment of the five-year outlook for adoption of zero-emission LVs and MHVs—including those fueled by electricity and hydrogen. The report also offers assessments of the ZEV value chain—including charging and batteries—as well as biofuels.
Emissions and other regulatory policies
Penetration of autonomous technologies, new mobility business models, and new powertrains
Mobility demand modeling and VMT trends
Technological developments in new mobility technologies
Mobility and Energy Future service members also receive individual access to analysts
How will cities and cars adapt to changing motorization trends
City motorization peaks when urbanization rates reach 80%, but congestion is just one of many factors that could affect future mobility trends.
Click sections below to explore current trends.
Experts
Tom De Vleesschauwer
Tom has been involved in the international automotive industry
for nearly two decades and is currently responsible for both
long-term market research and business consulting projects for the
Automotive Group. He has contributed to special projects assessing
technical, business, regulatory and societal trends to help senior
management improve decision-making. He has assisted automotive
manufacturers, global suppliers, NGOs and government agencies,
including European Commission and Parliament. Recently, his work
encompassed areas such as biofuels market potential, CO2
forecasting evaluations and future mobility outlooks.Tom regularly contributes to several company publications and is
frequently quoted in the media. Previously, he was with the
Automotive Group of Standard & Poor's DRI, and Euromoney
Financial Publications. During his formative academic years, he was
a marketing trainee at Citroen Belux and Land Rover North
America.Tom holds a Bachelor of Business Administration from Northwood
University in Midland, Michigan, US, a Masters of Business
Administration from Cardiff Business School, UK, and an IVA-A HBO
(Honors) from IVA in Driebergen, Netherlands.
Mario is a research expert in the field of automotive Future
Mobility. Mario analyses and forecasts global trends and the
disruptive impact of mobility-as-a-service, electrification, and
autonomous driving technologies on the auto industry. Since 2011,
he is part of the automotive division of S&P Global. Prior to
his current role, Mario was responsible for volume forecast and
market analysis of passenger cars and light commercial vehicles in
Europe and the Middle-East/Africa (EMEA). During that period, he
gained specialized knowledge in vehicle manufacturers' BEV (battery
electric vehicles) platform strategies.Mario was employed by Daimler AG, BMW Group Japan, and Mitsumi
Electronics, where he had roles in market research, price/volume
planning and product management.Mario is a graduate of the University of Applied Sciences
Nürtingen, Germany, Business Administration. He is a post-graduate
fellowship holder of the German Academic Exchange Service (DAAD) -
"SP Japan" The program that tightens business and cultural
relations between Germany and Japan in an 18-month stay in Japan.
Mario is fluent in: German, English and Croatian. Mario also speaks
intermediate Japanese.
Nigel has more than 30 years of direct experience in analyzing
and forecasting demand trends and light vehicle sales in the global
automotive industry. He is focused on the micro economics of the
auto industry. He has consulted on multiple forecast projects on a
global, regional, national and sub national level. Most recently
his work involves modeling the long term autmotive impacts of new
mobilty trends including new mobilty concepts and autonomous cars.
His current role involves the development of sensitivity and
scenario-based automotive forecasting for short/medium term
contingency planning and long term strategy planning for the
industry.Nigel has been with the company since 1992, and now helps to
steer the core global and country-level light vehicle sales
forecasts. Earlier in his career, he worked for an international
automotive consulting company, where he developed new analytical
approaches to accommodate anticipated structural change in car
consumer behavior at both regional and city levels in response to
global adaptation of new urban mobility patterns. Nigel holds a
first-class honors degree in economics, a master's degree in
industrial and business economics, and an MBA from Cardiff Business
School in Wales, United Kingdom, where he specialized in the
economics of the motor industry. Nigel has received numerous awards
for study and analysis, including the Alexander Duckhams Prize of
the Institute of the Motor Industry, the Adam Smith Medal and the
Sir Julian Hodge Prize of the University of Wales.
