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Asia-Pacific Financial Institutions Monitor 1Q 2023: Banks Will Battle To Stay On Track

COMMENTS

Indian Banks Have Manageable Exposure To Contagion And Unrecognized Losses

RESUPD

Research Update: Outlook On UBS Group Revised To Negative On Execution Risk From Credit Suisse Acquisition; Ratings Affirmed

RESUPD

Research Update: Credit Suisse Placed On CreditWatch Positive On Acquisition By UBS; Tier 1 Hybrids Downgraded To 'C'

RESUPD

Research Update: First Republic Bank Downgraded To 'B+' Despite Support Received; Rating Remains On CreditWatch Negative


Asia-Pacific Financial Institutions Monitor 1Q 2023: Banks Will Battle To Stay On Track

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2023 Will Be More Difficult For The Global Banking Sector

More than half of investors we polled are downbeat on the global banking outlook for the next 12-24 months.  In the survey we conducted in November 2022, U.K. and Italian banks topped the investors' list for developed markets that most worry them. Turkiye and China are high in the risk watch list for emerging market banks (see "More Than Half Of Investors Polled Are Downbeat On The Global Banking Outlook," published Dec. 6, 2022).

We anticipate the significant buffers banks have built up over the past 10 years will be tested.  Besides higher inflation and lower economic growth, banks and their customers also face property-sector weaknesses in many jurisdictions. Additional key risks are potentially higher corporate insolvencies exacerbated by high corporate leverage, high government leverage, and weaker property sectors (see "Global Bank Country-By-Country 2023 Outlook: Greater Divergence Ahead," and "Global Bank Outlook 2023: Greater Divergence Ahead," published Nov. 17, 2022).

Asia-Pacific will be a relative bright spot in the global economy in 2023.  This may mean that downside risks affecting financial institutions in Asia-Pacific may be less severe than in some other regions. Lower global growth and higher interest rates should slow some economies in the region next year. But we generally expect GDP growth to stay healthy. S&P Global Ratings recently trimmed its GDP growth forecast for Asia-Pacific to 4.3% in 2023, that's 0.2 of a percentage point lower compared with our September outlook.

As of December 2022, 84% of rating outlooks on Asia-Pacific banks were stable, a trend we believe will persist in 2023.  During the October-December 2022 quarter, we revised the economic risk trend for Thailand and Indonesia to stable from negative (see "BICRA Changes" section for more). Meanwhile the economic risk trend for New Zealand remains negative.

Conversely, there are few prospects for upward rating momentum in 2023.  Some small banks in Australia may eventually benefit from upgrades considering our industry risk trend for the Australian banking sector is positive. That said, we only see this as about a one-in-three possibility.

Global and Asia-Pacific Bank Credit Losses: Our Base Case Sees Higher, But Manageable, Losses Ahead

Across the 83 banking systems that S&P Global Ratings covers, we expect credit losses will amount to about US$2.1 trillion over the three years to end-2024.  While our forecast for 2024 is new, our latest forecasts for 2022 and 2023 are appreciably higher than our previous (July 2022) projections. For 2022, we see credit losses amounting to about US$680 billion, 6% above our previous forecast of about US$640 billion.

For 2023, our forecast is about US$765 billion, 10% higher than our previous forecast of about US$695 billion.  A silver lining is that global banks enter 2023 with broadly healthy capital and solid balance sheets; and their net interest margins will continue to benefit from higher interest rates. This should provide comfortable headroom to absorb higher losses without depleting capital. This deteriorating picture highlights the increasingly murky economic outlook across much of the world. For regional variations, see "Credit Trends: Global Banks: Our Credit Loss Forecasts : Manageable Rise In Credit Losses As Our Base Case," published Dec. 13, 2022).

For China, we forecast credit losses of about US$436 billion in 2023, about 8.9% above our estimate for 2022 credit losses.  We estimate that about 40% of Chinese property developers are in financial difficulty. In our view, real estate nonperforming loans (NPLs) will remain elevated in 2023, after doubling in 2022. They would be higher still if not for forbearance policies allowing banks to classify credit stress among developers as normal or special-mention loans. Reasonable collateral buffers on real estate loans support this approach, and we still expect banks will reclassify the loans to NPL if their loan-to-value ratios approach or exceed 100% on already problematic loans.

Our economic growth forecast of 4.3% for Asia-Pacific for 2023 is much stronger than for the U.S. and the eurozone.  This will underpin bank lending growth, and we anticipate manageable credit losses for most banks at current rating levels. For 2023, we forecast credit losses of about $77 billion for Asia-Pacific, excluding China. This is about 9.4% higher than in 2022.

Hybrid Non-Call Decisions Are The New Normal As Markets Remain Volatile

Given volatile market conditions, S&P Global Ratings expects more issuers to choose not to call their hybrid capital instruments on the first optional call date.  The optional nature of a call is a key feature of hybrids. We expect more issuers to choose not to call in order to help manage their capital, the carrying cost of their hybrids, and the timing of any refinancing.

We saw a recent example of this in the case of Heungkuk Life Insurance Co. Ltd. (not rated).  The insurer announced in November 2022 that it would not call a US$500 million hybrid, shaking investor confidence in the capacity of the Korean entities (financial and nonfinancial) to repay such securities at the first optional call date. Korea's market regulator made a statement assuring investors about Heungkuk Life's liquidity in response to the market reaction. Korea had not seen a noncall decision since 2009. The market's response prompted the insurer to reverse its decision and call the instrument, even though it could not replace the hybrid.

The Australian Prudential Regulation Authority (APRA) also made an announcement in November 2022 to clarify the equity-like characteristics of such hybrid issuances by banks and insurers.  APRA highlighted the possibility that some issuers may not exercise a call on the instruments under current economic conditions.

A decision to call or not to call a hybrid, balances shorter- and longer-term funding and capital management considerations.  Hybrids are almost always called at the first optional call date in good market conditions. The issuer can usually refinance the security more cheaply or at a broadly similar cost. This decision is more complex in tougher market conditions, however.

A noncall decision does not constitute a default and can be credit-supportive.  We still recognize the financial benefits of an uncalled hybrid, even when we no longer consider that it has equity content. Previous noncalls have shown that the reputational effect is relatively short-lived, but hybrid investors will likely price in the risk of a noncall more explicitly, setting a pricing premium for some sectors or issuers. The era of cheap hybrid financing is over, for now (see "Credit Implications Of Hybrid Noncall Decisions," published Nov. 24, 2022).

In Asia-Pacific, Bailouts Would Rule The Day In The Unlikely Event Of Systemic Financial Crisis

We see extraordinary government support as likely in a crisis for most Asia-Pacific banking systems in the unlikely event it was required.  Their safety net is intact. In the unlikely event of a financial crisis, bailouts of key banks would be the likely course of action for most jurisdictions, including all the G20 governments in the region.

S&P Global Ratings' expectation of such government support leads to rating uplift for many banks in the region.  Banks continue to build up buffers via hybrid instruments, and governments are also progressing with the implementation of resolution frameworks that broadly align with global standards. Nonetheless, at this juncture, we think bailouts would rule the day in the unlikely event of systemic financial crisis in the region. (see "Asia-Pacific Banking: Government Bailouts Are Still Likely In The Event Of Systemic Crisis," published Oct. 10, 2022).

European banks are making solid progress toward becoming financially and operationally resolvable.  In 2022, the Bank of England and Single Resolution Board followed their Swiss and U.S. counterparts' lead in publishing assessments of banks' resolvability. The outcomes underline our view for this region that there is a real alternative to taxpayer-funded bailouts; and that government support for a failing bank is an uncertain prospect (see "The Resolution Story For Europe's Banks: The Final Push To Resolvability," published Sept. 30, 2022).

China Abandons Its Zero-COVID Policy

S&P Global Ratings believes the accelerated reopening of the economy and end of zero-COVID keeps GDP on a path for 4.8% growth in 2023, with private consumption likely to recover strongly.  Mobility is already increasing after December's surge in infections, and we forecast 5.8% retail sales growth (ex-petroleum) for China in 2023. The re-opening of China's economy will increase price pressures domestically and globally. But China's consumer inflation is likely to rise much less than in the U.S. and Europe in 2022. (see "Economic Research: China's Earlier Policy Shift Advances Its Recovery", published Jan. 18, 2023).

China's Average National Property Sales Likely To Decline By 8% In 2023

China's banks are extending their exposure to the property sector amid a real estate slump.  This is policy-driven and, in the event of a major correction, would leave banks holding rapidly declining collateral.

S&P Global Ratings anticipates that financial institutions will retain some selectivity as megabanks lead the effort with plans to disperse more than Chinese renminbi (RMB) 1.8 trillion (US$256 billion) in fresh loans.  This selectivity could help rein in some of the risk for banks. For developers, it means survival of the fittest since the stronger ones will get favorable treatment.

Fresh credit infusions alone won't be enough to restore homebuying sentiment.  By our forecasts, national home prices will decline by up to 8% in 2023. The declines will be larger in lower-tier cities, and in tier-two cities with large inventory overhang. More visibility on the end of "zero COVID" policies would be a bigger impetus in reviving home sales, in our view (see "China's Property Lifeline Won't Stretch To All," published Dec. 5, 2022)

For China Banking TLAC Is A Work-In-Progress

We estimate that Chinese major banks have an RMB3.7 trillion capital gap to fill before January 2025 to meet new total loss-absorbing capacity (TLAC) requirements.  While lower than our past estimates, the gap is still hefty, and filling it will require new TLAC-eligible issuance that might largely be purchased by other domestic financial institutions--adding to potential contagion.

We believe the Chinese government, like the Japanese regime, remains highly supportive of global systemically important banks and hence would likely provide pre-emptive support to them in the event of distress (see "China's Major Banks Still Have An RMB3.7 Trillion Shortfall On TLAC Requirement," published Jan. 18, 2023).

Japanese Banks--Higher Rates Are A Double-Edged Sword

The 2023 outlook for Japanese banks remains largely stable, given accumulated levels of capital, low NPL ratios, and our base-case forecast for the economy.  Rising interest rates are positive for Japanese banks' net interest margins in an inflationary environment. However, unrealized losses on available-for-sale (AFS) bonds could rise at some banks. Interest income from loans will only improve if short-term interest rates rise, and there is some chance credit costs could increase. (See "Japan Banking Outlook 2023: The Impact Of Raising Interest Rates", published Jan. 17, 2023.)

NBFIs Will Face A Tougher Test Than Banks

We anticipate there will be greater credit divergence among global and Asia-Pacific financial institutions.  Weaker economic and financing conditions in 2023 will likely hit nonbank financial institutions (NBFIs) earlier and harder than banks. NBFIs typically have less-diversified business profiles compared with banks, tend to be more reliant on market funding, and often don't benefit from central bank access.

2023 is already shaping as a tough year for some NBFI segments, globally and regionally.  Most recently, the Mexican NBFI Mexarrend S.A.P.I. de C.V. defaulted after it failed to pay about Mexican peso (MXN) 85 million of principal and interest on its short-term local market debt due Jan. 19, 2023 (see "Mexarrend Issuer Credit Rating Cut To 'D' From 'CC' On Failure To Make Debt Payment", published Jan. 21, 2023). This default follows on the heels of three other Mexican NBFI defaults over the previous 18 months.

Some other NBFI segments have also faced pressure but by no means to the same extent. In the second half of 2022 we downgraded some nonbank asset management companies in China, and some speculative-grade residential mortgage companies in the U.S.

Emerging Markets Banks Are Not Off The Hook

There could be increased credit differentiation between developed market and emerging market banks across Asia-Pacific in 2023.  Downside risks such as dollar strength, uncertainty about energy markets, and potentially weak capital flows remain relevant in emerging markets (see "Emerging Markets Monthly Highlights: Some Good News, Uncertainty Lingers," published Jan. 19, 2023). These and other risks could have negative spillover effects on banks.

We do note that prices for metal commodities used in construction have sharply increased in the past month amid expectations of rising demand in China.  Headline inflation across emerging markets has continued to decelerate as energy prices decrease. However, core inflation is still rising in emerging markets in Asia and Central and Eastern Europe, although in a few cases it has begun to slow on a sequential basis. Emerging market financing conditions have also improved in the past month, reflecting a better-than-expected situation in energy markets and China's reopening.

Systemically Important Players Versus The Rest

There is also scope for greater variation between stronger, systemically important financial institutions (typically banks) versus non-systemically important financial institutions.  Most notably in Asia-Pacific, our view applies across the Chinese and Indian banking sectors. In these jurisdictions there is significant divergence already between the small cohort of government-related and other strong systemically important banks, and the very large cohort of small, non-systemically important banks and other financial institutions.

The group of non-systemically financial institutions across Asia-Pacific is large and diverse.  Those entities with more highly concentrated business and financial profiles may face a tighter squeeze in the higher inflation and lower growth environment of 2023.

Collapse of FTX.com Will Have Ripple Effects For Digital Assets

S&P Global Ratings believes that the collapse of cryptocurrency exchange FTX.com will ripple through the digital assets ecosystem and sharpen regulatory impetus.  Contagion risks to traditional finance (TradFi) appear contained for now. The bear market in the crypto industry began in May 2022 with the sharp depreciation of many digital assets and the collapse of a few crypto players. This has already materially diminished the volatile emerging ecosystem, and tested TradFi entities' (limited) exposure to it.

We anticipate continued growth in applications and protocols that leverage the benefits, including transparency, of blockchain technology.  But these developments are likely to have a durable effect on centralized actors in the ecosystem and the broader crypto industry (see "The FTX Crypto Exchange Crisis Will Sharpen Regulators' Focus," published Nov. 10, 2022).

Table 1

Real GDP Forecast
Change from Sept. 2022 forecast
(% year over year) 2021a 2022 2023 2024 2025 2022 2023 2024
Australia 4.9 3.9 1.7 1.9 2.5 0.0 (0.1) (0.1)
China 8.1 3.2 4.8 4.7 4.6 0.5 0.1 (0.1)
Hong Kong 6.3 (2.6) 3.8 3.0 2.0 (2.0) 0.0 0.3
India 8.7 7.0 6.0 6.9 6.9 (0.3) (0.5) 0.2
Indonesia 3.7 5.3 5.0 5.0 5.0 (0.1) 0.0 0.0
Japan 1.7 1.5 1.2 1.1 1.1 (0.1) (0.2) (0.3)
Malaysia 3.1 8.9 3.2 4.7 4.5 2.3 (1.2) 0.1
New Zealand 4.8 2.1 1.2 1.5 2.5 (0.2) (1.6) (0.9)
Philippines 5.7 7.1 5.2 6.6 6.3 0.8 (0.5) 0.2
Singapore 7.6 3.6 2.3 3.0 3.0 0.3 (0.3) 0.1
South Korea 4.1 2.7 1.4 2.2 2.1 0.1 (0.4) 0.0
Taiwan 6.6 2.2 1.5 2.5 2.6 0.0 0.0 0.0
Thailand 1.5 2.9 3.5 3.5 3.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
Vietnam 2.5 8.3 6.3 6.9 6.7 1.7 (0.2) 0.1
Asia Pacific 6.7 4.1 4.3 4.6 4.5 0.3 (0.2) 0.0
Note: For India, 2021 = FY 2021 / 22, 2022 = FY 2022 / 23, 2023 = FY 2023 / 24, 2024 = FY 2024 / 25, 2025 = FY 2025 / 26. a--Actual. Source: S&P Global Economics.

Related Research

Banking Sector Research
Economic And Credit Conditions Research

Ratings Methodology News

  • None

Other Research

Please see Instant Insights: Key Takeaways From Our Research, published Jan. 18, 2023, which is a curated compilation of the key takeaways from our most up-to-date thought leadership.

Webcasts: Asia-Pacific Banking Insights

In the last quarter, we have held the following webcasts to share our views on Asia-Pacific and other banking topics. The replays are available on https://www.spglobal.com/ratings/en/events/webcast-replays/index#

  • To Call Or Not To Call: Credit Implications Of Hybrid Noncall Decisions, Dec. 13, 2022
  • What's In Store For Vietnam Credit In 2023 After A Rapid Post-COVID Recovery?, Dec. 08, 2022
  • Global Banking Outlook 2023 – Greater Divergence Ahead, Nov. 22, 2022
  • Asia-Pacific Credit Outlook 2023: Cracks In The Wall, Nov. 15, 2022
  • Thai Banks At A Recovery Crossroads, Oct. 19, 2022
  • A Slower China: Cross-Sector Credit Updates, Oct. 11, 2022

BICRA Changes

Over the past quarter (through December 20, 2022), following changes have been made to our Banking Industry Country Risk Assessments (BICRAs) in the Asia-Pacific region.

Indonesia

We have revised our economic risk trend for Indonesia to stable from negative. This reflects our belief that the country's economic recovery is underway. We forecast GDP to grow 5.4% in 2022 and 5.0% in 2023, compared with 3.7% in 2021. Indonesian banks are enjoying a revival of loan growth and profitability. Elevated credit costs seen during the COVID-19 pandemic are also receding. We expect banking sector loans in Indonesia to increase by 8%-10% in 2022 and 2023, staging a turnaround from the COVID-19-induced contraction in 2020. Banks' cost of credit has been steadily declining from a peak in 2020 and could approach pre-pandemic levels in the next 18-24 months.

Thailand

We have revised our economic risk trend for Thailand to stable from negative. The opening of borders means tourism is improving faster than expected. We anticipate this trend will continue. Moreover, in our view, Thailand will benefit from recovery in domestic demand, which has accumulated since the COVID-19 pandemic and has further to go. Lastly, banks have built buffers as well. As of June 30, 2022, the sector's provision coverage was about 165%, with a capital adequacy ratio of 19.6%. Banks' improving earnings also aided these buffers.

We have published the following comprehensive BICRA reports in the past quarter in Asia-Pacific.

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Table 2

Issuer Credit Ratings And Component Scores For The Top 60 Asia-Pacific Banks
Institution Opco L-T ICR/outlook Anchor Business position Capital and earnings Risk position Funding and liquidity Comparable Rating Analysis SACP or Group SACP Type of support No. of notches of support Additional factor adjustment
Australia
Australia and New Zealand Banking Group Ltd. AA-/Stable bbb+ Strong Strong Adequate Adequate/Adequate 0 a Sys. Imp. 2 0
Commonwealth Bank of Australia AA-/Stable bbb+ Strong Strong Adequate Adequate/Adequate 0 a Sys. Imp. 2 0
Macquarie Bank Ltd. A+/Stable bbb+ Adequate Strong Adequate Adequate/Adequate 0 a- Sys. Imp. 2 0
National Australia Bank Ltd. AA-/Stable bbb+ Strong Strong Adequate Adequate/Adequate 0 a Sys. Imp. 2 0
Westpac Banking Corp. AA-/Stable bbb+ Strong Strong Adequate Adequate/Adequate 0 a Sys. Imp. 2 0
China
Agricultural Bank of China Ltd. A/Stable bb+ Very Strong Adequate Adequate Strong/Strong 0 bbb+ GRE 2 0
Bank of China Ltd. A/Stable bbb- Very Strong Adequate Adequate Strong/Strong 0 a- GRE 1 0
Bank of Communications Co. Ltd. A-/Stable bb+ Strong Adequate Adequate Strong/Adequate 0 bbb- GRE 3 0
China CITIC Bank Co. Ltd. BBB+/Stable bb+ Adequate Constrained Adequate Adequate/Adequate 0 bb Group 4 0
China Construction Bank Corp. A/Stable bb+ Very Strong Adequate Adequate Strong/Strong 0 bbb+ GRE 2 0
China Merchants Bank Co. Ltd. BBB+/Developing bb+ Strong Moderate Strong Strong/Adequate 0 bbb Sys. Imp. 1 0
China Minsheng Banking Corp. Ltd. BBB-/Stable bb+ Adequate Constrained Adequate Adequate/Adequate 0 bb Sys. Imp. 2 0
Hua Xia Bank Co. Ltd. BBB-/Stable bb+ Adequate Moderate Moderate Adequate/Adequate 0 bb GRE 2 0
Industrial and Commercial Bank of China Ltd. A/Stable bb+ Very Strong Adequate Adequate Strong/Strong 0 bbb+ GRE 2 0
Postal Savings Bank Of China Co. Ltd. A/Stable bb+ Strong Moderate Adequate Strong/Strong 0 bbb GRE 3 0
Shanghai Pudong Development Bank Co. Ltd. BBB/Stable bb+ Adequate Constrained Adequate Adequate/Adequate 0 bb GRE 3 0
Hong Kong
Bank of China (Hong Kong) Ltd. A+/Stable bbb+ Strong Strong Adequate Strong/Strong 0 a+ Sys. Imp. 1 -1
Standard Chartered Bank (Hong Kong) Ltd. A+/Stable bbb+ Adequate Strong Adequate Strong/Strong 0 a Sys. Imp. 1 0
The Bank of East Asia Ltd. A-/Stable bbb+ Adequate Adequate Adequate Adequate/Adequate 0 bbb+ Sys. Imp. 1 0
The Hongkong and Shanghai Banking Corp. Ltd. AA-/Stable bbb+ Strong Strong Adequate Strong/Strong 0 a+ Sys. Imp. 1 0
India
Axis Bank Ltd. BBB-/Stable bb+ Strong Adequate Adequate Adequate/Adequate 0 bbb- None 0 0
Bank of India BB+/Stable bb+ Adequate Moderate Constrained Strong/Strong 0 bb GRE 1 0
HDFC Bank Ltd. BBB-/Stable bb+ Strong Adequate Strong Strong/Strong 0 bbb+ None 0 -2
ICICI Bank Ltd. § BBB-/Stable bb+ Strong Adequate Adequate Adequate/Adequate 0 bbb- None 0 0
State Bank of India BBB-/Stable bb+ Strong Constrained Adequate Strong/Strong 0 bbb- None 0 0
Indonesia
PT Bank Mandiri (Persero) BBB-/Stable bb+ Strong Strong Moderate Adequate/Strong 0 bbb- None 0 0
PT Bank Rakyat Indonesia (Persero) Tbk. BBB-/Stable bb+ Strong Strong Moderate Adequate/Strong 0 bbb- None 0 0
Japan
Chiba Bank Ltd. A-/Stable bbb+ Adequate Adequate Strong Adequate/Strong 0 a- None 0 0
Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group Inc.* A/Stable bbb+ Strong Adequate Adequate Strong/Strong 0 a None 0 0
Mizuho Financial Group Inc.* A/Stable bbb+ Strong Moderate Adequate Strong/Strong 0 a- Sys. Imp. 1 0
Nomura Holdings Inc.* A-/Stable bbb+ Moderate Strong Moderate Adequate/Adequate 0 bbb Sys. Imp. 2 0
Norinchukin Bank A/Stable bbb+ Moderate Strong Moderate Strong/Strong 0 bbb+ Sys. Imp. 2 0
Resona Holdings* A/Stable bbb+ Adequate Adequate Adequate Strong/Strong 0 a- Sys. Imp. 1 0
Shinkin Central Bank A/Stable bbb+ Adequate Adequate Adequate Adequate/Strong 0 bbb+ Sys. Imp. 2 0
Shizuoka Bank Ltd. A-/Stable bbb+ Adequate Strong Adequate Adequate/Strong 0 a- None 0 0
Sumitomo Mitsui Financial Group Inc.* A/Stable bbb+ Strong Adequate Adequate Strong/Strong 0 a None 0 0
Sumitomo Mitsui Trust Holdings* A/Stable bbb+ Strong Moderate Strong Adequate/Strong 0 a- Sys. Imp. 1 0
Korea
Industrial Bank of Korea AA-/Stable bbb+ Adequate Adequate Adequate Adequate/Adequate 0 bbb+ GRE 4 0
KEB Hana Bank A+/Stable bbb+ Strong Adequate Adequate Adequate/Adequate 0 a- Sys. Imp. 2 0
Kookmin Bank A+/Stable bbb+ Strong Adequate Adequate Adequate/Adequate 0 a- Sys. Imp. 2 0
Korea Development Bank§ AA/Stable bbb+ Moderate Moderate Constrained Moderate/ Adequate 0 bb- GRE 10 0
Nonghyup Bank A+/Stable bbb+ Strong Adequate Adequate Strong/ Adequate 0 a- GRE 2 0
Shinhan Bank A+/Stable bbb+ Strong Adequate Adequate Adequate/Adequate 0 a- Sys. Imp. 2 0
Woori Bank A+/Stable bbb+ Strong Adequate Adequate Adequate/Adequate 0 a- Sys. Imp. 2 0
Malaysia
Public Bank Bhd. A-/Stable bbb Strong Strong Strong Strong/Strong -1 a None 0 -1
Malayan Banking Bhd. A-/Stable bbb Strong Adequate Adequate Strong/Strong 0 a- None 0 0
CIMB Bank Bhd. A-/Stable bbb Strong Adequate Adequate Strong/Strong 0 a- None 0 0
New Zealand
ANZ Bank New Zealand Ltd. AA-/Stable bbb Strong Strong Adequate Adequate/Adequate 0 a- Group 3 0
ASB Bank Ltd. AA-/Stable bbb Strong Strong Adequate Adequate/Adequate 0 a- Group 3 0
Bank of New Zealand AA-/Stable bbb Strong Strong Adequate Adequate/Adequate 0 a- Group 3 0
Westpac New Zealand Ltd. AA-/Stable bbb Strong Strong Adequate Adequate/Adequate 0 a- Group 3 0
Singapore
DBS Bank Ltd. AA-/Stable bbb+ Strong Adequate Adequate Strong/ Strong 0 a Sys. Imp. 2 0
Oversea-Chinese Banking Corp. Ltd. AA-/Stable bbb+ Strong Adequate Adequate Strong/ Strong 0 a Sys. Imp. 2 0
United Overseas Bank Ltd. AA-/Stable bbb+ Strong Adequate Adequate Strong/ Strong 0 a Sys. Imp. 2 0
Taiwan
CTBC Bank Co. Ltd. A/Stable bbb Strong Strong Adequate Adequate/Strong 0 a- Sys. Imp. 1 0
Mega International Commercial Bank Co. Ltd. A+/Stable bbb Strong Strong Adequate Adequate/Adequate 0 a- Sys. Imp. 2 0
Thailand
Bangkok Bank Public Co. Ltd. BBB+/Stable bb Strong Adequate Adequate Strong/ Strong 0 bbb- Sys. Imp. 2 0
KASIKORNBANK PCL BBB/Stable bb Strong Adequate Adequate Adequate/Strong 0 bb+ Sys. Imp. 2 0
Krung Thai Bank Public Co. Ltd. BBB-/Stable bb Adequate Adequate Adequate Adequate/Adequate 0 bb Sys. Imp. 2 0
Siam Commercial Bank Public Co. Ltd. BBB/Stable bb Strong Adequate Adequate Adequate/Strong 0 bb+ Sys. Imp. 2 0
Data as of Dec. 31, 2022. "Type of Support" column -"None" includes some banks where ratings uplift because of support factors may be possible but none is currently included. (For example, this column includes some systemically important banks where systemic importance results in no rating uplift). *Holding company; the rating reflects that on the main operating company. ICR--Issuer credit rating. GRE--Government-related entity. SACP--Stand-alone credit profile. Sys. Imp.--Systemically important. ALAC--Additional loss-absorbing capacity. N/A--Not applicable. Sov --Capped by Sovereign Rating. §This ICR applies to the Foreign Currency Rating only.

Table 3

Recent Rating Actions: Asia-Pacific Banks
Release date Org legal name Org country From To
Nov. 21, 2022 Axis Bank Ltd. India BB+/Positive/B BBB-/Stable/A-3 Upgrade
Oct. 19, 2022 Guangzhou Finance Holdings Group Co. Ltd. China BBB+/Stable/A-2 BBB+/Negative/A-2 Outlook Negative
*Recent rating actions are for the period Oct. 1, 2022 to Dec. 31, 2022. The list refers to banks and bank holding companies (banks) where the rating has been upgraded or downgraded, or the outlook has been changed. Banks where the ratings have been affirmed or the outlooks have not been changed are not included in the list.

Editor: Lex Hall

Digital designer: Halie Mustow

This report does not constitute a rating action.

S&P Global Ratings Australia Pty Ltd holds Australian financial services license number 337565 under the Corporations Act 2001. S&P Global Ratings' credit ratings and related research are not intended for and must not be distributed to any person in Australia other than a wholesale client (as defined in Chapter 7 of the Corporations Act).

Primary Credit Analyst:Gavin J Gunning, Melbourne + 61 3 9631 2092;
gavin.gunning@spglobal.com
Secondary Contacts:Vera Chaplin, Melbourne + 61 3 9631 2058;
vera.chaplin@spglobal.com
Ryoji Yoshizawa, Tokyo + 81 3 4550 8453;
ryoji.yoshizawa@spglobal.com
Sharad Jain, Melbourne + 61 3 9631 2077;
sharad.jain@spglobal.com
Geeta Chugh, Mumbai + 912233421910;
geeta.chugh@spglobal.com
Ivan Tan, Singapore + 65 6239 6335;
ivan.tan@spglobal.com
Nico N DeLange, Sydney + 61 2 9255 9887;
nico.delange@spglobal.com
Daehyun Kim, CFA, Hong Kong + 852 2533 3508;
daehyun.kim@spglobal.com
HongTaik Chung, CFA, Hong Kong + 852 2533 3597;
hongtaik.chung@spglobal.com
Eunice Fan, Taipei +886-2-2175-6818;
eunice.fan@spglobal.com
Chizuru Tateno, Tokyo + 81 3 4550 8578;
chizuru.tateno@spglobal.com
Ryan Tsang, CFA, Hong Kong + 852 2533 3532;
ryan.tsang@spglobal.com
Ming Tan, CFA, Singapore + 65 6216 1095;
ming.tan@spglobal.com
Lisa Barrett, Melbourne + 61 3 9631 2081;
lisa.barrett@spglobal.com
Research Assistant:Priyal Shah, CFA, Mumbai

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