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2019 Rig Count Outlook Foreshadowed by Borrowing Base Cuts, Price Drops & Seasonal Dip in Rigs

The total U.S. rig count for December 2018 was 1,147, down 36 (-3%) from November 2018, and up 117 (+11%) from December 2017, according to analysts at S&P Global Platts, the leading independent provider of information and benchmark prices for commodities and energy markets. This rig count includes U.S. onshore, U.S. inland waters, and U.S. offshore Gulf of Mexico drilling rigs.

December U.S. land rig count: 1,116, down 35 (-3%) from the previous month and up 127 (+13%) from December 2017

December U.S. inland waters and Gulf of Mexico rig count: 31, down 1 (-3%) from the previous month and down 10 (-24%) vs December 2017

"Rig down time during the holiday and winter season is typical and expected. We saw a similar slowdown heading into last winter, as well," said S&P Global Platts Senior Industry Analyst Trey Cowan. "What is interesting is with this new calendar year and fresh capital budgets for producers, we are hearing borrowing bases are about 25% less than the levels at the beginning of 2018. So with less borrowing combined with today's depressed commodity prices these are indicators that could weaken the outlook in the upstream rig counts and drilling activity for early 2019."

S&P GLOBAL PLATTS US RIG COUNTS

Dec 2018

Nov 2018

Month over Month Change

% Change

Dec 2017

Variance Year over Year (YOY)

YOY % Variance

Colorado

38

36

2

6%

38

0

0%

Louisiana

43

44

-1

-2%

51

-8

-16%

New Mexico

97

95

2

2%

74

23

31%

North Dakota

61

58

3

5%

48

13

27%

Oklahoma

151

155

-4

-3%

125

26

21%

Texas

537

557

-20

-4%

489

48

10%

Rest of U.S. Land

189

206

-17

-8%

164

25

15%

U.S. Land Subtotal

1,116

1,151

-35

-3%

989

127

13%

U.S. Inland Waters

3

4

-1

-25%

6

-3

-50%

U.S. Gulf of Mexico

28

28

0

0%

35

-7

-20%

U.S. Inland and Gulf of Mexico

31

32

-1

-3%

41

-10

-24%

Total U.S. Rig Count

1,147

1,183

-36

-3%

1,030

117

11%

S&P Global Platts Media Contact update

Americas: Kathleen Tanzy, +1 917 331 4607, kathleen.tanzy@spglobal.com
Asia: Melissa Tan, +65-6597-6241, melissa.tan@spglobal.com
EMEA: Alex Brog, +44 20 7176 7645, alex.brog@spglobal.com and Russ Gerry, +44 207 176 3569, russell.gerry@spglobal.com

About S&P Global Platts

At S&P Global Platts, we provide the insights; you make better informed trading and business decisions with confidence. We're the leading independent provider of information and benchmark prices for the commodities and energy markets. Customers in over 150 countries look to our expertise in news, pricing and analytics to deliver greater transparency and efficiency to markets. S&P Global Platts coverage includes oil and gas, power, petrochemicals, metals, agriculture and shipping.

S&P Global Platts is a division of S&P Global (NYSE: SPGI), which provides essential intelligence for individuals, companies and governments to make decisions with confidence. For more information, visit https://www.spglobal.com/platts/en



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