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US ethanol production falls from record, stocks at six-month high: EIA

Montreal — US ethanol production fell 52,000 b/d in the week ending November 27 to 956,000 b/d, down from the previous week's record of 1.008 million b/d, Energy Information Administration data showed Wednesday.

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The four-week rolling average of gasoline demand rose by 360,000 b/d to 9.281 million b/d, while the four-week rolling average of the refiner and blender net ethanol input was 2,000 b/d lower at 875,000 b/d. The weekly refiner and blender net ethanol input fell 9,000 b/d to 876,000 b/d.

US ethanol stocks continued to rise, up 370,000 barrels to 19.997 million barrels last week, their highest level since June.

Stocks were higher in three of five US regions, led by a 395,000-barrel rise in West Coast stocks to 2.724 million barrels, a six-month high.

The build in West Coast stocks was anticipated due to a resurgence of imports for the week ending November 27 at 36,000 b/d.

Market participants were already expecting the vessel Silver Ginny, carrying an estimated 226,000 barrels of Brazilian ethanol, to hit the region. Another vessel, the Atlantic Frontier, is expected to arrive this week with 225,000 barrels of Brazilian ethanol.

The latest data available from the US Census Bureau shows US imports of fuel ethanol jumped to 24.9 million gal in September, the highest since September 2013. Imports from Brazil totaled 24.2 million gal, up from 15.13 million gal in August and zero imports in September 2014.

The increase from Brazil was spurred by a devaluation of the real against the dollar, which translated into lower Brazilian export prices.

Elsewhere in the US, Midwest stocks moved up 161,000 barrels to 6.572 million barrels, while Rocky Mountain stocks strengthened 16,000 barrels to 342,000 barrels.

Gulf Coast stocks fell 129,000 barrels to 3.971 million barrels, while East Coast stocks fell 72,000 barrels to 6.572 million barrels.

The four-week rolling average of the ethanol blending rate -- calculated by dividing the four-week rolling averages of net ethanol input and gasoline demand -- fell from the previous week to 9.43%, 0.57 percentage point shy of the gasoline pool's 10% blend wall.

--Erik Papke,
--Beatriz Pupo,
--Edited by Jason Lindquist,