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H2 Sep CS Brazil cane crush below analysts' estimates

Houston — Mills in Brazil's key Center-South region crushed 35.086 million mt of sugar cane in the second half of September, up 26.06% year on year, according to data released by sugar cane industry association UNICA Wednesday.

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The cane crush came in below the consensus analyst estimate of 36.44 million mt in an S&P Global Platts survey of analysts released Tuesday. This took the cumulative crush since the start of the season on April 1 to 472.802 million mt, up 2.71% year on year.

Total recoverable sugar, or ATR, rose 6.82% year on year to 157.31 kg/mt of cane, taking the cumulative ATR to 136.84 kg/mt, down 2.37%. Sugar production rose 39.15% year on year in the second half of the month to 1.794 million mt, below consensus analyst estimates of 1.870 million mt. Total sugar production since April 1 was 21.8 million mt, down 2.39% year on year.

Total ethanol production in the region in H2 September was 2.184 billion liters, of which 609 million liters was anhydrous and the remaining 1.575 billion liters hydrous. Total ethanol production rose 32.98% year on year, according to the data. Hydrous production was above analyst estimates of 1.53 billion liters, while anhydrous production was below estimates of 644 million liters.

Ethanol production came to a cumulative 25.162 billion liters since April 1, up 2.71% on the year. About 17.542 billion liters of hydrous ethanol were produced, with 7.620 billion liters of anhydrous ethanol produced in the period.

The share of cane used for ethanol production totaled 65.88% in H2 September, down 1.10 percentage points on the year. The share of cane used in sugar production rose by 1.10 percentage points to 34.12%, UNICA said.

Total ethanol sales during September were 2.862 billion liters, with 199.626 million liters being exported and about 2.663 billion liters bound for the domestic market.

Hydrous ethanol sales totaled 2 million liters in September, with 72.346 million liters exported and 1.928 billion liters sold domestically, UNICA said.

Anhydrous ethanol sales totaled 862.42 million liters in September, with 127.28 million liters exported and the other 735.14 million liters sold domestically.

--Jordan Young,

--Edited by Jonathan Dart,