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Global wheat output seen to rebound 4% from 2018: AMIS

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Global wheat output seen to rebound 4% from 2018: AMIS

New Delhi — Global wheat production in 2019 is expected to rise 4% year on year, with the EU and Russia contributing to most of the growth, Agricultural Market Information System said in its latest report.

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Wheat output in 2019 is expected to reach 757.4 million mt, up from 728.3 million mt in 2018, according to AMIS -- an inter-agency platform that assesses global food supplies and tracks price volatility.

In 2017, total world wheat production reached an all-time high of 759.4 million mt, data from AMIS' Market Monitor report released Thursday showed. The estimates are a joint effort of the Food and Agriculture Organization and AMIS.

The EU is expected to produce 149 million mt of wheat in 2019, up 8.36% from a six-year low of 137.4 million mt recorded in 2018. Favorable weather conditions combined with a larger planted area is expected to boost 2019 output, AMIS said.

"In the EU, the planted area to wheat is estimated to expand by 3% and, under generally mild and favorable weather conditions that limited frost damage, production is projected to rise by 11% in 2019," the FAO said in its Crop Prospects and Food Situation report, also released Thursday.

Russia, the top exporter of the grain, is expected to see its 2019 production rise by almost 10% from the previous year, according to the report. Increased overall plantings and beneficial weather conditions are expected to push up production in the country, AMIS said.

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Wheat output from the US in 2019 is forecast to reach 52 million mt, up from 51.3 million mt in 2018.

Canada, the world's third-largest wheat exporting country, will see a 4% year-on-year rise in its 2019 output, AMIS forecast.

Another major exporter, Australia, is expected to see a strong rebound from last year's drought afflicted output levels, producing 24 million mt in 2019, up 38.7% from the previous year.

Ukraine will see its production rise to 26.5 million mt from 24.6 million mt in 2018. "Favorable crop conditions also currently prevail in Ukraine, where this year's wheat output is forecast to rise by nearly 8%," the agency said in the report.

-- Rohan Somwanshi, rohan.somwanshi@spglobal.com

-- Edited by Haripriya Banerjee, newsdesk@spglobal.com