Although El Niño tends to peak in November to February, its impact will last longer.
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Although El Niño tends to peak in November to February, its impact will last longer.
We have identified five overlapping themes that will drive global political and economic relationships in 2024.
Development of passenger infrastructure along busy cargo corridors is likely to strain automotive sector supply chains.
Our analysis shows an upward inflection point in supply chain activity is close but would not fully arrive until well into 2024.
Recently released data on US foreign direct investment offer new insights about the state of globalization.
Homes in 29 states are unaffordable to the median household, marking the first time a majority of states have below-average affordability.
Guyana's economic landscape has changed drastically due to the discovery of oil.
US retail sales are on track to outpace expectations this year.
The foundations of the global economic expansion are shaky as the full effects of tighter financial conditions are yet to be felt.
Bill-of-lading data is particularly useful for creating supply chain network graphs.
Both the pattern and level of shipments indicate trade in consoles is far from its pre-pandemic norms.
We unmask what’s scaring away US candy consumers this Halloween.
The current corporate earnings season may provide signals of current and future strategies and expectations.
Texas and Arizona are likely to build on their existing semiconductor strengths, while new hubs will emerge in less traditional locales.
The supply chains for gin beverages are facing falling volumes and increasing complexity.
Annual global real GDP growth is forecast to slow to 2.3% in 2024, with the risk of a more prolonged period of weakness increasing.
While seasonality appears to be returning to normal, we see evidence of a steady process of reshoring for Christmas decorations.
Reducing negative environmental impact is one of the biggest drivers of port call optimization.
Thailand showed a gradual economic recovery from the COVID-19 pandemic during 2022, with real GDP growth having risen from 1.5% in 2021 to 2.6%...
Industrial and trade policies will remain in focus in 2023, with an emphasis on tariff-related interventions and protectionism challenges.
Post-webinar Q&A - Q3 Economies in Flux: Drive Decisions with the Purchasing Managers’ Index™ (PMI™)
We are watching two developments that pose potentially significant downside risks to our forecast of GDP growth in the fourth quarter.
The near-term outlook for inﬂation has deteriorated as crude oil prices have risen.
While price inflation is slowing, it is doubtful that slowing can be sustained unless wage growth moderates significantly.
Apple Inc.’s iPhone and Watch updates this year come with important supply chain considerations, including steps to reduce carbon emissions.
The signing of a Leaders’ Declaration will be presented by India as evidence of its ability to bridge advanced and emerging economies.
The current political and economic conditions increase the odds of a longer strike.
The economy is growing significantly above its sustainable trend of roughly 1¾% to 2%.
The EU's Deforestation Regulation brings significant new supply chain reporting requirements across the food, building materials, home/personal...
The ruble's exchange rate is likely to remain volatile, and the central bank's monetary policy is unlikely to shield the currency fully.
Retailers are preparing for Halloween sales earlier than ever, leading to earlier shipments of products than in prior years.
The risks remain tilted toward a further tightening of financial conditions.
Potential disruption in natural gas and lumber production sends overall prices higher last week.
Policy rate cuts in advanced economies are not forecast until mid-2024, while in emerging economies, such cuts are underway.
Given tight labor markets, strong momentum in GDP entering the second half, and inflation that is still too high, it is very likely we will see...
Results from Argentina’s presidential primaries indicate weaker traditional parties and increasing likelihood of currency policy change
Weak global demand remains the significant downward pressure on commodity prices.
The UAE has signed trade pacts with countries including India, Indonesia and Turkey that are likely to boost economic growth.
Will the US be able to secure sufficient supply of the minerals needed for its move toward net zero?
There's plenty of evidence of reshoring over the past five years, but success in the future is by no means guaranteed.
US Weekly Economic Commentary: Immaculate disinflation?
Back to school shopping data is in. How does it stack up to last year?
Elevated temperatures globally have increased the use of air conditioning for home and office, raising demand for machinery and maintenance services....
Our banking risk experts provide insight into events impacting the financial sector in emerging markets in August
Monthly US GDP has strong momentum heading into the third quarter.
Several indicators came in as good or better than expected and leaned toward supporting strong growth ahead.
Energy price rises offset chemical declines as the MPI moves sideways
India's rice restrictions come amid concerns around domestic price inflation resulting from food supply chain disruptions.
We forecast benchmark rate cuts across the region by early 2024, ahead of the ECB pivot expected in June 2024.
We assess the risk outlook for companies considering Southeast Asia as a China Plus One destination, focusing on the six biggest economies.
The resilience of the economy suggests that two more Fed rate hikes will be needed to wrestle inflation back to the Fed’s target quickly.
While S&P Global Market Intelligence’s global real GDP growth forecast for 2023 is unchanged at 2.4%, this masks regional divergence.
Ukraine is likely to use force to halt Russian Black Sea exports unless Russia returns to the grain agreement.
The FIFA Women's World Cup has contributed to the rapid growth in demand for footballs (soccer balls).
The summit is highly likely to be dominated by urgent problems faced by existing members.
Consumer prices and producer prices continued to moderate through June.
S&P Global Market Intelligence expects a further deterioration in house price momentum in the coming quarters.
Labor data is going in the opposite direction from what would be required to see core price inflation decline sustainably to the Fed’s target....
NATO’s 31 member states and candidate country Sweden are meeting in Vilnius, Lithuania, July 11-12. Their agenda is packed.
The Gulf economy will feel the pinch of lower oil output in the near term, but the non-oil sector will support regional growth performances. ...
Our banking risk experts provide insight into events impacting the financial sector in emerging markets in July.
The MPI fell 2% last week with large chemical price declines leading the retreat.
The eurozone has yet to experience the full impact of high interest rates on economic activity and demand.
Areas of mutual interest will be the primary drivers of bilateral cooperation while sidestepping areas of divergence.
Globally tennis balls face supply chain labor rule violations, carbon footprint challenges and recycling issues.
Supply chains are almost back to normal in terms of activity, inventories and seasonality.
What does President Erdogan’s victory mean for Turkey, the region and the world?
Ongoing gains in employment and an easing of mortgage rates are among factors supporting housing activity.
Economic performance will vary across sectors and regions, with Europe and the Americas experiencing sluggish growth and parts of Asia-Pacific...
A critical minerals agreement could give UK exporters eligibility under the US Inflation Reduction Act funding for electric vehicle components....
The MPI increased last week with volatile energy markets center stage
The US Inflation Reduction Act might not lead to significant investments in new mining capacity in the US.
Disinflation has stalled, with inflation remaining unacceptably above the Fed’s long-term 2% objective.
Taiwan’s export-driven economy has continued to be hit by slumping exports, which fell by 16.9% year-on-year (y/y) in the first five months of...
Our MPI shows prices increase as metal markets grow more optimistic on mainland China’s growth
Is the impact of the spending caps in the FRA big enough to restrain economic growth significantly over the following years?
The Group of Seven (G7) came together in May conveying a message of unity in the midst of broader volatility.
Commodity prices fall despite the positive resolution of the US debt ceiling stand-off per our MPI
Several countries in sub-Saharan Africa (SSA) that aspire to benefit from investment in critical minerals extraction, face blockages to development...
Reshoring and inventory management strategy changes are expensive for many industries.
Supply chain managers are emerging from a period of upheaval and now have to make decisions over their long-term supply chain structures.
Recent news from the labor market must be more than a little troubling to Fed policy makers.
Our banking risk experts provide insight into events impacting the financial sector in emerging markets in June
Recent global events have prompted India to recalibrate its geopolitical strategy as it focuses on manufacturing to manifest its ambitions.
S&P Global Market Intelligence addresses a series of key questions related to inflation trends in the eurozone.
According to our Monthly US GDP Index, monthly US GDP rose 0.4% in April.
Materials prices continue to fall amid a concerned market per our MPI
Cost-optimizing strategies for supply chains involve making determinations on the number, scale and location of suppliers.
With a short-lived breather from elevated inflation, we expect prices to accelerate in May.
The sub-Sahara African real estate market is less extended and more reliant on informal options, reducing the threat of sharp downside corrections...
X-date may arrive before the FOMC meeting next month, with the potential to shift the views of the Committee away from its tightening bias.
The global economic expansion will proceed at a moderate pace, led by service sectors.
Our baseline forecast remains that the White House and congressional leadership will complete a last-minute negotiated compromise.
Commodity prices fall last week as inflation outlook worsens - per our MPI
We saw little new data last week to influence our expectation that real GDP will decline 0.1% in the second quarter.
Political will from existing and aspiring members will be more decisive than the Maastricht criteria in the eurozone accession timelines.
Latest S&P Global Investment Manager Index data revealed that risk sentiment rests at a survey record low in May
The traditional US automotive belt that spans from the Midwest to the Southeast has taken a huge slice of the investment pie to date.
The defining feature of the geopolitical era unfolding around us is an accelerating interdependence between economic and security spheres.
The Federal Reserve may have still more work to do if things don’t change pretty quickly.
Requirements that companies commit to greater local content and domestic processing of resources are likely in the one- to three-year outlook....
Our banking risk experts provide insight into events impacting the financial sector in emerging markets in May.
Elevated materials prices continue to normalize as supply remains adequate to meet current demand levels
The current rate is significantly high and lagged effects of previous monetary tightening by Brazil’s central bank will continue to work.
Further disbursements to Romania under the EU’s Recovery and Resilience Facility hinge on the government passing contentious reforms.
The expected softness in the second quarter leaves open the possibility that the US will slip into recession by midyear.
Prices down last week as Eurozone manufacturing data disappoints - per our MPI
Tightening monetary conditions are driving a softening of house prices, which in some key markets are expected to decline in 2023 and 2024.
Last week was a busy one for “soft” data and results from several surveys painted a mixed picture of economic conditions.
World real GDP projected to increase 2.3% in 2023, 2.7% in 2024
We examine potential electoral scenarios and their policy implications over a 12-month outlook from the election date.
Prices were down last week as markets await further interest rate rises.
Chile and Peru face the challenge of rapidly expanding the output capacity amid regulatory and political uncertainty.
Robust Q4 economic activity lifted real GDP growth to close to 4.8% in 2022, a level unseen since the middle of the last decade.
New data on sales encouraged us to revise up our estimate of first-quarter real PCE growth to a very robust 4.8% (annualized).
Discretionary government use of the proposed legal tools for political purposes would entail a significant increase in contract uncertainty.
There is rough sledding ahead; we just can’t say for sure where the bumps and valleys are.
Commodity prices supported last week by hope banking crises will be contained - insights from our MPI
Brazil–China trade seminar generates multiple agreements to deepen bilateral business links
Continued inflationary challenges and the exhaustion of federal stimulus will limit rainy day fund growth in the near term
Our banking risk experts provide insight into events impacting the financial sector in emerging markets in April
High inflation and a tight labor market in the eurozone will drive nominal wage growth higher in the short term.
Dwindling external buffers raise sub-Saharan African currency depreciation risks, but capital controls unlikely.
According to our Monthly US GDP Index, monthly GDP rose 0.2% in February
The challenge for 2023 is to increase the absorption of refugees in the Baltic labor markets.
Single-day strikes have by now affected most of the economy and will likely become protracted if dialogue fails.
The world’s seaports are one of the global economy’s principal vulnerabilities as they can act as enablers of shocks that may spread globally....
The Fed acknowledged that a contraction of credit emanating from banking sector turmoil was likely to create new headwinds for the economy.
Czechia and Romania represent the two ends of CEE-4 GDP performance last year, reflecting their relative external exposures.
The initial IMF disbursement will provide temporary relief but austerity measures will be unpopular
Eurozone economic growth accelerated to a ten-month high in March according to the latest flash PMI survey data
In 2023, growth in sub-Saharan Africa will slow further on the expectation of weaker global growth.
A look at the bond market impacts of recent banking sector instability.
Financial sector woes spread to commodity markets last week as seen in our MPI
Actions by central banks and regulators to provide liquidity and broaden deposit insurance will likely avert a major financial crisis, but the...
Recent financial turbulence is reflecting uncertainty about the underlying health of the banking system, casting a shadow over the value of assets...
For the next two political terms, Argentina’s next two governments will face heavy external debt service requirements.
Housing market activity and prices will come under persistent pressure during 2023.
The agreement likely reflects a wider attempt by Saudi leadership to reset perceptions of Saudi Arabia as a stabilizing actor in the region.
Equity sell-off not enough to stop commodity price rises last week per our MPI
Resuming the issuance of PPAs and deprioritizing contract renegotiations aligns with the government’s aim to increase foreign direct investment....
With inflation remaining well above the Fed’s 2% target, we should expect increases in the policy rate to continue.
We identify seven tripwires that would indicate that a collapse in Iran’s nuclear talks was becoming more likely.
Official data offered few signals for future growth and limited price movement per our MPI
Our banking risk experts provide insight into events impacting the financial sector in emerging markets in March
Soaring alternative inflation metrics cement the case for additional 50bp rate hikes for the EU
The risk of an imminent recession has receded, and the risk of imbedded high inflation has risen.
According to our Monthly US GDP Index, monthly GDP rose 0.3% in January.
Strong US inflation data concerns traders but mainland China optimism remains
The mining, agriculture, automobile, and energy sectors, all of which are heavy users of water, are likely to be impacted.
Outside of the vast human and social impacts of the earthquake, the biggest national economic impact will be on the fiscal deficit.
The odds of recession beginning in the first half of 2023 have receded somewhat over the last few weeks.
Worst-case scenario in European energy markets is avoided which is helping to lower commodity prices
The global economic outlook has brightened, with the major economies showing resilience in early 2023. However, persistent core inflation will...
We revised up our tracking forecast for first-quarter US GDP growth, following a huge increase in retail sales and food services in January.
The much-anticipated resurgence in Mainland China manufacturing remains elusive
The EU is building tools to allow greater public control in situations of severe supply chain disruptions.
Financial markets are pricing in doubt that the FOMC will push its policy rate as high, or for as long, as Fed communications suggest.
Ukraine’s ability to counter a likely Russian offensive in the coming months and resist the Russian air campaign will hinge on military assistance....
Public policy initiatives, driven by supply chain and national security concerns, will change the global configuration of the semiconductor sector....
Falling energy prices continue and weaker demand remains the major influence on commodity markets
Our banking risk experts provide insight into events impacting the financial sector in emerging markets in February.
This coming US recession will have less of a regional theme than past ones given its mild nature and broad-based drivers.
The latest economic data hint at the possibility that the US might avoid rolling over into a (mild) recession as soon as the first quarter.
Sub-Saharan Africa is achieving the fastest adoption rates for blockchain technology globally.
The risk of violence during protests is likely to be highest in France, Belgium, the Netherlands, and Germany.
Our case study underlines the danger that companies may be overstating the business risks associated with renewable energy investments in emerging...
Falling energy prices define the commodity landscape this week, leading to a decline in the MPI
Underlying demand growth is weak, supporting our expectation that GDP growth will turn negative in early 2023.
The Bank of Canada will remain on the sidelines throughout this year before it even contemplates cutting interest rates.
Gains in chemicals and lumber pushed commodity prices slightly higher for the second consecutive week
World real GDP is now projected to increase 1.9% in 2023, up from last month’s forecast of 1.6% growth.
There has been a notable weakening in consumer demand for goods as reflected in retail sales.
The focus on semiconductors and critical minerals during the recent summit emphasized the nearshoring opportunities for Mexico.
We expect continued declines in both headline and core inflation, consistent with our forecast for a mild recession this year.
Sectors with longer supply chains are likely to remain vulnerable to disruptions.
Falling energy prices and demand concerns send prices slightly lower last week
We have revised up our estimate of fourth-quarter GDP growth by nearly two percentage points since Dec. 23.
As expected, despite an overhang of risk from the pandemic, global banking sectors again avoided major crises in 2022. Starting 2023, however...
Unseasonably warm weather to round out 2022 in Europe and the US relieves natural gas markets.
According to our Monthly US GDP Index, monthly US GDP rose 0.4% in November.
Central banks' efforts to subdue inflation will dominate the economic landscape in 2023, producing a pronounced slowdown in global economic growth....
2023 will be marked by economic deceleration, the consolidation of the political left, higher fiscal burden, and greater business disruption...
MENA’s real GDP growth will likely slow in 2023, as the region’s economies are not immune to weakening global demand and tightening financial...
We expect that PCE growth will slow to a crawl early next year, as the economy rolls over into what will likely be a mild recession.
Debt market conditions are improving for riskier asset classes, indicated by both aggregate and issuer-specific factors.
Gradual lifting of Chinese COVID-19 restrictions support commodities
ESG-related scrutiny will significantly increase for projects in Latin America, especially for ESG-oriented lenders or investors with a focus...
Easing of financial conditions since October and the firmness of recent real data suggest a delay in the onset of recession to early 2023.
Our banking risk experts provide insight into events impacting the financial sector in emerging markets in December.
We expect London GDP to grow 5.0% year-on-year in 2022, outstripping all other areas of the UK and widening regional inequalities.
A European cold snap and loosening Chinese COVID-19 restrictions support commodities
We expect the Fed to slow the pace of rate hikes beginning this month and to raise the target for the federal funds rate over the next several...
Extreme weather events such as water stress, floods, and droughts have led to additional operational challenges in Latin America.
Monthly US GDP rose 0.3% in October
Cooler sentiment over the outlook for mainland China’s relaxation of zero-Covid policy has pulled prices lower after the previous week’s increase...
Across Europe residential real estate prices have been rising amid low interest rates, boosting affordability and making investments in real...
We revised up our forecast of fourth-quarter US GDP growth to a 0.8% annual rate, reflecting sizeable increases in orders and shipments of capital...
We project global real GDP growth to slow from 5.9% in 2021 to 2.9% in 2022 and 1.5% in 2023.
five organizing themes that will drive the economic and risk environment in 2023: global security unsettled, energy trade-offs, precarious supply...
Largely on the resiliency in US retail sales, we revised up our forecast of fourth-quarter US GDP growth by 0.7 percentage point to +0.4%.
India’s ambition to increase its economic power is unlikely to be limited to encouraging foreign investor participation.
Our MPI signals that better news on US inflation and easing Chinese COVID-19 restrictions boost markets
November flash PMI data will be eagerly awaited in the coming week to shed light on inflation, employment trends and risks of recession in the...
US holiday sales will grow a solid 4.5% in 2022, above the pre-pandemic average of 3.9% and well below the lofty rates seen in recent years.
The better-than-expected US Consumer Price Index report for October supports a downshift in the pace of Fed rate hikes in December.
An assortment of data releases packs the week ahead including US and China’s retail sales and industrial production figures.
Weak global construction prospects spark latest sell-off
Latin American and African representatives are likely to frame water scarcity as a global issue affecting food security to obtain financing commitments....
The Russia–Ukraine conflict has severely disrupted energy supply in the EU and forced a near-term policy divergence between energy security and...
More sub-Saharan African countries are likely to seek further debt restructuring as foreign exchange shortages rise.
Demand has softened, and we continue to expect a weak fourth quarter with US GDP contracting slightly, marking the start of a recession.
The conflict in Ukraine is likely to further deviate the timeline for meeting the targets of limiting temperature rise and reaching net-zero...
Planners who are in the dark about local economic activity could look at where the lights are on for insights into local economic and industry...
With US mid-terms elections this week, our US regional team explores the critical economic issues motivating voters in swing states
Our banking risk experts provide insight into events impacting the financial sector in emerging markets in November
According to our Monthly US GDP Index, monthly GDP declined 0.1% in September.
From our MPI: Lower demand for natural gas in Europe pushes prices down
Energy shortages due to unusually cold weather could lead to much deeper near-term output contractions than forecast.
We revised up our US forecast of fourth-quarter GDP growth by 0.4 percentage point, but we still show the US economy contracting at a 0.7% annual...
The UAE, Qatar, and Saudi Arabia are expected to experience healthy total construction growth in 2022 and 2023.
Amid increasing concerns over unsustainable debt levels in many African countries, Ghana's default risk has increased.
Politburo meeting fails to boost market sentiment
Emerging market supply remains strong for investment-grade issuers, but debt restructuring issues are affecting several sub-Saharan countries...
Manufacturing activity expanded in September, while contraction has intensified in the U.S. housing sector.
Parents are expected to spend $3.2 billion on candy this Halloween — a record amount, which works out to about $25 per household.
Despite last week’s commodity price increase, weak demand will dominate pricing in the near term.
The Fed will be forced to raise interest rates to support tight financial conditions and a softening in demand in pursuit of lower inflation....
Per our MPI, improving gas market fundamentals pull commodity prices lower
US midterm elections represent a referendum on the president. Issues weighing down the president’s approval rating include inflation and immigration....
Many US residents and businesses left high-cost coastal cities during the pandemic for lower-cost southern and Mountain locations.
We expect US labor markets to ease in coming quarters as the Federal Reserve continues to raise interest rates
Our banking risk experts provide insight into events impacting the financial sector in emerging markets in October including: China, Ghana, and...
Market confidence low as borrowing costs soar and buyers take flight
The likely need for a wide coalition, regardless of who wins the election, will prevent sharp changes in policy and would slow down structural...
Hurricane Ian, a category 4 hurricane that hit southwest Florida in late September will shave 1.5–2.0 percentage points off Florida’s Q3 GDP...
We expect outright declines in real US GDP beginning as soon as the fourth quarter of this year.
According to our Monthly GDP Index, US monthly GDP rose 0.8% in August.
Market confidence hit by further aggressive interest rate hikes as shown in the MPI
Protests in Indonesia are not supported by major political parties and are unlikely to transform into wider discontent with the government. ...
The UK must borrow money to fund its tax cuts, triggering turmoil in financial markets and uncertainty in the inflation fight.
The surge in demand for critical minerals creates opportunities for companies and exacerbates regulatory and operational risks.
Our regional data and country risk scores help investors pinpoint attractive locations for construction projects.
We expect the US recession to be mild by historical standards. The unemployment rate is likely to rise by several percentage points.
Tightening financial conditions will lead to a further slowdown in global economic growth, putting expansions in vulnerable regions at risk and...
Commodity prices marked a slight increase last week with a mixed bag between subcomponents
We lowered our forecast of third-quarter US GDP growth as data suggested less growth of personal consumption expenditures.
Market sentiment hit by big interest rate hikes - MPI highlights increasing anxiety
We expect US GDP growth to improve to sluggish rates in the third and fourth quarters. We don’t expect much improvement in growth in 2023.
Prospects for slower demand continue to weigh on commodity prices, with data last week further harming market sentiment.
Our banking risk experts provide insight into events impacting the financial sector in emerging markets in September.
Labor demand is still very strong and labor markets are extraordinarily tight.
As a result of the Chilean referendum, a new constitutional process is likely to delay the implementation of President Boric’s agenda
Hydropower, manufacturing, and automotive sectors pushed the highest increases CRP
According to our Monthly US GDP Index, US GDP rose 0.4% in July.
Fresh data suggest that the US economy did not enter a recession in the first half. We anticipate the US will avoid an outright recession.
Outbreak of major fighting near southern Tigray increases risk of wider conflict resuming in northern Ethiopia
We discuss political developments and the potential for social unrest in select sub-Saharan African countries over the next six months
MPI increases as traders scramble for natural gas supply before winter season
Global inflation is expected to moderate in 2023 and 2024. The global economy is expected to achieve a soft landing with real GDP averaging 2.5%...
More youthful demographic profiles in India, Indonesia, Philippines, and Vietnam will drive rapid growth in consumption.
MPI decreases as interest rate rises hit investor confidence
Global recessions are typically characterized by the depth, breadth, and duration of a decline in economic activity. Are we there?
Our banking risk experts provide insight into events impacting the financial sector in emerging markets in August.
MPI increases after Russia announces cuts to European gas flows
According to our Monthly US GDP Index, monthly GDP rose 0.2% in June.
EU member states are expected to embark on national campaigns to reduce gas consumption in the household and commercial sectors.
In Q1 US real GDP declined but real GDI grew 1.8%. What do these numbers tell us about the direction of of economy?
Countries with similarly weak economic fundamentals or poor economic policies have reduced resilience to external shocks, like inflation.
MPI drops for sixth week in a row as price correction continues
Recent events (Russia-Ukraine conflict, COVID-19 pandemic, China’s COVID containment measures and Brexit) crystallize that pressure points in...
Materialization of the nearshoring potential across sectors including critical minerals would significantly improve Mexico’s economic standing....
Concerns about stagflation have emerged because high inflation is widespread and growth is slowing in some markets. Here’s what we’re watching....
The global economy is projected to resume growth despite the risk of recession remains high in major economies due to accelerating monetary policy...
Sharp declines in industrial metal prices drive MPI down
in France, regional inequities are expected to grow over the next 5 years. Will this play a role in the upcoming elections?
The goal of Net-Zero Emissions by 2050 will be short-circuited and remain out of reach unless massive new copper supply comes online in a timely...
Issuance has been reduced over the last two weeks by the 4 July holiday and adverse US inflation data: despite some positive events, conditions...
Insights from our MPI: Lumber and energy prices rise while most other commodity prices drop.
inflation in the US is intolerably high, unemployment unsustainably low, and inflation expectations have crept worrisomely above the Federal...
A global recession could prove more challenging for the SSA region this time around, with fewer tailwinds and buffers to avoid sluggish growth....
Our banking risk experts provide insight into events impacting the financial sector in emerging markets in July.
According to our Monthly GDP Index, monthly US GDP declined 0.1% in May.
Natural gas prices jump again but most other commodity prices drop.
Mainland China’s zero-Covid policy has exacted heavy tolls on the economy
Sharp declines in industrial metal prices drive MPI down
An intensification of energy and monetary policy-related headwinds would raise the likelihood of recession in Europe.
The global economic climate is shifting rapidly in June, putting forecasters on recession watch.
The European Central Bank held an unscheduled meeting on 15 June after expectations of tighter monetary policy in both the US and EU pushed peripheral...
Prices increase again but markets remain uncertain per our Weekly Pricing Pulse
US inflation concerns led to a further tightening of financial conditions in the week ending June 10. An interest rate hike is on the horizon....
At face value, the eurozone’s real GDP growth rates in Q1 were encouraging but a closer inspection of the expenditure data paints a much less...
The proposed acceleration of the energy transition will require larger and faster investment, and the availability of funding will be key.
As the Russia-Ukraine conflict intensifies, we are seeing increased supply chain issues and the lingering effects of China’s Covid policy.
Prices increase after another eventful week on commodity markets
CAR became the second country globally, after El Salvador, to adopt bitcoin as legal tender. A look at the operational challenges
Our latest report focuses on a selective revival in larger share sales and new sovereign issuance in the Green Bond Market.
Our banking risk experts provide insight into events impacting the financial sector in emerging markets in June.
According to our Monthly US GDP Index, monthly GDP rose 0.5% in April.
Better news from mainland China on COVID-19 send commodity prices higher