在此列表中
电力 | Energy Transition

Global CO2 emissions expected to rise in 2021 despite renewable energy growth

能源 | Energy Transition

Platts全球一体化能源模型

能源 | Energy Transition | 金属 | 排放物 | Carbon | 有色金属

访谈:IETA称,第6.4条碳信用计划不能在2024年前准备就绪

能源 | 液化天然气 (LNG) | 天然气 | 电力 | 核能 | Electricity

2023年大宗商品:超过600万吨/年的长协供应即将到期,日本LNG现货交易量将增加

Global CO2 emissions expected to rise in 2021 despite renewable energy growth

亮点

Gas-to-coal switching expected in US

US coal supply increase could be challenging

  • 作者
  • Jared Anderson
  • 编辑
  • Richard Rubin
  • 大宗商品
  • 电力 Energy Transition
  • 标签
  • Wind energy

New wind and solar power capacity build will increase globally in 2021, but economic recovery, gas-to-coal switching and low fossil fuels prices will drive energy sector carbon dioxide emissions 1.4 gigatons (4.4%) higher year on year in 2021, S&P Global Platts Analytics said Dec. 11.

尚未注册?

接收每日电子邮件提醒、订阅用户通知并获得个性化体验。

立即注册

The global buildout of wind and solar power capacity will be driven by a host of grid-parity solar projects in China, a rebound in Indian installations, and deferred US installations from 2020 into 2021, the analysts said during a remotely held briefing with reporters to discuss the S&P Global Platts Analytics 2021 Energy Outlook.

"We have upgraded our global solar PV additions forecast for 2020 by some 7% or about 8 GW, while keeping 2021 capacity additions forecasts unchanged," the analysts said.

Coupled with a recovery in nuclear power generation, growth in renewable electricity supply will weigh on the recovery of fossil fuel demand in the power sector, according to the briefing.

The biggest impact of the US presidential election on energy markets could be a change of course on US environmental policy, but with control of the US Senate to be undecided until January, it is unclear how much ability the incoming Biden administration will have to change policy, the analysts said.

Several of the world's largest economies now have some form of net-zero emissions target and greater global ambition could emerge at the UN Climate Change Conference (COP26) in November 2021.

However, despite this greater focus on long-term carbon emissions reductions, the economic recovery, gas-to-coal switching and low fossil fuels prices will push global energy sector carbon dioxide emissions 1.4 gigatons or 4.4% higher year on year in 2021, according to Platts Analytics.

In the US, gas-to-coal switching and recovering power demand will increase the call on coal supply in 2021, "but financially distressed US coal producers will find it challenging to adequately ramp up supply," the analysts said.